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Last Updated: April 2, 2026, 2:39 am
Author: Getaka|Social: XLinkedIn
Stock Ticker - BSE: 543910 | NSE: AVG

AVG Logistics Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹139.54Fairly Valued by 3.77%vs CMP ₹145.00

P/E (10.6) × ROE (9.6%) × BV (₹170.00) × DY (0.83%)

₹260.50Undervalued by 79.66%vs CMP ₹145.00
MoS: +44.3% (Strong)Confidence: 54/100 (Moderate)Models: 6 Under, 2 Fair
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹245.1826%Under (+69.1%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹229.1719%Under (+58%)
DCFCash Flow₹155.7413%Fair (+7.4%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹170.168%Under (+17.4%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹734.9311%Under (+406.8%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹137.308%Fair (-5.3%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹214.818%Under (+48.1%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹182.746%Under (+26%)
Consensus (8 models)₹260.50100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR 75.7% lifts DCF — verify sustainability. | Wide model spread (₹137–₹735) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 75.7%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Investment Snapshot

56
AVG Logistics Ltd scores 56/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health48/100 · Moderate
ROCE 12.6% GoodROE 9.6% AverageD/E 1.09 High debtInterest Coverage 0.0x RiskyProfitable 4/5 years Consistent
Smart Money45/100 · Moderate
FII holding up 0.32% (6mo) Slight increasePromoter decreased by 1.31% Caution
Earnings Quality65/100 · Strong
OPM expanding (14% → 18%) Improving
Quarterly Momentum50/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): +7% YoY GrowingProfit (4Q): -46% YoY Declining
Industry Rank70/100 · Strong
P/E 10.6 vs industry 54.6 Cheaper than peersROCE 12.6% vs industry 10.0% Above peersROE 9.6% vs industry 23.1% Below peers3Y sales CAGR: 9% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores are computed from reported financials and recalculated daily. Not investment advice.

AVG Logistics Ltd Investor Signals

Computed from valuation, cash flow, balance sheet, ownership and quarterly trend data already available in this stock page.

Value Trap Score
70/100
High
Derived from: Cheapness + weak quality + weak cash support
Current data: P/E 10.6 vs Ind 54.6 | ROCE 12.6% | ROE 9.6% | CFO/NP N/A
Balance Sheet Stress
70/100
Stressed
Derived from: Leverage + debt servicing + liquidity + debt trend
Current data: D/E 1.09x | IntCov 0.0x | Current 1.25x | Borrow/Reserve 1.16x
Cash Flow Reliability
14/100
Weak
Derived from: Cash backing of earnings + working capital pressure
Current data: CFO ₹0 Cr | NP ₹21 Cr | CFO/NP N/A
Ownership Accumulation
-50
Distribution
Derived from: FII + DII + promoter direction, adjusted by crowding
Current data: FII +0.11 pp | DII -0.17 pp | Prom -1.31 pp
Business Momentum
+9
Watch closely
Derived from: Latest quarter sales + profit + OPM change
Current data: Q Sales +14.4% | Q NP +2.2% | Q OPM -1.9 pp
Derived FieldValueHow it is derived
Valuation Gap %+79.7%((Fair Value - CMP) / CMP) × 100
Borrowings / Reserves1.16xLatest borrowings divided by latest reserves
CFO / Net ProfitN/ALatest operating cash flow divided by latest net profit
FII Change+0.11 ppLatest FII% minus previous FII%
DII Change-0.17 ppLatest DII% minus previous DII%
Promoter Change-1.31 ppLatest promoter% minus previous promoter%
Shareholder Count Change+36Latest shareholder count minus previous count
Quarterly Sales Change+14.4%Latest quarter sales vs previous quarter sales
Quarterly Profit Change+2.2%Latest quarter net profit vs previous quarter net profit
Quarterly OPM Change-1.9 ppLatest quarter OPM minus previous quarter OPM

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: April 2, 2026, 2:39 am

Market Cap 219 Cr.
Current Price 145
Intrinsic Value₹260.50
High / Low 340/130
Stock P/E10.6
Book Value 170
Dividend Yield0.83 %
ROCE12.6 %
ROE9.60 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.14

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for AVG Logistics Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
AVG Logistics Ltd 219 Cr. 145 340/13010.6 1700.83 %12.6 %9.60 % 10.0
DRS Dilip Roadlines Ltd 180 Cr. 120 120/52.228.8 25.60.00 %23.7 %19.0 % 10.0
DJ Mediaprint & Logistics Ltd 287 Cr. 83.6 153/51.938.7 20.60.12 %16.0 %13.5 % 10.0
North Eastern Carrying Corporation Ltd 122 Cr. 12.2 27.3/10.413.8 22.60.00 %6.67 %4.97 % 10.0
Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd 444 Cr. 56.3 104/53.016.4 17.20.36 %17.3 %19.6 % 2.00
Industry Average5,604.59 Cr140.1654.5865.651.14%10.01%23.09%6.93

All Competitor Stocks of AVG Logistics Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 110.88106.46112.87100.34117.43124.77136.95122.91138.46142.44147.71125.02143.03
Expenses 94.3387.7386.4281.7796.58102.12115.74100.07115.14116.74124.00101.39118.76
Operating Profit 16.5518.7326.4518.5720.8522.6521.2122.8423.3225.7023.7123.6324.27
OPM % 14.93%17.59%23.43%18.51%17.76%18.15%15.49%18.58%16.84%18.04%16.05%18.90%16.97%
Other Income 0.150.741.670.420.540.5024.100.781.100.760.200.651.99
Interest 7.138.457.487.247.017.066.806.636.766.416.046.167.95
Depreciation 8.588.828.679.099.719.5710.0110.3710.6012.1210.3111.1211.74
Profit before tax 0.992.2011.972.664.676.5228.506.627.067.937.567.006.57
Tax % 10.10%11.82%23.39%21.43%37.47%32.82%19.75%21.30%23.80%30.39%30.95%28.86%22.68%
Net Profit 0.901.3511.072.531.724.8022.875.215.385.515.234.975.08
EPS in Rs 0.761.159.402.151.464.0816.753.813.863.713.473.303.37

Last Updated: January 2, 2026, 9:01 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 23, 2026, 12:34 pm

MetricMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 227313322333432427480552550
Expenses 202285298318390352395455452
Operating Profit 252824154176859698
OPM % 11%9%8%5%10%18%18%17%18%
Other Income 0112132534
Interest 7910132331292628
Depreciation 68971836384345
Profit before tax 12136-2111422928
Tax % 37%25%30%-25%-8%30%24%27%
Net Profit 895-218322121
EPS in Rs 10.479.225.04-1.460.827.0823.3714.1713.73
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%0%14%5%8%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)12.50%-44.44%-140.00%150.00%700.00%300.00%-34.38%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-56.94%-95.56%290.00%550.00%-400.00%-334.38%

AVG Logistics Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 7 years from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:11%
3 Years:9%
TTM:10%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:33%
3 Years:176%
TTM:-10%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:36%
3 Years:53%
1 Year:-50%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:8%
3 Years:11%
Last Year:10%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 12:10 am

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: December 4, 2025, 1:00 am

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Sep 2025
Equity Capital 71010121212141515
Reserves 225864677078186232242
Borrowings 507380107287266220219280
Other Liabilities 203455455552283438
Total Liabilities 100175209230424408449499574
Fixed Assets 22373964238216230216219
CWIP 48162020814
Investments 2910101010101112
Other Assets 73120143154176179208264330
Total Assets 100175209230424408449499574

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Cash from Operating Activity + 12-621-429382837
Cash from Investing Activity + -10-38-17-16-24-16-35-35
Cash from Financing Activity + -145-320-6-248-2
Net Cash Flow 111-0-1-100
Free Cash Flow 4-352-21621-231
CFO/OP 61%-0%112%9%81%44%37%46%

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Free Cash Flow-25.00-45.00-56.00-92.00-246.00-190.00-135.00-123.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 7682929291105123136
Inventory Days 317
Days Payable 12696291
Cash Conversion Cycle -48-13-1929291105123136
Working Capital Days 1337242431175663
ROCE %21%11%6%9%12%15%12%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthMar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Promoters 61.22%61.22%61.22%61.22%52.76%52.76%51.54%51.88%52.51%52.51%52.51%51.20%
FIIs 0.18%0.18%4.35%5.19%8.03%8.60%8.14%8.01%8.36%8.59%8.57%8.68%
DIIs 24.00%21.48%8.39%1.69%1.44%1.44%1.41%1.61%1.59%1.59%1.57%1.40%
Public 14.59%17.12%26.03%31.89%37.77%37.20%38.92%38.49%37.54%37.32%37.35%38.73%
No. of Shareholders 2719962,3463,7917,5198,9598,97110,66410,61510,31310,07810,114

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

AVG Logistics Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 15.0126.667.095.12-1.58
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 15.0126.667.095.12-1.58
Cash EPS (Rs.) 42.9851.7337.0810.514.26
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 163.76146.4176.2371.8666.75
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 163.76146.4176.2371.8666.75
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 366.27351.37362.71366.93283.13
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 65.3669.5066.0224.9713.27
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 36.5441.3935.6219.567.51
PBT / Share (Rs.) 19.3831.029.497.19-2.86
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 14.1623.626.685.10-1.50
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 14.1623.377.095.12-1.46
PBDIT Margin (%) 17.8419.7718.206.804.68
PBIT Margin (%) 9.9711.789.815.332.65
PBT Margin (%) 5.288.822.611.95-1.01
Net Profit Margin (%) 3.866.721.841.38-0.52
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 3.866.651.951.39-0.51
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 8.6415.969.297.11-2.18
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 15.4616.8915.7114.527.25
Return On Assets (%) 4.277.112.042.32-0.74
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.120.130.490.800.49
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.430.441.251.361.09
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.161.121.281.771.52
Current Ratio (X) 1.731.721.151.461.25
Quick Ratio (X) 1.731.721.151.461.25
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 1298.150.000.000.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 3.711.430.000.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 1.220.640.000.000.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 96.2998.570.000.000.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 98.7899.360.000.000.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 3.813.382.532.021.28
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 1.831.651.261.410.77
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 468.48860.43308.93210.36134.77
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.841.790.720.480.40
EV / EBITDA (X) 4.769.063.977.158.62
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.671.630.460.230.16
Retention Ratios (%) 96.2898.560.000.000.00
Price / BV (X) 1.503.902.221.180.69
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.671.630.460.230.16
EarningsYield 0.050.040.040.06-0.03

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

AVG Logistics Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 25/01/2010 and has its registered office in the State of Delhi, India. Company's Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L60200DL2010PLC198327 and registration number is 198327. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Motorised road freight transport. Company's Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 550.81 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 15.06 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2025.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Logistics - Warehousing/Supply Chain/OthersOffice No. 25, Delhi Delhi 110092Contact not found
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Sanjay GuptaManaging Director & CEO
Mrs. Asha GuptaWhole Time Director
Mr. Apurva ChamariaNon Executive Director
Mr. Pawan KantInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Susheel Kumar TyagiInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Shyam Sunder SoniInd. Non-Executive Director

FAQ

What is the intrinsic value of AVG Logistics Ltd and is it undervalued?

As of 05 April 2026, AVG Logistics Ltd's intrinsic value is ₹260.50, which is 79.66% higher than the current market price of ₹145.00, suggesting the stock is undervalued. This is calculated using the PE ratio method factoring in ROE (9.60 %), book value (₹170), dividend yield (0.83 %), and 5-year EPS CAGR.

What is the current share price and 52-week range of AVG Logistics Ltd?

AVG Logistics Ltd is trading at ₹145.00 as of 05 April 2026, with a FY2026-2027 high of ₹340 and low of ₹130. The stock is currently near its 52-week low. Market cap stands at ₹219 Cr..

How does AVG Logistics Ltd's P/E ratio compare to its industry?

AVG Logistics Ltd has a P/E ratio of 10.6, which is below the industry average of 54.58. Trading at a steep discount to peers could signal a value opportunity or reflect concerns about the company's fundamentals.

Is AVG Logistics Ltd financially healthy?

Key indicators for AVG Logistics Ltd: ROCE of 12.6 % is moderate. Dividend yield is 0.83 %.

Is AVG Logistics Ltd profitable and how is the profit trend?

AVG Logistics Ltd reported a net profit of ₹21 Cr in Mar 2025 on revenue of ₹552 Cr. Compared to ₹1 Cr in Mar 2022, the net profit shows an improving trend.

Does AVG Logistics Ltd pay dividends?

AVG Logistics Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.83 % at the current price of ₹145.00. The company pays dividends, though the yield is modest.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in AVG Logistics Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE
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