Betex India Ltd share price today: ₹499.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹480.23 (2026-07-10) | 10–90% range: ₹456.27–₹505.48 | Forecast confidence: 87.5% | Chance of upside: 15.9% | Intrinsic value: ₹402.70 | 2027 target: ₹474.81 | 2036 target: ₹455.33
The next market-day median forecast for Betex India Ltd (2026-07-10) is ₹480.23 which is 3.76% lower than today’s share price of ₹499.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹456.27–₹505.48. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Betex India Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹402.70 vs CMP ₹499.00 (-19.3%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.320 · EMA(252): ₹378.06
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
87.5% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.528
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-4.2%5Y-0.9%10Y
Historical drift: +24.9% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.20x
Upside -19.3% vs downside 97.1% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-23.9%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (87.5%)
Chance of upside: 15.9% · Avg forecast error: 3.49% · 470 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹14.27
(97.1% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹226.00
₹600.00
CMP: ₹499.0073% into range16.8% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹402.70 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹49925% ₹47550% ₹45175% ₹427Target ₹403
Gap: 19.3% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Betex India Ltd appears overvalued by 19.3% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). Volatility is high (87.5% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Betex India Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
474.81
-4.8%
-4.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
496.77
Feb
488.42
Mar
492.81
Apr
497.11
May
493.46
Jun
476.62
Jul
477.84
Aug
480.97
Sep
473.58
Oct
479.66
Nov
472.33
Dec
474.81
2028
470.00
-5.8%
-2.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
467.78
Feb
459.00
Mar
455.70
Apr
455.50
May
467.44
Jun
466.24
Jul
458.44
Aug
460.42
Sep
451.46
Oct
444.96
Nov
457.71
Dec
470.00
2029
437.54
-12.3%
-4.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
468.93
Feb
470.00
Mar
470.84
Apr
475.36
May
467.72
Jun
458.31
Jul
460.08
Aug
453.58
Sep
443.90
Oct
440.87
Nov
439.57
Dec
437.54
2030
402.79
-19.3%
-5.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
434.14
Feb
427.58
Mar
424.80
Apr
418.66
May
421.02
Jun
420.98
Jul
422.90
Aug
417.49
Sep
413.13
Oct
401.09
Nov
405.39
Dec
402.79
2031
402.67
-19.3%
-4.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
399.70
Feb
393.21
Mar
398.81
Apr
397.40
May
401.54
Jun
402.75
Jul
401.06
Aug
403.92
Sep
402.74
Oct
402.27
Nov
400.98
Dec
402.67
2032
410.45
-17.7%
-3.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
403.45
Feb
395.37
Mar
400.43
Apr
402.95
May
408.30
Jun
413.22
Jul
413.63
Aug
416.80
Sep
410.64
Oct
417.80
Nov
409.75
Dec
410.45
2033
420.50
-15.7%
-2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
411.67
Feb
409.52
Mar
402.81
Apr
407.26
May
406.05
Jun
409.78
Jul
406.63
Aug
410.12
Sep
415.03
Oct
410.06
Nov
419.38
Dec
420.50
2034
434.36
-13.0%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
421.45
Feb
428.97
Mar
426.16
Apr
426.10
May
429.29
Jun
429.26
Jul
423.14
Aug
423.09
Sep
422.53
Oct
421.54
Nov
427.42
Dec
434.36
2035
455.61
-8.7%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
441.87
Feb
441.71
Mar
436.89
Apr
438.86
May
436.36
Jun
438.62
Jul
444.65
Aug
443.19
Sep
446.93
Oct
448.08
Nov
451.27
Dec
455.61
2036
455.33
-8.8%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
451.90
Feb
453.18
Mar
455.68
Apr
459.73
May
449.77
Jun
454.30
Jul
459.26
Aug
457.59
Sep
453.65
Oct
452.57
Nov
452.89
Dec
455.33
Betex India Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.48%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
68.8%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹17.30
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Betex India Ltd Next Market-Day Share Price Probability Distribution
Median forecast: ₹480.23 · Expected range: ₹456.27 – ₹505.48 · Chance of upside: 15.9%
Betex India Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Betex India Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Betex India Ltd median forecast is ₹480.23 on 2026-07-10, which is 3.76% lower than today’s price of ₹499.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹456.27 to ₹505.48. Forecast confidence is 87.5%, with probability-up estimate of 15.9%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Betex India Ltd?
Betex India Ltd intrinsic value is ₹402.70, which is 19.30% below the current price of ₹499.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Betex India Ltd in 2027?
Betex India Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹474.81 by year-end (range: ₹472.33 to ₹497.11), representing a -4.85% decrease from the current price of ₹499.00.
What is the share price target of Betex India Ltd in 2028?
Betex India Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹470.00 by year-end (range: ₹444.96 to ₹470.00), representing a -5.81% decrease from the current price of ₹499.00.
What is the share price target of Betex India Ltd in 2029?
Betex India Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹437.54 by year-end (range: ₹437.54 to ₹475.36), representing a -12.32% decrease from the current price of ₹499.00.
Should I buy Betex India Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Betex India Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹402.70 vs CMP ₹499.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Betex India Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Betex India Ltd is ₹14.27, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Betex India Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Betex India Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Betex India Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Betex India Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.