The predicted share price (Closing Price) for AGI Infra Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-26) is ₹245.65 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹289.00
AGI Infra Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹117.66 vs CMP ₹289.00 (-59.3%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.731 · EMA(252): ₹395.25
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
178.1% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.508
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+0.4%5Y+0.8%10Y
Historical drift: -51.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.61x
Upside -59.3% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-145.6%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 10.36% · 588 data points over 559 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹5.78
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹235.00
₹312.00
CMP: ₹289.0070% into range7.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹117.66 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹28925% ₹24650% ₹20375% ₹160Target ₹118
Gap: 59.3% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: AGI Infra Ltd appears overvalued by 59.3% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (178.1% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
AGI Infra Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
315.77
+9.3%
+9.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
288.41
Feb
328.30
Mar
347.21
Apr
339.98
May
326.70
Jun
320.06
Jul
340.65
Aug
343.36
Sep
328.42
Oct
327.38
Nov
328.93
Dec
315.77
2028
312.93
+8.3%
+4.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
303.56
Feb
301.18
Mar
305.93
Apr
296.67
May
299.86
Jun
306.18
Jul
300.84
Aug
316.16
Sep
320.79
Oct
321.34
Nov
308.09
Dec
312.93
2029
315.51
+9.2%
+3.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
301.01
Feb
272.75
Mar
261.70
Apr
264.68
May
262.64
Jun
253.68
Jul
249.54
Aug
259.22
Sep
280.57
Oct
288.09
Nov
301.24
Dec
315.51
2030
274.89
-4.9%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
295.12
Feb
292.44
Mar
298.86
Apr
308.35
May
318.62
Jun
299.72
Jul
298.91
Aug
322.62
Sep
325.14
Oct
306.03
Nov
291.60
Dec
274.89
2031
294.32
+1.8%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
302.46
Feb
314.25
Mar
318.48
Apr
319.21
May
331.49
Jun
325.55
Jul
320.43
Aug
316.02
Sep
329.80
Oct
324.35
Nov
308.87
Dec
294.32
2032
256.69
-11.2%
-2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
307.19
Feb
304.73
Mar
301.26
Apr
293.39
May
285.86
Jun
287.35
Jul
278.89
Aug
278.23
Sep
272.78
Oct
272.69
Nov
259.54
Dec
256.69
2033
259.75
-10.1%
-1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
254.35
Feb
245.69
Mar
238.07
Apr
238.96
May
231.15
Jun
232.55
Jul
237.68
Aug
234.39
Sep
242.77
Oct
252.32
Nov
258.85
Dec
259.75
2034
277.80
-3.9%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
277.10
Feb
276.20
Mar
291.20
Apr
283.28
May
276.97
Jun
274.02
Jul
273.23
Aug
283.43
Sep
276.86
Oct
292.17
Nov
272.85
Dec
277.80
2035
284.83
-1.4%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
278.08
Feb
287.58
Mar
297.45
Apr
301.87
May
315.66
Jun
297.07
Jul
334.31
Aug
329.25
Sep
318.91
Oct
325.66
Nov
299.68
Dec
284.83
2036
312.53
+8.1%
+0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
280.88
Feb
278.73
Mar
292.15
Apr
290.53
May
306.38
Jun
290.81
Jul
308.69
Aug
295.29
Sep
295.76
Oct
301.03
Nov
294.03
Dec
312.53
AGI Infra Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
5.13%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
57.5%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹44.71
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
339
AGI Infra Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
AGI Infra Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
AGI Infra Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will AGI Infra Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
AGI Infra Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹245.65 on 2026-04-26, which is 15.00% lower than today's price of ₹289.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of AGI Infra Ltd?
AGI Infra Ltd intrinsic value is ₹117.66, which is 59.29% below the current price of ₹289.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of AGI Infra Ltd in 2027?
AGI Infra Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹315.77 by year-end (range: ₹288.41 to ₹347.21), representing a 9.26% increase from the current price of ₹289.00.
What is the share price target of AGI Infra Ltd in 2028?
AGI Infra Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹312.93 by year-end (range: ₹296.67 to ₹321.34), representing a 8.28% increase from the current price of ₹289.00.
What is the share price target of AGI Infra Ltd in 2029?
AGI Infra Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹315.51 by year-end (range: ₹249.54 to ₹315.51), representing a 9.17% increase from the current price of ₹289.00.
Should I buy AGI Infra Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, AGI Infra Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹117.66 vs CMP ₹289.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for AGI Infra Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for AGI Infra Ltd is ₹5.78, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
AGI Infra Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for AGI Infra Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for AGI Infra Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for AGI Infra Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.