NCL Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹123.90Overvalued by 29.60%vs CMP ₹176.00

P/E (6.4) × ROE (11.3%) × BV (₹209.00) × DY (1.99%)

₹195.47Undervalued by 11.06%vs CMP ₹176.00
MoS: +10% (Thin)Confidence: 48/100 (Moderate)Models: 5 Under, 4 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹112.1422%Over (-36.3%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹248.9616%Under (+41.5%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹40.1511%Over (-77.2%)
DCFCash Flow₹77.8913%Over (-55.7%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹208.907%Under (+18.7%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹245.789%Under (+39.6%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹131.807%Over (-25.1%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹539.069%Under (+206.3%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹397.275%Under (+125.7%)
Consensus (9 models)₹195.47100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹40–₹539) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -9.5%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 3:07 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

NCL Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹195.47, compared with a stored share price of ₹176.00. The model value is 11.1% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹1,799.00 Cr, versus ₹2,104.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-14.5% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹25.00 Cr, versus ₹94.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-73.4% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹96.00 Cr against net profit of ₹25.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 3.84 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹239.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

77
NCL Industries Ltd scores 77/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health80/100 · Strong
ROCE 14.6% GoodROE 11.3% AverageD/E 0.28 Low debtInterest Coverage 6.2x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money50/100 · Moderate
FII holding stable No changePromoter holding at 41.7% Stable
Earnings Quality85/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 2.95x Cash-backed earningsOPM stable around 8% SteadyWorking capital: 6 days (improving) Efficient
Quarterly Momentum80/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): -2% YoY FlatProfit (4Q): +37% YoY StrongOPM: 11.0% (up 5.0% YoY) Margin expansion
Industry Rank70/100 · Strong
P/E 6.4 vs industry 34.7 Lower P/EROCE 14.6% vs industry 8.6% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: -4% Shrinking

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 3:07 am

Market Cap 797 Cr.
Current Price 176
Intrinsic Value₹195.47
High / Low 215/148
Stock P/E6.43
Book Value 209
Dividend Yield1.99 %
ROCE14.6 %
ROE11.3 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio-0.68

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for NCL Industries Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
NCL Industries Ltd 797 Cr. 176 215/1486.43 2091.99 %14.6 %11.3 % 10.0
Deccan Cements Ltd 786 Cr. 560 1,158/525 5360.09 %3.31 %2.43 % 5.00
Shree Digvijay Cement Co. Ltd 1,018 Cr. 68.8 97.2/53.956.4 24.71.45 %6.40 %6.86 % 10.0
Andhra Cements Ltd 393 Cr. 42.6 92.2/40.4 8.760.00 %6.01 %64.0 % 10.0
Kesoram Industries Ltd 359 Cr. 11.6 14.3/4.55 11.90.00 %8.48 %18.6 % 10.0
Industry Average35,959.64 Cr1,676.0734.66605.890.72%8.59%13.53%7.13

All Competitor Stocks of NCL Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 419435441391433419355330341383338345343
Expenses 366396378352376370319297322362288296307
Operating Profit 53396339574936342021514936
OPM % 13%9%14%10%13%12%10%10%6%5%15%14%11%
Other Income 3854364-7584-28
Interest 7657656555655
Depreciation 13131313131613151415131315
Profit before tax 36274923423421769362923
Tax % 45%60%37%39%40%28%40%62%41%28%44%32%43%
Net Profit 20113114252413336202013
EPS in Rs 4.412.396.873.065.555.352.860.590.741.424.474.362.93

Last Updated: March 3, 2026, 5:46 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 25, 2026, 4:46 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 5515347508688809809381,7492,0462,0442,1041,7991,409
Expenses 5214636287537468437971,4651,8381,8951,8951,6861,252
Operating Profit 2970122115134137140284208149209113157
OPM % 5%13%16%13%15%14%15%16%10%7%10%6%11%
Other Income 552476371119181018
Interest 41373132323732222527242421
Depreciation 31262525354542414548565657
Profit before tax -38126762746169228150931484397
Tax % 8%28%21%11%34%23%27%35%34%51%36%41%
Net Profit -41953554947511499846942560
EPS in Rs -11.682.5514.4514.8810.8610.3611.2432.8721.7010.1720.835.6113.18
Dividend Payout % -9%0%14%17%23%24%1%12%14%30%19%36%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)121.95%488.89%3.77%-10.91%-4.08%8.51%192.16%-34.23%-53.06%104.35%-73.40%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%366.94%-485.12%-14.68%6.83%12.59%183.65%-226.39%-18.83%157.41%-177.75%

NCL Industries Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:10%
5 Years:9%
3 Years:-12%
TTM:-13%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:13%
5 Years:-9%
3 Years:-31%
TTM:-49%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:10%
5 Years:16%
3 Years:6%
1 Year:-3%
Return on Equity
10 Years:12%
5 Years:11%
3 Years:7%
Last Year:4%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 11:35 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: July 9, 2026, 3:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 353737454545454545454545
Reserves 118160190416454483620699730810819901
Borrowings 179202347278336347320335292218252239
Other Liabilities 258224210224260278314392441469532403
Total Liabilities 5906237849621,0951,1531,2991,4721,5081,5421,6481,588
Fixed Assets 4073923856936586957897739869699221,091
CWIP 2111523390906117128391482
Investments 000000305035515046
Other Assets 181221246237346368419477459484528449
Total Assets 5906237849621,0951,1531,2991,4721,5081,5421,6481,588

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 56130181567110623710620818396146
Cash from Investing Activity + 4-18-161-223-69-78-136-139-101-64-111-108
Cash from Financing Activity + -57-97133704-31-52-25-83-110-5-50
Net Cash Flow 315-946-449-58249-20-12
Free Cash Flow 55112-142-66227101-33105118-1838
CFO/OP 79%107%28%128%64%89%107%73%168%103%87%96%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow55.00112.00-142.00-66.002.0027.00101.00-33.00105.00118.00-18.0038.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 293026203256562230252528
Inventory Days 261242256199240214327173186240217290
Days Payable 22619199126146184197121103144110177
Cash Conversion Cycle 6482183931278718675114122132141
Working Capital Days -62-63-582-5-4-16-81710116
ROCE %1%14%27%19%16%12%12%27%17%11%16%7%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 44.48%44.48%43.71%42.31%42.08%42.11%42.27%41.02%40.93%40.95%41.56%41.67%
FIIs 4.23%4.88%5.17%5.41%5.33%5.14%5.24%5.77%4.45%3.95%3.87%3.45%
DIIs 0.03%0.03%0.03%0.39%0.03%0.03%0.04%0.09%0.09%0.16%0.20%0.03%
Government 0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.01%
Public 51.25%50.59%51.07%51.88%52.53%52.69%52.43%53.11%54.53%54.92%54.38%54.84%
No. of Shareholders 54,34952,98153,74356,14258,85558,12156,55853,41250,91049,40348,81748,540

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

NCL Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 5.5220.509.4020.6932.65
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 5.5220.509.4020.6932.65
Cash EPS (Rs.) 18.0933.0020.6631.1841.94
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 189.74187.72170.20163.78146.95
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 189.74187.72170.20163.78146.95
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 311.90413.72355.86361.11305.90
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 28.8249.8936.8348.0964.02
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 16.3037.5025.9637.7754.24
PBT / Share (Rs.) 9.4632.4220.1732.2949.64
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 5.5720.619.7920.8632.16
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 5.5720.619.7920.8632.16
PBDIT Margin (%) 9.2412.0510.3513.3120.92
PBIT Margin (%) 5.229.067.2910.4517.73
PBT Margin (%) 3.037.835.668.9416.22
Net Profit Margin (%) 1.784.982.755.7710.51
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 1.784.982.755.7710.51
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 2.9310.975.7512.7321.88
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 5.9914.029.8815.2024.72
Return On Assets (%) 1.546.052.916.4111.19
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.170.170.260.370.35
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.280.250.370.420.40
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.881.221.081.181.13
Current Ratio (X) 1.141.341.281.211.11
Quick Ratio (X) 0.520.800.830.830.76
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 6.641.891.642.161.91
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 62.8314.5530.6419.177.77
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 19.349.0914.5212.825.96
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 37.1785.4569.3680.8392.23
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 80.6690.9185.4887.1894.04
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 6.249.836.368.9913.92
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 2.695.062.694.927.99
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 1052.13998.621057.691111.76971.27
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.740.530.650.680.70
EV / EBITDA (X) 8.074.426.355.113.35
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.580.440.500.490.56
Retention Ratios (%) 37.1685.4469.3580.8292.22
Price / BV (X) 0.960.981.051.091.17
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.580.440.500.490.56
EarningsYield 0.030.110.050.110.18

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of NCL Industries Ltd and is it undervalued?

NCL Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹195.47, compared with a stored share price of ₹176.00. The model value is 11.1% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for NCL Industries Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹176.00. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 3:07 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 215/148; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have NCL Industries Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹1,799.00 Cr, versus ₹2,104.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-14.5% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹25.00 Cr, versus ₹94.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-73.4% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does NCL Industries Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹96.00 Cr against net profit of ₹25.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 3.84 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in NCL Industries Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹239.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare NCL Industries Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 6.43. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change NCL Industries Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in NCL Industries Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE