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Last Updated on: 14 November, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo
Stock Ticker - BSE: 531795 | NSE: ATULAUTO

Atul Auto Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: November 11, 2024, 1:04 pm

Market Cap 1,583 Cr.
Current Price 570
High / Low844/470
Stock P/E108
Book Value 154
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE4.20 %
ROE1.68 %
Face Value 5.00
PEG Ratio-3.04

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Atul Auto Ltd

Competitors of Atul Auto Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Hero MotoCorp Ltd 95,053 Cr. 4,7536,246/3,10223.3 8852.38 %29.1 %22.0 % 2.00
Bajaj Auto Ltd 2,77,632 Cr. 9,94212,774/5,39637.7 1,1090.81 %33.5 %26.5 % 10.0
Atul Auto Ltd 1,583 Cr. 570844/470108 1540.00 %4.20 %1.68 % 5.00
TVS Motor Company Ltd 1,17,537 Cr. 2,4742,958/1,63662.3 1630.33 %14.7 %26.6 % 1.00
Eicher Motors Ltd 1,32,021 Cr. 4,8175,105/3,56231.6 6591.08 %31.1 %24.2 % 1.00
Industry Average124,765.20 Cr4,511.2052.58594.000.92%22.52%20.20%3.80

All Competitor Stocks of Atul Auto Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthDec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023
Sales101.7191.1732.1885.56102.8494.84106.69123.05133.11150.2759.65153.17154.33
Expenses98.9196.6238.3989.00108.7095.48105.07116.24119.52136.0363.90135.97140.62
Operating Profit2.80-5.45-6.21-3.44-5.86-0.641.626.8113.5914.24-4.2517.2013.71
OPM %2.75%-5.98%-19.30%-4.02%-5.70%-0.67%1.52%5.53%10.21%9.48%-7.12%11.23%8.88%
Other Income0.410.390.250.500.410.140.400.670.400.030.390.140.74
Interest0.240.170.441.552.923.383.133.925.074.363.882.963.20
Depreciation1.661.611.761.723.193.093.073.474.534.434.504.574.57
Profit before tax1.31-6.84-8.16-6.21-11.56-6.97-4.180.094.395.48-12.249.816.68
Tax %23.66%22.81%21.20%27.38%23.79%17.79%12.68%233.33%18.91%39.05%23.12%27.32%33.08%
Net Profit1.25-5.15-6.21-4.19-8.81-5.73-3.65-0.123.563.34-9.417.134.47
EPS in Rs0.57-2.35-2.83-1.91-4.01-2.61-1.66-0.011.751.61-3.472.741.83

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2006Mar 2007Mar 2008Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales12912280531475556667625296315513517
Expenses12511982455416483585554304332477477
Operating Profit43-17660738171-8-163641
OPM %3%2%-2%14%13%13%12%11%-3%-5%7%8%
Other Income121716123732121
Interest36911011181614
Depreciation233555667101618
Profit before tax111137256698267-13-33610
Tax %36%37%53%34%34%33%35%22%22%23%46%
Net Profit7714737485554-8-2536
EPS in Rs21.6016.7321.8225.0924.43-3.73-11.371.682.71
Dividend Payout %10%12%45%25%25%24%16%6%0%0%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2006-20072007-20082016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-85.71%-21.28%29.73%14.58%-1.82%-114.81%-212.50%112.00%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-85.71%64.44%51.01%-15.15%-16.40%-113.00%-97.69%324.50%

Atul Auto Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 9 years from 2006-2007 to 2022-2023.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:-5%
3 Years:21%
TTM:27%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:-35%
3 Years:40%
TTM:194%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:3%
5 Years:19%
3 Years:33%
1 Year:-16%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:2%
3 Years:-2%
Last Year:2%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2006Mar 2007Mar 2008Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital666111111111111111214
Reserves232728142173210251297289266336406
Borrowings5483870000116188171144
Other Liabilities323227676180957272819091
Total Liabilities114148147221245301357380388545609655
Fixed Assets293634858787949390199258250
CWIP2110335371171506010
Investments0000236026183101723
Other Assets82111103133131149200152117285332382
Total Assets114148147221245301357380388545609655

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2006Mar 2007Mar 2008Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +3-41117126355752-169-18-1
Cash from Investing Activity +-12-7-10-10-29-39-28-58-604-24-14
Cash from Financing Activity +9129-14-14-11-15-7141643930
Net Cash Flow110-1328-24-7-86-1-216

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2006Mar 2007Mar 2008Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow-50.00-80.00-88.0076.0060.0073.0081.0070.00-24.00-204.00-135.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2006Mar 2007Mar 2008Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days262518523651554629231933
Inventory Days3476113333842423978806776
Days Payable453942343845433271634740
Cash Conversion Cycle156289513748545336393969
Working Capital Days1732703963724354038129581101
ROCE %16%9%32%34%34%24%-4%-6%4%4%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024
Promoters52.70%52.70%52.70%52.70%52.70%49.49%46.46%42.74%42.74%42.74%42.74%42.74%
FIIs0.19%0.13%0.01%0.48%0.66%0.44%0.43%0.46%0.49%0.48%0.59%0.58%
DIIs0.47%0.20%0.20%0.20%0.70%1.23%0.76%0.41%0.41%0.41%0.41%0.31%
Public46.64%46.97%47.09%46.62%45.95%48.86%52.35%56.40%56.39%56.39%56.28%56.39%
No. of Shareholders42,26543,52545,60343,62139,92140,81944,43346,84949,41449,81549,22857,803

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Taurus Flexi Cap Fund69,0041.23.9169,0042024-11-100%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue5.005.005.005.005.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)3.391.82-11.37-3.7324.42
Diluted EPS (Rs.)3.391.82-11.37-3.7324.42
Cash EPS (Rs.)9.057.80-7.23-1.7726.73
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)154.34147.48126.07136.65140.30
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)154.34147.48126.07136.65140.30
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)189.81214.87143.72134.87285.02
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)15.1315.81-6.83-2.7333.87
PBIT / Share (Rs.)8.629.32-11.22-5.7230.95
PBT / Share (Rs.)3.862.42-14.99-6.1330.48
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)2.541.31-11.61-4.7623.81
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)3.231.68-11.37-3.7324.43
PBDIT Margin (%)7.977.35-4.75-2.0211.88
PBIT Margin (%)4.544.33-7.80-4.2410.85
PBT Margin (%)2.031.12-10.43-4.5410.69
Net Profit Margin (%)1.340.60-8.08-3.528.35
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)1.700.77-7.90-2.768.57
Return on Networth / Equity (%)2.131.14-9.01-2.7217.41
Return on Capital Employeed (%)4.805.13-6.13-3.9721.76
Return On Assets (%)1.370.65-4.57-2.1114.08
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.130.200.430.050.00
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.340.480.670.050.00
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)0.830.880.720.771.71
Current Ratio (X)1.671.211.191.421.97
Quick Ratio (X)1.190.820.820.701.27
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)5.386.184.824.908.40
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)0.000.000.000.0011.25
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)0.000.000.000.0010.05
Earning Retention Ratio (%)0.000.000.000.0088.75
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)0.000.000.000.0089.95
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)3.172.29-1.81-6.8272.15
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)1.531.19-2.07-10.8651.72
Enterprise Value (Cr.)1454.03915.35535.71398.65307.91
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)2.761.781.701.350.49
EV / EBITDA (X)34.5924.24-35.74-66.444.14
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)2.511.451.131.330.49
Retention Ratios (%)0.000.000.000.0088.75
Price / BV (X)3.152.141.281.311.01
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)2.511.451.131.330.49
EarningsYield0.010.01-0.07-0.020.17

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Atul Auto Ltd as of November 14, 2024 is: 285.01

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of November 14, 2024, Atul Auto Ltd is Overvalued by 50.00% compared to the current share price 570.00

Intrinsic Value of Atul Auto Ltd as of November 14, 2024 is: 183.60

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of November 14, 2024, Atul Auto Ltd is Overvalued by 67.79% compared to the current share price 570.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -35.58%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The company has higher reserves (204.00 cr) compared to borrowings (62.00 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
  2. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (402.17 cr) and profit (28.42 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 12.25%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 108.50, which may not be favorable.
  3. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 49.33, which may not be favorable.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Atul Auto Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 1.34%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 4.8% (Industry Average ROCE: 22.52%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 2.13% (Industry Average ROE: 20.2%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 1.53
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 1.19
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 108 (Industry average Stock P/E: 52.58)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.34
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Atul Auto Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 18/06/1986 and has its registered office in the State of Gujarat, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L54100GJ1986PLC016999 and registration number is 016999. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Manufacture of three-wheelers and their engine. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 293.82 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 10.97 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Auto - 2 & 3 WheelersSurvey No.86, Plot No. 1-4, National Highway 8-B, Rajkot Gujarat 360024investorrelations@atulauto.co.in
http://www.atulauto.co.in
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Neeraj J ChandraManaging Director
Mr. Mahendrakumar J PatelWholeTime Director & CFO
Dr. Vijay K KediaNon Executive Director
Ms. Aarti J JunejaIndependent Director
Mr. Mohan Jit WaliaIndependent Director
Dr. Jaichander SwaminathanIndependent Director
Mr. Gurudeo M YadwadkarIndependent Director
Mr. R C MaheshwariIndependent Director
Ms. Honey SethiIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Atul Auto Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Atul Auto Ltd as on 14 November 2024 is ₹285.01, which is 50.00% lower than the current market price of ₹570.00.

What is the Market Cap of Atul Auto Ltd?

The Market Cap of Atul Auto Ltd is 1,583 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Atul Auto Ltd as on 14 November 2024?

The current stock price of Atul Auto Ltd as on 14 November 2024 is ₹570.

What is the High / Low of Atul Auto Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Atul Auto Ltd stocks is 844/470.

What is the Stock P/E of Atul Auto Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Atul Auto Ltd is 108.

What is the Book Value of Atul Auto Ltd?

The Book Value of Atul Auto Ltd is 154.

What is the Dividend Yield of Atul Auto Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Atul Auto Ltd is 0.00 %.

What is the ROCE of Atul Auto Ltd?

The ROCE of Atul Auto Ltd is 4.20 %.

What is the ROE of Atul Auto Ltd?

The ROE of Atul Auto Ltd is 1.68 %.

What is the Face Value of Atul Auto Ltd?

The Face Value of Atul Auto Ltd is 5.00.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Atul Auto Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE