The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Asian Energy Services Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-19) is ₹218.11 which is 8.74% lower than today’s share price of ₹239.00
Asian Energy Services Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹134.68 vs CMP ₹239.00 (-43.6%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.837 · EMA(252): ₹285.45
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
54.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.513
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.8%5Y+0.4%10Y
Historical drift: -14.2% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.45x
Upside -43.6% vs downside 96.7% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-77.5%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.14% · 588 data points over 605 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹7.90
(96.7% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹234.00
₹354.00
CMP: ₹239.004% into range32.5% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹134.68 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹23925% ₹21350% ₹18775% ₹161Target ₹135
Gap: 43.6% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Asian Energy Services Ltd appears overvalued by 43.6% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (54.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Asian Energy Services Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
244.56
+2.3%
+2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
239.40
Feb
238.28
Mar
239.25
Apr
239.36
May
243.39
Jun
241.66
Jul
240.66
Aug
244.18
Sep
245.13
Oct
251.17
Nov
247.06
Dec
244.56
2028
238.73
-0.1%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
243.41
Feb
246.59
Mar
247.17
Apr
243.84
May
242.27
Jun
245.34
Jul
242.97
Aug
240.44
Sep
240.57
Oct
240.38
Nov
238.48
Dec
238.73
2029
231.16
-3.3%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
238.14
Feb
235.83
Mar
234.31
Apr
231.05
May
235.77
Jun
236.30
Jul
237.68
Aug
235.26
Sep
232.99
Oct
232.95
Nov
235.60
Dec
231.16
2030
235.07
-1.6%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
230.20
Feb
230.80
Mar
234.30
Apr
238.95
May
238.62
Jun
242.71
Jul
244.28
Aug
238.85
Sep
239.40
Oct
241.48
Nov
240.22
Dec
235.07
2031
229.41
-4.0%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
240.10
Feb
238.97
Mar
239.43
Apr
235.33
May
237.74
Jun
235.86
Jul
236.10
Aug
232.50
Sep
231.21
Oct
234.60
Nov
232.55
Dec
229.41
2032
234.10
-2.1%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
231.60
Feb
230.06
Mar
229.02
Apr
229.35
May
230.32
Jun
231.10
Jul
233.11
Aug
232.63
Sep
231.62
Oct
231.76
Nov
231.08
Dec
234.10
2033
241.04
+0.9%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
235.53
Feb
232.74
Mar
235.58
Apr
238.41
May
240.12
Jun
243.06
Jul
244.49
Aug
247.55
Sep
250.89
Oct
248.72
Nov
243.36
Dec
241.04
2034
238.33
-0.3%
0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
238.04
Feb
240.56
Mar
240.68
Apr
239.84
May
239.43
Jun
238.66
Jul
238.80
Aug
238.66
Sep
238.63
Oct
239.74
Nov
238.68
Dec
238.33
2035
241.02
+0.8%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
241.29
Feb
240.43
Mar
238.13
Apr
239.55
May
239.20
Jun
239.16
Jul
234.81
Aug
237.51
Sep
237.11
Oct
240.25
Nov
239.92
Dec
241.02
2036
249.86
+4.5%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
243.37
Feb
241.67
Mar
244.24
Apr
247.34
May
250.61
Jun
251.17
Jul
251.67
Aug
247.18
Sep
247.35
Oct
247.78
Nov
249.14
Dec
249.86
Asian Energy Services Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.16%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
68.1%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹9.90
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
329
Asian Energy Services Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Asian Energy Services Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Asian Energy Services Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Asian Energy Services Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Asian Energy Services Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Asian Energy Services Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹218.11 on 2026-04-19, which is 8.74% lower than today's price of ₹239.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Asian Energy Services Ltd?
Asian Energy Services Ltd intrinsic value is ₹134.68, which is 43.65% below the current price of ₹239.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Asian Energy Services Ltd in 2027?
Asian Energy Services Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹244.56 by year-end (range: ₹238.28 to ₹251.17), representing a 2.33% increase from the current price of ₹239.00.
What is the share price target of Asian Energy Services Ltd in 2028?
Asian Energy Services Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹238.73 by year-end (range: ₹238.48 to ₹247.17), representing a -0.11% decrease from the current price of ₹239.00.
What is the share price target of Asian Energy Services Ltd in 2029?
Asian Energy Services Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹231.16 by year-end (range: ₹231.05 to ₹238.14), representing a -3.28% decrease from the current price of ₹239.00.
Should I buy Asian Energy Services Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Asian Energy Services Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹134.68 vs CMP ₹239.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Asian Energy Services Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Asian Energy Services Ltd is ₹7.90, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Asian Energy Services Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Asian Energy Services Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Asian Energy Services Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Asian Energy Services Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.