The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Century Enka Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-24) is ₹412.72 which is 5.02% higher than today’s share price of ₹393.00
Century Enka Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹413.63 vs CMP ₹393.00 (+5.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.880 · EMA(252): ₹446.74
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
39.1% annualized
Risk: Moderate · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.473
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+0.6%5Y+1%10Y
Historical drift: -32.2% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.05x
Upside +5.2% vs downside 97.6% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+5%
Thin margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 6.74% · 577 data points over 605 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹9.32
(97.6% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹373.00
₹483.00
CMP: ₹393.0018% into range18.6% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹413.63 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹39325% ₹39850% ₹40375% ₹408Target ₹414
Gap: 5.2% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Century Enka Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (39.1% annualized).
Century Enka Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
398.44
+1.4%
+1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
391.68
Feb
393.37
Mar
388.06
Apr
388.58
May
388.25
Jun
385.74
Jul
391.88
Aug
393.40
Sep
391.18
Oct
396.67
Nov
398.37
Dec
398.44
2028
401.32
+2.1%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
393.71
Feb
396.43
Mar
401.85
Apr
399.04
May
391.41
Jun
388.65
Jul
394.05
Aug
398.04
Sep
398.53
Oct
403.17
Nov
403.57
Dec
401.32
2029
423.60
+7.8%
+2.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
410.31
Feb
411.37
Mar
411.58
Apr
411.48
May
418.38
Jun
419.67
Jul
419.00
Aug
421.44
Sep
418.77
Oct
415.81
Nov
418.22
Dec
423.60
2030
410.30
+4.4%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
423.42
Feb
424.49
Mar
424.27
Apr
422.00
May
422.59
Jun
424.02
Jul
420.37
Aug
414.80
Sep
413.50
Oct
406.27
Nov
405.17
Dec
410.30
2031
405.78
+3.3%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
409.06
Feb
409.63
Mar
401.95
Apr
406.89
May
413.35
Jun
412.17
Jul
410.51
Aug
411.67
Sep
409.47
Oct
410.89
Nov
409.48
Dec
405.78
2032
428.47
+9.0%
+1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
408.23
Feb
413.57
Mar
415.21
Apr
417.35
May
420.00
Jun
419.08
Jul
421.37
Aug
423.29
Sep
422.81
Oct
420.61
Nov
427.49
Dec
428.47
2033
433.78
+10.4%
+1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
432.93
Feb
437.52
Mar
432.57
Apr
432.70
May
434.06
Jun
440.88
Jul
436.01
Aug
438.15
Sep
434.44
Oct
433.54
Nov
431.80
Dec
433.78
2034
453.00
+15.3%
+1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
440.21
Feb
444.92
Mar
445.95
Apr
449.55
May
452.16
Jun
452.10
Jul
456.33
Aug
458.28
Sep
460.62
Oct
458.61
Nov
452.74
Dec
453.00
2035
443.56
+12.9%
+1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
453.61
Feb
454.82
Mar
456.39
Apr
450.41
May
451.06
Jun
449.06
Jul
444.31
Aug
446.34
Sep
445.07
Oct
443.79
Nov
441.01
Dec
443.56
2036
433.43
+10.3%
+1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
443.46
Feb
443.42
Mar
441.54
Apr
439.06
May
435.42
Jun
441.05
Jul
437.59
Aug
435.01
Sep
434.72
Oct
432.70
Nov
432.15
Dec
433.43
Century Enka Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.47%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
63%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹18.29
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
281
Century Enka Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Century Enka Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Century Enka Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Century Enka Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Century Enka Ltd share price is expected to increase to ₹412.72 on 2026-04-24, which is 5.02% higher than today's price of ₹393.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Century Enka Ltd?
Century Enka Ltd intrinsic value is ₹413.63, which is 5.25% above the current price of ₹393.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of Century Enka Ltd in 2027?
Century Enka Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹398.44 by year-end (range: ₹385.74 to ₹398.44), representing a 1.38% increase from the current price of ₹393.00.
What is the share price target of Century Enka Ltd in 2028?
Century Enka Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹401.32 by year-end (range: ₹388.65 to ₹403.57), representing a 2.12% increase from the current price of ₹393.00.
What is the share price target of Century Enka Ltd in 2029?
Century Enka Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹423.60 by year-end (range: ₹410.31 to ₹423.60), representing a 7.79% increase from the current price of ₹393.00.
Should I buy Century Enka Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Century Enka Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹413.63 vs CMP ₹393.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Century Enka Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Century Enka Ltd is ₹9.32, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Century Enka Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Century Enka Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Century Enka Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Century Enka Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.