Amal Ltd share price today: ₹761.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹737.88 (2026-09-14) | 10–90% range: ₹704.86–₹775.27 | Forecast confidence: 76.8% | Chance of upside: 22.0% | Intrinsic value: ₹418.56 | 2027 target: ₹692.88 | 2036 target: ₹627.01
The next market-day median forecast for Amal Ltd (2026-09-14) is ₹737.88 which is 3.04% lower than today’s share price of ₹761.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹704.86–₹775.27. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Amal Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹418.56 vs CMP ₹761.00 (-45.0%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.308 · EMA(252): ₹581.63
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
64.6% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.575
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-3%5Y-1.9%10Y
Historical drift: +37.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.46x
Upside -45% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-81.8%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (76.8%)
Chance of upside: 22.0% · Avg forecast error: 7.42% · 548 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹15.22
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹413.00
₹771.00
CMP: ₹761.0097% into range1.3% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹418.56 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹76125% ₹67550% ₹59075% ₹504Target ₹419
Gap: 45.0% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Amal Ltd appears overvalued by 45.0% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.57 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (64.6% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Amal Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
692.88
-9.0%
-9.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
760.82
Feb
758.94
Mar
759.48
Apr
748.25
May
745.13
Jun
729.08
Jul
716.99
Aug
712.98
Sep
707.02
Oct
702.69
Nov
702.20
Dec
692.88
2028
651.42
-14.4%
-7.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
689.05
Feb
682.83
Mar
686.56
Apr
679.98
May
679.71
Jun
674.03
Jul
670.03
Aug
664.68
Sep
660.83
Oct
665.78
Nov
659.55
Dec
651.42
2029
672.19
-11.7%
-4.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
657.83
Feb
651.39
Mar
649.17
Apr
642.26
May
646.31
Jun
655.59
Jul
663.73
Aug
666.96
Sep
670.62
Oct
673.00
Nov
670.01
Dec
672.19
2030
666.11
-12.5%
-3.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
657.82
Feb
654.36
Mar
655.19
Apr
642.26
May
642.60
Jun
645.72
Jul
643.08
Aug
652.82
Sep
647.39
Oct
647.34
Nov
662.06
Dec
666.11
2031
654.52
-14.0%
-3.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
659.54
Feb
660.35
Mar
663.96
Apr
660.88
May
667.66
Jun
669.61
Jul
671.12
Aug
670.28
Sep
657.58
Oct
664.82
Nov
655.32
Dec
654.52
2032
669.18
-12.1%
-2.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
648.99
Feb
657.30
Mar
648.45
Apr
648.09
May
671.87
Jun
661.50
Jul
661.80
Aug
657.62
Sep
661.88
Oct
670.09
Nov
668.56
Dec
669.18
2033
682.89
-10.3%
-1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
670.45
Feb
656.06
Mar
657.24
Apr
661.62
May
658.84
Jun
660.39
Jul
670.33
Aug
672.14
Sep
685.62
Oct
687.87
Nov
683.23
Dec
682.89
2034
648.21
-14.8%
-2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
677.38
Feb
672.78
Mar
669.66
Apr
662.87
May
661.15
Jun
655.60
Jul
647.01
Aug
644.11
Sep
649.90
Oct
649.46
Nov
656.78
Dec
648.21
2035
634.20
-16.7%
-2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
651.45
Feb
654.60
Mar
641.31
Apr
631.88
May
633.01
Jun
622.32
Jul
623.82
Aug
626.73
Sep
628.06
Oct
630.08
Nov
633.81
Dec
634.20
2036
627.01
-17.6%
-1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
638.94
Feb
637.21
Mar
642.47
Apr
642.68
May
648.22
Jun
644.27
Jul
644.38
Aug
636.32
Sep
622.75
Oct
627.27
Nov
633.69
Dec
627.01
Amal Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.64%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
68.9%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹25.88
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
90-day target: ₹899.50|Range: ₹590.37 – ₹1,370.51|By: 23 Nov 2026
Amal Ltd Next Market-Day Share Price Probability Distribution
Median forecast: ₹737.88 · Expected range: ₹704.86 – ₹775.27 · Chance of upside: 22.0%
Amal Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Amal Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Amal Ltd median forecast is ₹737.88 on 2026-09-14, which is 3.04% lower than today’s price of ₹761.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹704.86 to ₹775.27. Forecast confidence is 76.8%, with probability-up estimate of 22.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Amal Ltd?
Amal Ltd intrinsic value is ₹418.56, which is 45.00% below the current price of ₹761.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Amal Ltd in 2027?
Amal Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹692.88 by year-end (range: ₹692.88 to ₹760.82), representing a -8.95% decrease from the current price of ₹761.00.
What is the share price target of Amal Ltd in 2028?
Amal Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹651.42 by year-end (range: ₹651.42 to ₹689.05), representing a -14.40% decrease from the current price of ₹761.00.
What is the share price target of Amal Ltd in 2029?
Amal Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹672.19 by year-end (range: ₹642.26 to ₹673.00), representing a -11.67% decrease from the current price of ₹761.00.
Should I buy Amal Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Amal Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹418.56 vs CMP ₹761.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Amal Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Amal Ltd is ₹15.22, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Amal Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Amal Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (August 21, 2024) and the end date (September 7, 2026).
548 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from August 21, 2024 to September 7, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Amal Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Amal Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.