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Last Updated on: 14 November, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo

Gulshan Polyols Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: November 11, 2024, 12:14 pm

Market Cap 1,302 Cr.
Current Price 209
High / Low264/158
Stock P/E56.3
Book Value 94.7
Dividend Yield0.14 %
ROCE3.23 %
ROE2.01 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio22.56

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Gulshan Polyols Ltd

Competitors of Gulshan Polyols Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Industry Average0 Cr0000%0.59%0.49%0

All Competitor Stocks of Gulshan Polyols Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthDec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023
Sales209.13227.35238.56277.28292.66292.23270.18276.38331.62301.54293.47307.83371.08
Expenses172.78184.75195.42230.31257.54267.32248.86257.34309.60275.74281.64291.60360.29
Operating Profit36.3542.6043.1446.9735.1224.9121.3219.0422.0225.8011.8316.2310.79
OPM %17.38%18.74%18.08%16.94%12.00%8.52%7.89%6.89%6.64%8.56%4.03%5.27%2.91%
Other Income0.132.040.410.430.101.100.471.352.173.083.783.983.02
Interest0.841.960.821.161.601.381.091.491.522.032.123.930.52
Depreciation8.238.647.578.008.358.487.067.127.217.348.789.535.27
Profit before tax27.4134.0435.1638.2425.2716.1513.6411.7815.4619.514.716.758.02
Tax %32.11%37.72%25.51%25.84%24.61%27.74%25.29%22.84%23.35%25.42%6.58%66.81%42.02%
Net Profit18.6021.2026.1928.3719.0511.6710.199.0911.8514.554.392.244.65
EPS in Rs3.303.774.655.043.381.971.631.461.902.330.700.360.75

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales2682773193954334926166746217661,1011,1801,274
Expenses2312322733413724315475905526369511,0921,209
Operating Profit3745475461606984691301508865
OPM %14%16%15%14%14%12%11%12%11%17%14%7%5%
Other Income12235422132714
Interest3443461114117569
Depreciation13141423242836443133322931
Profit before tax222932323830242727941156039
Tax %17%16%14%20%19%10%23%21%25%34%26%25%
Net Profit18242725302718212162854526
EPS in Rs3.554.785.374.765.494.863.243.813.6611.0314.407.274.14
Dividend Payout %6%9%8%12%11%39%18%15%16%8%12%6%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2012-20132013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)33.33%12.50%-7.41%20.00%-10.00%-33.33%16.67%0.00%195.24%37.10%-47.06%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-20.83%-19.91%27.41%-30.00%-23.33%50.00%-16.67%195.24%-158.14%-84.16%

Gulshan Polyols Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2012-2013 to 2022-2023.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:16%
5 Years:15%
3 Years:22%
TTM:35%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:-8%
5 Years:-11%
3 Years:-42%
TTM:-33%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:17%
5 Years:41%
3 Years:-7%
1 Year:-8%
Return on Equity
10 Years:10%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:9%
Last Year:2%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: September 15, 2024, 3:34 pm

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital444555555556
Reserves143167195227254268286301372530570584
Borrowings469410014816318214510111112248349
Other Liabilities3654495679584751120126165217
Total Liabilities2293193484365025134824575077749881,157
Fixed Assets98147142145198298273260244240279521
CWIP6279797153391278182
Investments0125786001262315
Other Assets124157195187199209204193259417408438
Total Assets2293193484365025134824575077749881,157

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +213250558142874498611666
Cash from Investing Activity +-8-69-11-116-81-37-17-16-5-136-247-158
Cash from Financing Activity +-1041-236-1-4-48-51-7717012488
Net Cash Flow3437-25-2222-231695-108-4

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow37.00-1.00-47.00-46.00-87.00-103.00-113.00-61.00-32.00119.0038.00-160.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days736859626669544847404444
Inventory Days87128877611684548989698262
Days Payable445236396838213055374252
Cash Conversion Cycle115144110991151158710880728454
Working Capital Days787961545660526657487059
ROCE %18%15%12%12%9%8%9%9%25%23%9%3%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Promoters68.20%68.20%64.86%66.65%66.65%66.65%66.65%66.65%66.72%66.72%66.72%66.68%
FIIs0.14%0.22%1.59%0.54%0.34%0.33%0.31%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%
DIIs0.00%0.00%3.23%3.30%3.52%3.52%3.53%3.52%1.23%1.20%0.58%0.40%
Public31.50%31.41%30.08%29.29%29.24%29.27%29.27%29.58%31.80%31.77%32.36%32.66%
Others0.17%0.17%0.24%0.23%0.23%0.23%0.25%0.25%0.26%0.31%0.33%0.27%
No. of Shareholders26,20326,73929,43031,32831,35730,44729,37732,99734,24834,71835,99235,909

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Aditya Birla Sun Life Pure Value Fund767,3570.3315.6767,3572024-11-080%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22
FaceValue1.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)2.858.6916.40
Diluted EPS (Rs.)2.858.6916.40
Cash EPS (Rs.)8.0414.2222.64
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)94.65110.61103.01
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)94.65110.61103.01
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)220.93226.98211.78
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)11.2718.2929.28
PBIT / Share (Rs.)6.0812.7623.04
PBT / Share (Rs.)4.4611.5822.09
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)2.858.6916.40
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)2.858.6916.40
PBDIT Margin (%)5.108.0513.82
PBIT Margin (%)2.755.6210.87
PBT Margin (%)2.015.1010.42
Net Profit Margin (%)1.283.827.74
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)1.283.827.74
Return on Networth / Equity (%)3.007.8515.92
Return on Capital Employeed (%)4.479.1919.94
Return On Assets (%)1.534.5711.01
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.380.220.08
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.590.430.20
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)1.291.340.00
Current Ratio (X)1.401.432.17
Quick Ratio (X)0.910.841.54
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)5.945.290.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)0.0011.503.21
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)0.007.032.32
Earning Retention Ratio (%)0.0088.5096.79
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)0.0092.9797.68
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)6.9515.5130.68
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)2.768.3718.19
Enterprise Value (Cr.)1351.271295.731814.50
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.981.101.65
EV / EBITDA (X)19.2313.6311.92
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.730.891.66
Retention Ratios (%)0.0088.4996.78
Price / BV (X)1.711.833.41
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.730.891.66
EarningsYield0.010.040.04

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd as of November 14, 2024 is: 107.32

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of November 14, 2024, Gulshan Polyols Ltd is Overvalued by 48.65% compared to the current share price 209.00

Intrinsic Value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd as of November 14, 2024 is: 110.00

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of November 14, 2024, Gulshan Polyols Ltd is Overvalued by 47.37% compared to the current share price 209.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 2.50%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The company has higher reserves (324.75 cr) compared to borrowings (141.58 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
  2. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (374.15 cr) and profit (43.77 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 12.67%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 61.67, which may not be favorable.
  3. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 98.58, which may not be favorable.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Gulshan Polyols Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 1.28%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 4.47% (Industry Average ROCE: 0.59%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 3% (Industry Average ROE: 0.49%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 2.76
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 0.91
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 56.3 (Industry average Stock P/E: 0)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.59
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Gulshan Polyols Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 20/10/2000 and has its registered office in the State of Uttar Pradesh, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L24231UP2000PLC034918 and registration number is 034918. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Manufacture of country liquor. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 1100.73 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 5.20 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Agricultural Products9th K .M., Jansath Road, Muzaffarnagar Uttar Pradesh 251001cs@gulshanindia.com
http://www.gulshanindia.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Dr. Chandra Kumar JainChairman & Managing Director
Ms. Arushi JainJoint Managing Director
Ms. Aditi PasariJoint Managing Director
Mr. Ashwani K VatsWholeTime Director & CEO
Mr. Rakesh KapoorDirector
Ms. Archana JainDirector
Mr. Soumyajit MitraDirector
Mr. Nitesh GargDirector

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd as on 14 November 2024 is ₹107.32, which is 48.65% lower than the current market price of ₹209.00.

What is the Market Cap of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The Market Cap of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 1,302 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Gulshan Polyols Ltd as on 14 November 2024?

The current stock price of Gulshan Polyols Ltd as on 14 November 2024 is ₹209.

What is the High / Low of Gulshan Polyols Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Gulshan Polyols Ltd stocks is 264/158.

What is the Stock P/E of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 56.3.

What is the Book Value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The Book Value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 94.7.

What is the Dividend Yield of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 0.14 %.

What is the ROCE of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The ROCE of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 3.23 %.

What is the ROE of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The ROE of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 2.01 %.

What is the Face Value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd?

The Face Value of Gulshan Polyols Ltd is 1.00.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Gulshan Polyols Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE