The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Abhinav Capital Services Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-17) is ₹102.35 which is 13.99% lower than today’s share price of ₹119.00
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹63.83 vs CMP ₹119.00 (-46.4%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.919 · EMA(252): ₹129.56
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
69.3% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.490
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+1.9%5Y-1.2%10Y
Historical drift: -22.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.49x
Upside -46.4% vs downside 94.1% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-86.4%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 17.53% · 427 data points over 599 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹6.99
(94.1% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹109.00
₹157.00
CMP: ₹119.0021% into range24.2% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹63.83 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹11925% ₹10550% ₹9175% ₹78Target ₹64
Gap: 46.4% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Abhinav Capital Services Ltd appears overvalued by 46.4% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (69.3% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
119.80
+0.7%
+0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.38
Feb
117.05
Mar
117.26
Apr
119.51
May
123.90
Jun
123.82
Jul
122.38
Aug
124.78
Sep
123.35
Oct
119.33
Nov
120.71
Dec
119.80
2028
123.42
+3.7%
+1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.94
Feb
121.60
Mar
121.45
Apr
118.74
May
118.81
Jun
116.36
Jul
119.70
Aug
120.24
Sep
121.73
Oct
122.33
Nov
122.62
Dec
123.42
2029
139.10
+16.9%
+5.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
127.55
Feb
132.34
Mar
131.41
Apr
131.71
May
136.39
Jun
138.71
Jul
139.78
Aug
141.71
Sep
139.74
Oct
142.95
Nov
142.64
Dec
139.10
2030
129.84
+9.1%
+2.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
138.68
Feb
141.85
Mar
139.63
Apr
135.44
May
132.06
Jun
132.48
Jul
131.82
Aug
129.44
Sep
132.18
Oct
133.12
Nov
130.19
Dec
129.84
2031
130.64
+9.8%
+1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
132.05
Feb
130.93
Mar
128.31
Apr
130.86
May
131.71
Jun
132.01
Jul
132.22
Aug
131.80
Sep
132.45
Oct
131.12
Nov
131.55
Dec
130.64
2032
120.16
+1.0%
+0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
128.38
Feb
128.19
Mar
125.97
Apr
123.86
May
120.94
Jun
122.21
Jul
121.75
Aug
120.54
Sep
118.90
Oct
117.67
Nov
118.18
Dec
120.16
2033
106.77
-10.3%
-1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
119.00
Feb
118.61
Mar
117.15
Apr
116.00
May
114.18
Jun
112.37
Jul
111.81
Aug
111.66
Sep
114.49
Oct
111.04
Nov
109.36
Dec
106.77
2034
102.62
-13.8%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
105.60
Feb
102.92
Mar
102.22
Apr
101.85
May
101.42
Jun
101.28
Jul
102.11
Aug
100.91
Sep
101.73
Oct
101.29
Nov
101.24
Dec
102.62
2035
102.87
-13.6%
-1.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
102.75
Feb
103.31
Mar
103.63
Apr
103.75
May
102.67
Jun
102.06
Jul
101.97
Aug
101.68
Sep
101.75
Oct
100.87
Nov
100.51
Dec
102.87
2036
105.00
-11.8%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
103.83
Feb
104.17
Mar
105.71
Apr
104.46
May
105.36
Jun
103.34
Jul
103.96
Aug
103.06
Sep
104.93
Oct
106.71
Nov
104.45
Dec
105.00
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.78%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
58.1%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹6.46
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
270
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will Abhinav Capital Services Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹102.35 on 2026-04-17, which is 13.99% lower than today's price of ₹119.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Abhinav Capital Services Ltd?
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd intrinsic value is ₹63.83, which is 46.36% below the current price of ₹119.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Abhinav Capital Services Ltd in 2027?
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹119.80 by year-end (range: ₹117.05 to ₹124.78), representing a 0.67% increase from the current price of ₹119.00.
What is the share price target of Abhinav Capital Services Ltd in 2028?
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹123.42 by year-end (range: ₹116.36 to ₹123.42), representing a 3.71% increase from the current price of ₹119.00.
What is the share price target of Abhinav Capital Services Ltd in 2029?
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹139.10 by year-end (range: ₹127.55 to ₹142.95), representing a 16.89% increase from the current price of ₹119.00.
Should I buy Abhinav Capital Services Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Abhinav Capital Services Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹63.83 vs CMP ₹119.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Abhinav Capital Services Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Abhinav Capital Services Ltd is ₹6.99, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Abhinav Capital Services Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Abhinav Capital Services Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Abhinav Capital Services Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Abhinav Capital Services Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.
