Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd share price today: ₹141.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹119.85 (2026-08-31) | 10–90% range: ₹119.85–₹119.85 | Forecast confidence: 46.7% | Chance of upside: 0.0% | Intrinsic value: ₹4.35 | 2027 target: ₹137.26 | 2036 target: ₹97.69
The next market-day median forecast for Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd (2026-08-31) is ₹119.85 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹141.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹119.85–₹119.85. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
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Expected return--
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Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹4.35 vs CMP ₹141.00 (-96.9%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 2.136 · EMA(252): ₹66.01
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
187.3% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.671
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-6.8%5Y-3.6%10Y
Historical drift: +74.2% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.99x
Upside -96.9% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-3141.4%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
Moderate (46.7%)
Chance of upside: 0.0% · Avg forecast error: 14.88% · 337 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹2.82
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹43.10
₹141.00
CMP: ₹141.00100% into range0% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹4.35 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹14125% ₹10750% ₹7375% ₹39Target ₹4
Gap: 96.9% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd appears overvalued by 96.9% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.67 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (187.3% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
137.26
-2.7%
-2.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
141.28
Feb
136.15
Mar
135.18
Apr
133.89
May
138.16
Jun
138.96
Jul
134.96
Aug
138.38
Sep
136.75
Oct
137.62
Nov
134.72
Dec
137.26
2028
135.08
-4.2%
-2.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
141.11
Feb
142.40
Mar
138.46
Apr
134.86
May
132.24
Jun
134.06
Jul
133.00
Aug
132.65
Sep
131.97
Oct
137.00
Nov
135.18
Dec
135.08
2029
125.07
-11.3%
-3.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
134.06
Feb
132.02
Mar
129.95
Apr
130.02
May
129.35
Jun
128.16
Jul
128.55
Aug
129.92
Sep
129.38
Oct
128.95
Nov
126.11
Dec
125.07
2030
111.84
-20.7%
-5.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
126.99
Feb
124.83
Mar
121.82
Apr
123.34
May
124.87
Jun
118.36
Jul
117.58
Aug
117.62
Sep
113.87
Oct
113.03
Nov
112.71
Dec
111.84
2031
98.91
-29.9%
-6.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
109.16
Feb
108.64
Mar
107.49
Apr
104.54
May
103.04
Jun
101.05
Jul
100.33
Aug
100.81
Sep
100.07
Oct
99.75
Nov
99.34
Dec
98.91
2032
96.52
-31.5%
-6.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
100.00
Feb
99.83
Mar
96.39
Apr
95.48
May
95.71
Jun
98.74
Jul
98.81
Aug
99.39
Sep
97.36
Oct
95.64
Nov
96.35
Dec
96.52
2033
96.27
-31.7%
-5.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
97.31
Feb
98.34
Mar
99.69
Apr
102.25
May
99.13
Jun
97.68
Jul
98.27
Aug
97.37
Sep
94.90
Oct
96.64
Nov
95.16
Dec
96.27
2034
87.27
-38.1%
-5.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
98.54
Feb
98.32
Mar
95.81
Apr
96.43
May
96.87
Jun
95.95
Jul
92.31
Aug
92.37
Sep
94.03
Oct
90.92
Nov
89.31
Dec
87.27
2035
95.97
-31.9%
-4.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
88.72
Feb
87.36
Mar
88.35
Apr
89.22
May
89.00
Jun
90.10
Jul
91.41
Aug
92.15
Sep
92.52
Oct
93.94
Nov
93.47
Dec
95.97
2036
97.69
-30.7%
-3.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
96.62
Feb
96.66
Mar
99.32
Apr
99.20
May
98.49
Jun
99.16
Jul
96.51
Aug
99.93
Sep
100.48
Oct
101.61
Nov
98.97
Dec
97.69
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
6.97%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
50.2%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹4.67
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd median forecast is ₹119.85 on 2026-08-31, which is 15.00% lower than today’s price of ₹141.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹119.85 to ₹119.85. Forecast confidence is 46.7%, with probability-up estimate of 0.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd?
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd intrinsic value is ₹4.35, which is 96.91% below the current price of ₹141.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd in 2027?
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹137.26 by year-end (range: ₹133.89 to ₹141.28), representing a -2.65% decrease from the current price of ₹141.00.
What is the share price target of Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd in 2028?
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹135.08 by year-end (range: ₹131.97 to ₹142.40), representing a -4.20% decrease from the current price of ₹141.00.
What is the share price target of Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd in 2029?
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹125.07 by year-end (range: ₹125.07 to ₹134.06), representing a -11.30% decrease from the current price of ₹141.00.
Should I buy Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹4.35 vs CMP ₹141.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd is ₹2.82, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Amalgamated Electricity Company Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
