The predicted share price (Closing Price) for ABC Gas (International) Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-10) is ₹646.00 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹760.00
ABC Gas (International) Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹61.52 vs CMP ₹760.00 (-91.9%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.581 · EMA(252): ₹480.62
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
140.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.660
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+1.2%5Y+0.4%10Y
Historical drift: +118.6% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.94x
Upside -91.9% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-1135.4%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 16.79% · 430 data points over 589 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹15.20
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹226.00
₹760.00
CMP: ₹760.00100% into range0% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹61.52 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹76025% ₹58550% ₹41175% ₹236Target ₹62
Gap: 91.9% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: ABC Gas (International) Ltd appears overvalued by 91.9% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.66 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (140.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
ABC Gas (International) Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
752.22
-1.0%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
771.14
Feb
773.96
Mar
773.80
Apr
760.51
May
773.56
Jun
761.42
Jul
777.27
Aug
765.97
Sep
753.70
Oct
753.70
Nov
751.26
Dec
752.22
2028
778.51
+2.4%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
765.38
Feb
760.85
Mar
768.58
Apr
765.61
May
768.27
Jun
769.66
Jul
775.46
Aug
782.87
Sep
782.22
Oct
770.25
Nov
774.45
Dec
778.51
2029
755.99
-0.5%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
774.31
Feb
778.45
Mar
778.32
Apr
781.15
May
766.54
Jun
760.37
Jul
749.59
Aug
756.78
Sep
765.66
Oct
773.78
Nov
768.50
Dec
755.99
2030
763.90
+0.5%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
756.67
Feb
756.38
Mar
750.62
Apr
746.59
May
743.99
Jun
734.80
Jul
731.11
Aug
726.80
Sep
742.59
Oct
742.97
Nov
746.94
Dec
763.90
2031
808.37
+6.4%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
756.16
Feb
767.28
Mar
763.46
Apr
772.23
May
779.72
Jun
768.33
Jul
778.73
Aug
777.72
Sep
795.01
Oct
804.09
Nov
815.05
Dec
808.37
2032
789.25
+3.8%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
812.36
Feb
815.16
Mar
807.95
Apr
808.09
May
802.75
Jun
802.46
Jul
802.45
Aug
797.66
Sep
796.54
Oct
797.12
Nov
794.93
Dec
789.25
2033
806.10
+6.1%
+0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
784.24
Feb
782.76
Mar
776.62
Apr
788.03
May
787.47
Jun
791.52
Jul
793.98
Aug
795.53
Sep
796.87
Oct
807.99
Nov
806.48
Dec
806.10
2034
839.05
+10.4%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
806.36
Feb
796.18
Mar
806.96
Apr
813.62
May
816.45
Jun
823.86
Jul
820.85
Aug
826.60
Sep
818.67
Oct
815.97
Nov
819.86
Dec
839.05
2035
784.34
+3.2%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
833.41
Feb
821.80
Mar
816.90
Apr
818.75
May
814.45
Jun
821.13
Jul
822.60
Aug
805.92
Sep
802.08
Oct
801.26
Nov
794.33
Dec
784.34
2036
790.60
+4.0%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
792.56
Feb
781.18
Mar
788.36
Apr
785.71
May
787.22
Jun
780.98
Jul
777.87
Aug
782.61
Sep
775.55
Oct
787.55
Nov
799.78
Dec
790.60
ABC Gas (International) Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
6.15%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
67.7%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹29.70
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
260
ABC Gas (International) Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
ABC Gas (International) Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will ABC Gas (International) Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
ABC Gas (International) Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹646.00 on 2026-04-10, which is 15.00% lower than today's price of ₹760.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of ABC Gas (International) Ltd?
ABC Gas (International) Ltd intrinsic value is ₹61.52, which is 91.91% below the current price of ₹760.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of ABC Gas (International) Ltd in 2027?
ABC Gas (International) Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹752.22 by year-end (range: ₹751.26 to ₹777.27), representing a -1.02% decrease from the current price of ₹760.00.
What is the share price target of ABC Gas (International) Ltd in 2028?
ABC Gas (International) Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹778.51 by year-end (range: ₹760.85 to ₹782.87), representing a 2.44% increase from the current price of ₹760.00.
What is the share price target of ABC Gas (International) Ltd in 2029?
ABC Gas (International) Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹755.99 by year-end (range: ₹749.59 to ₹781.15), representing a -0.53% decrease from the current price of ₹760.00.
Should I buy ABC Gas (International) Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, ABC Gas (International) Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹61.52 vs CMP ₹760.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for ABC Gas (International) Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for ABC Gas (International) Ltd is ₹15.20, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.