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Last Updated on: 11 October, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo

AVSL Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: October 11, 2024, 12:28 am

Market Cap 98.6 Cr.
Current Price 185
High / Low203/138
Stock P/E40.3
Book Value 66.2
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE9.01 %
ROE7.17 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio-1.44

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for AVSL Industries Ltd

Competitors of AVSL Industries Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Fiberweb (India) Ltd 126 Cr. 44.066.6/28.013.6 56.00.00 %5.17 %4.61 % 10.0
Deep Polymers Ltd 194 Cr. 80.2120/68.028.9 34.10.00 %9.48 %9.69 % 10.0
DDev Plastiks Industries Ltd 3,359 Cr. 325458/16018.0 63.80.46 %41.9 %31.5 % 1.00
Bright Brothers Ltd 160 Cr. 282333/134 1190.35 %0.72 %8.44 % 10.0
Axel Polymers Ltd 51.5 Cr. 60.476.0/45.090.3 17.60.00 %12.9 %10.9 % 10.0
Industry Average6,162.53 Cr790.6249.84184.560.24%15.25%12.80%7.89

All Competitor Stocks of AVSL Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthSep 2019Mar 2020Sep 2020Mar 2021Sep 2021Mar 2022Sep 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023
Sales394336464654515161
Expenses383834404249494953
Operating Profit152555229
OPM %3%12%6%12%10%9%3%4%14%
Other Income2-02111010
Interest011011111
Depreciation000101117
Profit before tax243544001
Tax %31%28%28%24%25%28%23%0%39%
Net Profit132433000
EPS in Rs2.555.334.226.965.405.650.300.660.86

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales171913146778102848282100101112
Expenses171913146878988176759198101
Operating Profit000-0-10336710410
OPM %1%0%0%-0%-1%0%3%4%8%9%10%4%9%
Other Income0000221213111
Interest0000011111122
Depreciation0000000011128
Profit before tax0000013368811
Tax %0%33%36%40%32%37%31%33%29%27%27%9%
Net Profit0000012246611
EPS in Rs3.081.852.160.930.491.354.374.267.9010.9711.050.961.52
Dividend Payout %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)100.00%0.00%100.00%50.00%0.00%-83.33%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-100.00%100.00%-50.00%-50.00%-83.33%

AVSL Industries Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 6 years from 2017-2018 to 2022-2023.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:26%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:19%
TTM:35%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:43%
5 Years:2%
3 Years:-25%
TTM:245%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:42%
3 Years:79%
1 Year:20%
Return on Equity
10 Years:13%
5 Years:14%
3 Years:10%
Last Year:7%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: September 15, 2024, 4:01 pm

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital000455555555
Reserves333279111521272830
Borrowings0009121371920233435
Other Liabilities951124222324282020920
Total Liabilities13915394651486867767691
Fixed Assets33334561922262931
CWIP000000000000
Investments000000000000
Other Assets10612374246424845504860
Total Assets13915394651486867767691

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity 1-11-10-638344-56
Cash from Investing Activity -00-00-2-2-2-14-4-5-4-4
Cash from Financing Activity -1001070-711019-2
Net Cash Flow-0-11-0-01-1-11-0-01

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow0.000.000.000.00-10.00-12.00-10.00-4.00-13.00-13.00-13.00-30.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days1241201141231481401361421279990100
Inventory Days2630157682514365460778264
Days Payable1911563111401038511513988752752
Cash Conversion Cycle-41-6-40517069575798101145113
Working Capital Days-1820-46085747287106104131103
ROCE %4%6%2%7%11%18%18%22%21%19%5%9%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2018Mar 2019Sep 2019Mar 2020Sep 2020Mar 2021Sep 2021Mar 2022Sep 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023Mar 2024
Promoters66.98%67.32%68.45%68.45%69.52%70.25%71.15%71.65%71.65%71.65%71.65%71.88%
Public33.02%32.68%31.56%31.56%30.49%29.76%28.85%28.34%28.35%28.34%28.35%28.12%
No. of Shareholders1211091051041049998949695103102

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 18Mar 17
FaceValue10.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)4.221.75
Diluted EPS (Rs.)4.221.75
Cash EPS (Rs.)4.781.85
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)26.7222.50
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)26.7222.50
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)191.18147.05
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)8.914.31
PBIT / Share (Rs.)8.353.82
PBT / Share (Rs.)6.142.14
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)4.221.35
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)4.221.35
PBDIT Margin (%)4.662.93
PBIT Margin (%)4.362.59
PBT Margin (%)3.211.45
Net Profit Margin (%)2.200.91
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)2.200.91
Return on Networth / Equity (%)15.805.99
Return on Capital Employeed (%)30.5116.56
Return On Assets (%)4.401.56
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.020.02
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.930.99
Current Ratio (X)1.271.23
Quick Ratio (X)1.171.08
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)4.042.75
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)2.911.93
Enterprise Value (Cr.)26.4528.81
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.250.36
EV / EBITDA (X)5.5612.52
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.140.22
Price / BV (X)1.071.49
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.140.22
EarningsYield0.140.04

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of AVSL Industries Ltd as of October 11, 2024 is: ₹195.11

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of October 11, 2024, AVSL Industries Ltd is Undervalued by 5.46% compared to the current share price ₹185.00

Intrinsic Value of AVSL Industries Ltd as of October 11, 2024 is: ₹140.32

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of October 11, 2024, AVSL Industries Ltd is Overvalued by 24.15% compared to the current share price ₹185.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -28.08%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (67.00 cr) and profit (2.38 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 11.83%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 68.33, which may not be favorable.
  3. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 56.17, which may not be favorable.
  4. The company has higher borrowings (14.33) compared to reserves (13.25), which may suggest financial risk.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in AVSL Industries Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 2.2%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 30.51% (Industry Average ROCE: 15.25%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 15.8% (Industry Average ROE: 12.8%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 2.91
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 1.17
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 40.3 (Industry average Stock P/E: 47.22)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.93
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

AVSL Industries Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 08/08/2003 and has its registered office in the State of Delhi, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L18101DL2003PLC121698 and registration number is 121698. Currently company belongs to the Industry of Plastics - Plastic & Plastic Products. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 100.22 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 5.33 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Plastics - Plastic & Plastic ProductsUnit No. 1001, NDM-2, 10th Floor, Delhi Delhi 110034avsl_pvc@avsl.co.in
http://www.avsl.co.in
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Sanjay BansalManaging Director
Mrs. Priti BansalDirector
Mr. Ashish GargNon Executive Director
Mr. Sugreev SinghIndependent Director
Mr. Dhirendra SangalIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest fair value of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The latest fair value of AVSL Industries Ltd is ₹195.11.

What is the Market Cap of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The Market Cap of AVSL Industries Ltd is 98.6 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of AVSL Industries Ltd as on 11 October 2024?

The current stock price of AVSL Industries Ltd as on 11 October 2024 is ₹185.

What is the High / Low of AVSL Industries Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of AVSL Industries Ltd stocks is 203/138.

What is the Stock P/E of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The Stock P/E of AVSL Industries Ltd is 40.3.

What is the Book Value of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The Book Value of AVSL Industries Ltd is 66.2.

What is the Dividend Yield of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of AVSL Industries Ltd is 0.00 %.

What is the ROCE of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The ROCE of AVSL Industries Ltd is 9.01 %.

What is the ROE of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The ROE of AVSL Industries Ltd is 7.17 %.

What is the Face Value of AVSL Industries Ltd?

The Face Value of AVSL Industries Ltd is 10.0.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in AVSL Industries Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE