The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Cello World Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-15) is ₹378.52 which is 2.44% lower than today’s share price of ₹388.00
Cello World Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹420.87 vs CMP ₹388.00 (+8.5%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.767 · EMA(252): ₹506.00
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.547
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.3%5Y-0.3%10Y
Historical drift: -38.7% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.09x
Upside +8.5% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+7.8%
Thin margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 3.24% · 561 data points over 599 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹7.76
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹388.00
₹659.00
CMP: ₹388.000% into range41.1% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹420.87 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹38825% ₹39650% ₹40475% ₹413Target ₹421
Gap: 8.5% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Cello World Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (33.4% annualized).
Cello World Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
383.00
-1.3%
-1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
386.89
Feb
386.94
Mar
388.69
Apr
387.18
May
385.35
Jun
384.25
Jul
385.95
Aug
382.81
Sep
382.23
Oct
383.66
Nov
382.71
Dec
383.00
2028
381.72
-1.6%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
382.93
Feb
385.39
Mar
386.71
Apr
383.69
May
383.38
Jun
383.73
Jul
379.36
Aug
380.99
Sep
382.87
Oct
384.05
Nov
381.14
Dec
381.72
2029
381.80
-1.6%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
381.67
Feb
381.08
Mar
379.53
Apr
379.11
May
380.55
Jun
381.98
Jul
385.51
Aug
384.29
Sep
386.41
Oct
383.08
Nov
382.64
Dec
381.80
2030
381.58
-1.7%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
382.00
Feb
381.78
Mar
381.68
Apr
381.58
May
380.10
Jun
378.14
Jul
378.95
Aug
378.41
Sep
379.57
Oct
379.47
Nov
380.34
Dec
381.58
2031
381.50
-1.7%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
381.52
Feb
381.91
Mar
380.37
Apr
381.02
May
383.59
Jun
384.41
Jul
384.51
Aug
383.13
Sep
382.27
Oct
381.92
Nov
380.93
Dec
381.50
2032
378.15
-2.5%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
381.06
Feb
381.60
Mar
382.29
Apr
380.23
May
379.41
Jun
380.32
Jul
383.71
Aug
382.45
Sep
385.05
Oct
383.53
Nov
381.20
Dec
378.15
2033
377.36
-2.7%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
379.44
Feb
379.81
Mar
380.98
Apr
382.20
May
380.20
Jun
380.19
Jul
379.70
Aug
380.38
Sep
380.38
Oct
379.38
Nov
376.78
Dec
377.36
2034
385.24
-0.7%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
376.38
Feb
373.72
Mar
376.92
Apr
378.86
May
381.32
Jun
381.21
Jul
379.39
Aug
382.08
Sep
381.38
Oct
382.50
Nov
385.19
Dec
385.24
2035
379.59
-2.2%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
385.75
Feb
385.53
Mar
384.40
Apr
384.70
May
383.12
Jun
380.06
Jul
381.85
Aug
380.69
Sep
380.16
Oct
381.31
Nov
379.77
Dec
379.59
2036
378.18
-2.5%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
380.27
Feb
377.34
Mar
378.34
Apr
378.97
May
383.17
Jun
384.23
Jul
381.83
Aug
380.01
Sep
379.29
Oct
378.59
Nov
379.60
Dec
378.18
Cello World Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
1.69%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
73.9%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹10.98
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
310
Cello World Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Cello World Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Cello World Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Cello World Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Cello World Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹378.52 on 2026-04-15, which is 2.44% lower than today's price of ₹388.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Cello World Ltd?
Cello World Ltd intrinsic value is ₹420.87, which is 8.47% above the current price of ₹388.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of Cello World Ltd in 2027?
Cello World Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹383.00 by year-end (range: ₹382.23 to ₹388.69), representing a -1.29% decrease from the current price of ₹388.00.
What is the share price target of Cello World Ltd in 2028?
Cello World Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹381.72 by year-end (range: ₹379.36 to ₹386.71), representing a -1.62% decrease from the current price of ₹388.00.
What is the share price target of Cello World Ltd in 2029?
Cello World Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹381.80 by year-end (range: ₹379.11 to ₹386.41), representing a -1.60% decrease from the current price of ₹388.00.
Should I buy Cello World Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Cello World Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹420.87 vs CMP ₹388.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Cello World Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Cello World Ltd is ₹7.76, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.