The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Bata India Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-15) is ₹576.99 which is 5.10% lower than today’s share price of ₹608.00
Bata India Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹377.78 vs CMP ₹608.00 (-37.9%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.703 · EMA(252): ₹864.72
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.456
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-1.4%5Y-0.6%10Y
Historical drift: -28.8% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.39x
Upside -37.9% vs downside 96.5% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-60.9%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 3.7% · 598 data points over 382 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹21.40
(96.5% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹608.00
₹1,071.00
CMP: ₹608.000% into range43.2% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹377.78 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹60825% ₹55050% ₹49375% ₹435Target ₹378
Gap: 37.9% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Bata India Ltd appears overvalued by 37.9% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (34% annualized).
Bata India Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
586.23
-3.6%
-3.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
602.73
Feb
601.86
Mar
604.98
Apr
598.76
May
599.93
Jun
598.66
Jul
596.63
Aug
588.63
Sep
599.32
Oct
594.13
Nov
584.60
Dec
586.23
2028
565.14
-7.0%
-3.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
580.25
Feb
578.16
Mar
576.05
Apr
586.25
May
583.02
Jun
574.15
Jul
570.90
Aug
561.00
Sep
562.03
Oct
560.60
Nov
557.15
Dec
565.14
2029
553.65
-8.9%
-3.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
564.29
Feb
569.81
Mar
566.37
Apr
554.25
May
555.69
Jun
559.35
Jul
564.05
Aug
557.05
Sep
556.28
Oct
554.32
Nov
555.39
Dec
553.65
2030
567.13
-6.7%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
552.88
Feb
560.20
Mar
557.26
Apr
567.07
May
567.62
Jun
568.73
Jul
572.57
Aug
566.34
Sep
573.80
Oct
576.05
Nov
569.59
Dec
567.13
2031
566.16
-6.9%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
575.29
Feb
572.32
Mar
574.64
Apr
573.73
May
572.30
Jun
570.34
Jul
575.51
Aug
569.22
Sep
577.35
Oct
574.83
Nov
571.07
Dec
566.16
2032
549.83
-9.6%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
558.87
Feb
552.63
Mar
560.24
Apr
563.50
May
565.23
Jun
565.72
Jul
567.21
Aug
564.18
Sep
559.15
Oct
557.43
Nov
550.38
Dec
549.83
2033
555.42
-8.6%
-1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
541.87
Feb
537.73
Mar
534.45
Apr
538.95
May
539.62
Jun
538.96
Jul
538.09
Aug
534.57
Sep
532.85
Oct
536.76
Nov
546.23
Dec
555.42
2034
581.88
-4.3%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
557.41
Feb
557.26
Mar
562.75
Apr
564.85
May
566.89
Jun
570.56
Jul
563.73
Aug
572.25
Sep
577.42
Oct
581.11
Nov
582.24
Dec
581.88
2035
573.76
-5.6%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
576.98
Feb
584.02
Mar
586.92
Apr
584.07
May
582.06
Jun
583.79
Jul
584.22
Aug
579.36
Sep
575.29
Oct
577.95
Nov
577.19
Dec
573.76
2036
571.75
-6.0%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
575.43
Feb
575.63
Mar
580.13
Apr
572.02
May
570.87
Jun
573.58
Jul
572.90
Aug
569.11
Sep
575.30
Oct
576.34
Nov
572.52
Dec
571.75
Bata India Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
1.84%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
72.1%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹20.23
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
377
Bata India Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Bata India Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Bata India Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Bata India Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Bata India Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹576.99 on 2026-04-15, which is 5.10% lower than today's price of ₹608.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Bata India Ltd?
Bata India Ltd intrinsic value is ₹377.78, which is 37.87% below the current price of ₹608.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Bata India Ltd in 2027?
Bata India Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹586.23 by year-end (range: ₹584.60 to ₹604.98), representing a -3.58% decrease from the current price of ₹608.00.
What is the share price target of Bata India Ltd in 2028?
Bata India Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹565.14 by year-end (range: ₹557.15 to ₹586.25), representing a -7.05% decrease from the current price of ₹608.00.
What is the share price target of Bata India Ltd in 2029?
Bata India Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹553.65 by year-end (range: ₹553.65 to ₹569.81), representing a -8.94% decrease from the current price of ₹608.00.
Should I buy Bata India Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Bata India Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹377.78 vs CMP ₹608.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Bata India Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Bata India Ltd is ₹21.40, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.