National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹618.73Undervalued by 15,564.05%vs CMP ₹3.95

P/E (15.0) × ROE (15.0%) × BV (₹337.00) × DY (2.00%)

Defaults: P/E=15, ROE=15%

₹583.65Undervalued by 14,675.95%vs CMP ₹3.95
MoS: +99.3% (Strong)Confidence: 53/100 (Moderate)Models: All 3: Undervalued
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹1,175.5847%Under (+29661.5%)
Dividend DiscountDividends₹27.5025%Under (+596.2%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹91.4628%Under (+2215.4%)
Consensus (3 models)₹583.65100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR 90.0% lifts DCF — verify sustainability. | Wide model spread (₹28–₹1,176) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 90.0% · Defaults: P/E=15, ROE=15%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 14 December 2024, 12:29 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2022; quarterly results through Dec 2022; cash flow through Mar 2022. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹583.65, compared with a stored share price of ₹3.95. The model value is 14,675.9% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2022 was ₹815.00 Cr, versus ₹1,578.00 Cr in Mar 2021 (-48.4% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2022 was ₹-215.00 Cr, versus ₹-227.00 Cr in Mar 2021. These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2022 period, operating cash flow was ₹126.00 Cr against net profit of ₹-215.00 Cr.A cash-to-profit ratio is not meaningful with zero or negative profit.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹1,537.00 Cr in Sep 2022. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

51
National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd scores 51/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health48/100 · Moderate
ROCE 24.9% ExcellentD/E -1.03 Low debtInterest Coverage 0.1x RiskyProfitable 0/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money50/100 · Moderate
Promoter holding at 49.9% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
OPM expanding (-9% → 0%) ImprovingWorking capital: -851 days (improving) Efficient
Quarterly Momentum25/100 · Weak
Revenue (4Q): -31% YoY DecliningOPM: -5.0% (down 7.0% YoY) Margin pressure
Industry Rank55/100 · Moderate
ROCE 24.9% vs industry 18.1% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: -9% Shrinking

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: December 14, 2024, 12:29 am

Market Cap 17.6 Cr.
Current Price 3.95
Intrinsic Value₹583.65
High / Low /
Stock P/E
Book Value 337
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE24.9 %
ROE%
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.00

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Bloom Industries Ltd 21.5 Cr. 32.3 45.0/27.617.7 16.40.00 %11.2 %11.2 % 10.0
National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd 17.6 Cr. 3.95 / 3370.00 %24.9 %% 10.0
Industry Average0 Cr18.1317.70176.700.00%18.05%11.20%10.00

All Competitor Stocks of National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2019Mar 2020Jun 2020Sep 2020Dec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022
Sales 334348269519540250249208200159121180166
Expenses 327396279519535260265209195139125179174
Operating Profit 7-48-905-10-17-1520-41-9
OPM % 2%-14%-3%0%1%-4%-7%-0%2%13%-3%0%-5%
Other Income 01505210330-39100
Interest 415645515349106162154000
Depreciation 12121212121212121212121212
Profit before tax -47-100-66-58-58-71-1343-28-85-15-12-21
Tax % 0%54%7%-18%-1%-27%-23%0%0%3%0%0%0%
Net Profit -47-153-70-48-58-52-1033-28-87-15-12-21
EPS in Rs -10.46-34.48-15.82-10.71-12.95-11.61-23.110.74-6.39-19.53-3.43-2.70-4.61

Last Updated: February 28, 2025, 6:13 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: October 15, 2025, 4:47 am

MetricMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022TTM
Sales 2,5402,7853,4843,4993,8843,7503,9804,2101,0821,3091,578815626
Expenses 2,4132,6313,3163,3193,6983,5983,8944,2661,2391,3311,593808618
Operating Profit 12815416918118615286-55-157-22-1578
OPM % 5%6%5%5%5%4%2%-1%-15%-2%-1%1%1%
Other Income 1401210138131526158-38-38
Interest 8410312512712313713813414718219816555
Depreciation 18181921151549504949494848
Profit before tax 393437434838-87-224-327-237-253-244-132
Tax % 18%16%22%29%38%26%-5%-36%-26%23%-10%-12%
Net Profit 322929303028-82-143-240-291-227-215-135
EPS in Rs 7.246.466.496.846.786.32-18.45-32.11-54.03-65.36-51.10-48.29-30.27
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%-2%0%0%0%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2011-20122012-20132013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-2022
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-9.38%0.00%3.45%0.00%-6.67%-392.86%-74.39%-67.83%-21.25%21.99%5.29%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%9.38%3.45%-3.45%-6.67%-386.19%318.47%6.56%46.58%43.24%-16.71%

National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2011-2012 to 2021-2022.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:-12%
5 Years:-27%
3 Years:-9%
TTM:-31%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:%
3 Years:8%
TTM:55%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:-12%
5 Years:-1%
3 Years:1%
1 Year:%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:%
3 Years:%
Last Year:%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 11:35 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: December 10, 2025, 3:08 am

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Sep 2022
Equity Capital 44444444444444444444444444
Reserves 153179206234260286-415-559-799-1,063-1,300-1,516-1,544
Borrowings 3803453483643372882532551,2211,3391,5021,5371,537
Other Liabilities 5426456476307917721,9311,707406392360436448
Total Liabilities 1,1201,2141,2451,2711,4321,3901,8131,448873712606501486
Fixed Assets 189179221203192166641600552503457411386
CWIP 12481121454100000
Investments 3333312110100
Other Assets 9169841,0201,0651,2171,1781,1668473202081489199
Total Assets 1,1201,2141,2451,2711,4321,3901,8131,448873712606501486

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022
Cash from Operating Activity + 74171158108170166173132-8553636126
Cash from Investing Activity + -18-3807-1426222040-2-0
Cash from Financing Activity + -33-133-124-128-161-193-174-129759-38-34-130
Net Cash Flow 22-135-13-5-125109-1-0-4

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is not available in the stored cash-flow statement. Missing values are not treated as zero.

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022
Debtor Days 4544424340423831551516
Inventory Days 78774852575545262827198
Days Payable 768568677677163130986749144
Cash Conversion Cycle 473622282120-79-72-15-25-30-131
Working Capital Days 1716912912-81-93-429-403-382-851
ROCE %23%24%28%28%27%24%20%-173%-14%-19%-25%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthJun 2020Sep 2020Dec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023
Promoters 49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%49.85%
DIIs 0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%
Public 50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.03%50.04%
No. of Shareholders 27,70727,63427,43827,23627,13227,66027,98427,87527,76527,71927,64827,934

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 22Mar 21Mar 20Mar 19Mar 18
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) -48.29-51.10-65.36-54.03-32.11
Diluted EPS (Rs.) -48.29-51.10-65.36-54.03-32.11
Cash EPS (Rs.) -37.50-40.16-54.42-43.04-20.98
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) -335.83-287.21-234.94-169.51-115.59
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) -335.83-287.21-234.94-169.51-115.59
Dividend / Share (Rs.) 0.000.000.000.400.50
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 183.16354.71294.23243.08946.17
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 2.18-1.45-1.40-29.48-9.01
PBIT / Share (Rs.) -8.61-12.39-12.33-40.47-20.13
PBT / Share (Rs.) -54.83-56.79-53.32-73.51-50.28
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) -48.29-51.10-65.36-54.03-32.11
PBDIT Margin (%) 1.19-0.40-0.47-12.12-0.95
PBIT Margin (%) -4.69-3.49-4.18-16.64-2.12
PBT Margin (%) -29.93-16.01-18.12-30.24-5.31
Net Profit Margin (%) -26.36-14.40-22.21-22.22-3.39
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 2.614.695.9226.0324.37
Return On Assets (%) -42.87-37.25-40.84-27.54-9.86
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.00-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.10
Total Debt / Equity (X) -1.03-1.18-1.28-1.55-0.48
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.472.391.650.932.58
Current Ratio (X) 0.030.080.120.190.46
Quick Ratio (X) 0.020.040.070.140.30
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 11.6917.7714.453.462.88
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 0.000.000.000.00-1.55
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 0.000.000.000.00-2.38
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 0.000.000.000.00101.55
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 0.000.000.000.00102.38
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 0.05-0.03-0.03-0.89-0.29
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) -0.05-0.15-0.59-0.63-0.06
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 1552.711511.881337.721182.47275.99
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.910.951.021.090.06
EV / EBITDA (X) 159.84-234.89-215.43-9.01-6.89
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.020.010.000.020.03
Retention Ratios (%) 0.000.000.000.00101.55
Price / BV (X) -0.01-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.24
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.020.010.000.020.03
EarningsYield -10.90-11.94-46.68-9.67-1.11

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd and is it undervalued?

National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹583.65, compared with a stored share price of ₹3.95. The model value is 14,675.9% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹3.95. Price-data record updated: 14 December 2024, 12:29 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is /; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2022 was ₹815.00 Cr, versus ₹1,578.00 Cr in Mar 2021 (-48.4% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2022 was ₹-215.00 Cr, versus ₹-227.00 Cr in Mar 2021. These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2022 period, operating cash flow was ₹126.00 Cr against net profit of ₹-215.00 Cr.A cash-to-profit ratio is not meaningful with zero or negative profit.

What should I check in National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹1,537.00 Cr in Sep 2022. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

What could change National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in National Steel & Agro Industries Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE