CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹14.77Overvalued by 87.48%vs CMP ₹118.00

P/E (15.0) × ROE (3.7%) × BV (₹32.80) × DY (2.00%)

Defaults: P/E=15

₹17.07Overvalued by 85.53%vs CMP ₹118.00
MoS: -591.3% (Negative)Confidence: 53/100 (Moderate)Models: All 3: Overvalued
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹12.6750%Over (-89.3%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹32.7530%Over (-72.2%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹4.5720%Over (-96.1%)
Consensus (3 models)₹17.07100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: ROE 3.7% is below cost of equity. | Wide model spread (₹5–₹33) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -14.3% · Defaults: P/E=15

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 3 February 2025, 11:35 pm +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2023; quarterly results through Sep 2023; cash flow through Mar 2023. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹17.07, compared with a stored share price of ₹118.00. The model value is 85.5% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2023 was ₹0.00 Cr, versus ₹0.00 Cr in Mar 2022. Net profit for Mar 2023 was ₹-5.93 Cr, versus ₹7.84 Cr in Mar 2022. These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2023 period, operating cash flow was ₹-3.22 Cr against net profit of ₹-5.93 Cr.A cash-to-profit ratio is not meaningful with zero or negative profit.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹94.66 Cr in Sep 2024. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

40
CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd scores 40/100 (Weak)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health34/100 · Weak
ROCE 3.4% WeakROE 3.7% WeakD/E 0.19 Low debtInterest Coverage -8.9x RiskyProfitable 2/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money50/100 · Moderate
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 1.37x Cash-backed earningsOPM stable around 4% Steady
Quarterly Momentum15/100 · Weak
Revenue (4Q): -100% YoY DecliningProfit (4Q): -1,660% YoY DecliningOPM: 4.4% (down 5.7% YoY) Margin pressure
Industry Rank20/100 · Weak
ROCE 3.4% vs industry 28.9% Below peersROE 3.7% vs industry 49.0% Below peers3Y sales CAGR: -100% Shrinking

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: February 3, 2025, 11:35 pm

Market Cap 320 Cr.
Current Price 118
Intrinsic Value₹17.07
High / Low 129/25.7
Stock P/E
Book Value 32.8
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE3.35 %
ROE3.68 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.00

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd 320 Cr. 118 129/25.7 32.80.00 %3.35 %3.68 % 10.0
Bhilwara Technical Textiles Ltd 233 Cr. 40.0 58.2/30.0 27.60.00 %6.67 %7.18 % 1.00
Bannari Amman Spinning Mills Ltd 200 Cr. 25.0 31.9/17.08.37 59.31.00 %6.80 %1.27 % 5.00
Globus Power Generation Ltd 153 Cr. 15.4 20.9/11.0 0.810.00 %5.94 %6.32 % 10.0
Digjam Ltd 109 Cr. 54.0 73.5/36.028.2 2.210.00 %5.21 %47.2 % 10.0
Industry Average1,873.73 Cr99.5326.3666.550.15%28.87%48.96%7.77

All Competitor Stocks of CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2020Dec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023
Sales 13.6956.1682.9058.0279.5677.850.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Expenses 14.5750.4875.5953.6974.5874.420.090.140.670.100.040.500.39
Operating Profit -0.885.687.314.334.983.43-0.09-0.14-0.67-0.10-0.04-0.50-0.39
OPM % -6.43%10.11%8.82%7.46%6.26%4.41%
Other Income 0.360.260.650.540.570.420.88-0.24-0.09-0.59-2.86-0.980.23
Interest 0.590.670.560.670.760.630.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Depreciation 1.031.021.061.031.041.060.310.320.320.250.320.230.22
Profit before tax -2.144.256.343.173.752.160.48-0.70-1.08-0.94-3.22-1.71-0.38
Tax % 0.00%0.47%17.35%16.72%20.00%20.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Net Profit -2.144.235.242.653.011.710.47-0.70-1.08-0.93-3.21-1.71-0.39
EPS in Rs -0.791.561.930.981.110.630.17-0.26-0.40-0.34-1.18-0.63-0.14

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MetricMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales 321.01296.14316.97243.02200.26221.68243.66248.97196.29154.200.000.000.00
Expenses 301.11277.55299.96225.86183.10207.46235.27243.72193.66142.590.370.301.03
Operating Profit 19.9018.5917.0117.1617.1614.228.395.252.6311.61-0.37-0.30-1.03
OPM % 6.20%6.28%5.37%7.06%8.57%6.41%3.44%2.11%1.34%7.53%
Other Income 2.620.740.980.360.401.362.311.882.361.509.46-4.38-4.20
Interest 9.178.036.965.823.763.263.923.723.792.540.000.000.00
Depreciation 8.577.827.166.625.895.395.154.654.244.121.251.251.02
Profit before tax 4.783.483.875.087.916.931.63-1.24-3.046.457.84-5.93-6.25
Tax % 1.05%20.69%25.06%21.06%30.72%28.14%22.09%-1.61%0.00%17.36%0.00%0.00%
Net Profit 4.732.772.904.025.484.981.27-1.26-3.055.337.84-5.93-6.24
EPS in Rs 1.751.021.071.482.021.840.47-0.46-1.131.972.89-2.19-2.29
Dividend Payout % 0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2012-20132013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-41.44%4.69%38.62%36.32%-9.12%-74.50%-199.21%-142.06%274.75%47.09%-175.64%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%46.13%33.93%-2.30%-45.44%-65.37%-124.71%57.15%416.82%-227.66%-222.73%

CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2012-2013 to 2022-2023.

No data available for the compounded sales growth chart.

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 15, 2024, 1:31 am

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2024
Equity Capital 13.5513.5513.5513.5527.1027.1027.1027.1027.1027.1027.1027.1027.10
Reserves 32.5335.4339.3144.7955.8457.1755.9452.9858.3666.2560.8161.6461.72
Borrowings 100.3989.1562.3337.2624.6119.3624.1419.5619.6026.760.2217.5894.66
Other Liabilities 28.4051.0242.9955.9153.5957.3660.0051.4560.0035.602.595.517.32
Total Liabilities 174.87189.15158.18151.51161.14160.99167.18151.09165.06155.7190.72111.83190.80
Fixed Assets 104.5499.0693.5190.1289.5386.2981.5083.7383.7782.6258.3261.3660.38
CWIP 4.834.824.824.824.828.749.043.683.683.680.0425.4652.65
Investments 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Other Assets 65.5085.2759.8556.5766.7965.9676.6463.6877.6169.4132.3625.0177.77
Total Assets 174.87189.15158.18151.51161.14160.99167.18151.09165.06155.7190.72111.83190.80

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Cash from Operating Activity + -1.6815.0822.8425.0031.7812.9012.68-3.007.635.52-3.2224.36
Cash from Investing Activity + -0.17-1.23-3.997.40-3.57-17.44-3.300.62-0.50-3.80-2.213.27
Cash from Financing Activity + 2.35-15.00-18.21-32.64-28.834.55-9.172.09-7.17-1.745.45-27.51
Net Cash Flow 0.50-1.150.64-0.25-0.610.000.20-0.29-0.03-0.030.020.12

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is not available in the stored cash-flow statement. Missing values are not treated as zero.

No data available for the Financial Efficiency data table.

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

No data available for the Shareholding

No data available for the Shareholding Pattern chart.

No data available for the No. of Shareholders chart.

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 0.30-2.192.891.97-1.12
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 0.30-2.192.891.97-1.12
Cash EPS (Rs.) 1.01-0.594.463.490.44
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 32.7432.4434.4531.5329.55
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 32.7432.4434.4531.5329.55
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 0.0037.57109.2856.9072.43
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) -0.490.056.044.841.84
PBIT / Share (Rs.) -1.20-1.534.473.320.27
PBT / Share (Rs.) -1.26-2.183.502.38-1.12
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 0.30-2.192.891.97-1.12
PBDIT Margin (%) 0.000.155.538.502.54
PBIT Margin (%) 0.00-4.074.095.830.37
PBT Margin (%) 0.00-5.793.204.18-1.55
Net Profit Margin (%) 0.00-5.822.643.45-1.55
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 0.91-6.748.396.23-3.80
Return on Capital Employeed (%) -3.66-4.7111.469.300.81
Return On Assets (%) 0.72-6.535.033.22-2.01
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.000.000.010.000.00
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.190.000.280.220.24
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.000.821.850.971.23
Current Ratio (X) 0.3011.171.351.091.04
Quick Ratio (X) 0.2510.390.680.640.68
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 0.002.765.983.356.04
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) -8.920.096.245.161.32
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) -20.61-2.403.983.100.19
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 98.9749.15138.9161.7028.59
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.000.480.460.400.14
EV / EBITDA (X) -73.91309.918.484.715.73
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.000.480.380.280.05
Price / BV (X) 0.940.551.220.500.13
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.000.480.380.280.05
EarningsYield 0.01-0.120.060.12-0.28

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd and is it undervalued?

CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹17.07, compared with a stored share price of ₹118.00. The model value is 85.5% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹118.00. Price-data record updated: 3 February 2025, 11:35 pm +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 129/25.7; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2023 was ₹0.00 Cr, versus ₹0.00 Cr in Mar 2022. Net profit for Mar 2023 was ₹-5.93 Cr, versus ₹7.84 Cr in Mar 2022. These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2023 period, operating cash flow was ₹-3.22 Cr against net profit of ₹-5.93 Cr.A cash-to-profit ratio is not meaningful with zero or negative profit.

What should I check in CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹94.66 Cr in Sep 2024. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

What could change CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in CIL Nova Petrochemicals Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE