The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Credent Global Finance Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-16) is ₹29.21 which is 4.71% higher than today’s share price of ₹27.90
Credent Global Finance Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹31.81 vs CMP ₹27.90 (+14.0%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.877 · EMA(252): ₹31.83
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
140.3% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.506
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+1.8%5Y-1.9%10Y
Historical drift: -91.1% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.15x
Upside +14% vs downside 96.4% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+12.3%
Moderate margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 9.77% · 443 data points over 596 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹1.00
(96.4% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹22.20
₹33.00
CMP: ₹27.9053% into range15.5% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹31.81 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹2825% ₹2950% ₹3075% ₹31Target ₹32
Gap: 14.0% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Credent Global Finance Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (140.3% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Credent Global Finance Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
29.79
+6.8%
+6.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
28.72
Feb
29.44
Mar
29.83
Apr
29.85
May
30.35
Jun
31.20
Jul
31.58
Aug
31.33
Sep
30.42
Oct
31.20
Nov
30.36
Dec
29.79
2028
32.40
+16.1%
+7.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
30.35
Feb
28.92
Mar
29.94
Apr
29.45
May
29.26
Jun
29.08
Jul
29.08
Aug
30.06
Sep
30.91
Oct
31.82
Nov
31.84
Dec
32.40
2029
25.75
-7.7%
-2.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
31.25
Feb
31.54
Mar
31.12
Apr
30.81
May
29.95
Jun
29.48
Jul
28.72
Aug
27.87
Sep
27.48
Oct
27.14
Nov
26.71
Dec
25.75
2030
28.05
+0.5%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
26.48
Feb
27.28
Mar
26.83
Apr
27.11
May
27.43
Jun
27.74
Jul
29.89
Aug
31.39
Sep
29.56
Oct
28.89
Nov
28.44
Dec
28.05
2031
30.52
+9.4%
+1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
29.25
Feb
29.12
Mar
30.08
Apr
30.67
May
30.43
Jun
30.62
Jul
30.01
Aug
30.40
Sep
30.73
Oct
30.10
Nov
30.55
Dec
30.52
2032
27.96
+0.2%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
30.32
Feb
31.20
Mar
30.81
Apr
30.15
May
28.38
Jun
28.51
Jul
28.25
Aug
27.38
Sep
27.53
Oct
27.78
Nov
27.53
Dec
27.96
2033
27.08
-2.9%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
28.30
Feb
28.36
Mar
28.49
Apr
27.18
May
26.53
Jun
26.33
Jul
26.59
Aug
26.79
Sep
26.91
Oct
27.33
Nov
27.83
Dec
27.08
2034
24.97
-10.5%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
26.15
Feb
25.29
Mar
25.92
Apr
26.59
May
25.71
Jun
25.37
Jul
26.23
Aug
25.81
Sep
25.65
Oct
25.30
Nov
25.40
Dec
24.97
2035
24.76
-11.3%
-1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
24.98
Feb
24.50
Mar
25.43
Apr
25.37
May
26.00
Jun
25.71
Jul
25.31
Aug
25.37
Sep
24.69
Oct
24.85
Nov
24.79
Dec
24.76
2036
22.93
-17.8%
-1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
24.59
Feb
24.89
Mar
23.95
Apr
23.75
May
23.64
Jun
24.38
Jul
24.29
Aug
24.33
Sep
23.72
Oct
24.00
Nov
23.24
Dec
22.93
Credent Global Finance Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
8.49%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
61.2%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹3.90
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
263
Credent Global Finance Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Credent Global Finance Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will Credent Global Finance Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Credent Global Finance Ltd share price is expected to increase to ₹29.21 on 2026-04-16, which is 4.71% higher than today's price of ₹27.90. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Credent Global Finance Ltd?
Credent Global Finance Ltd intrinsic value is ₹31.81, which is 14.01% above the current price of ₹27.90. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of Credent Global Finance Ltd in 2027?
Credent Global Finance Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹29.79 by year-end (range: ₹28.72 to ₹31.58), representing a 6.77% increase from the current price of ₹27.90.
What is the share price target of Credent Global Finance Ltd in 2028?
Credent Global Finance Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹32.40 by year-end (range: ₹28.92 to ₹32.40), representing a 16.13% increase from the current price of ₹27.90.
What is the share price target of Credent Global Finance Ltd in 2029?
Credent Global Finance Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹25.75 by year-end (range: ₹25.75 to ₹31.54), representing a -7.71% decrease from the current price of ₹27.90.
Should I buy Credent Global Finance Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Credent Global Finance Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹31.81 vs CMP ₹27.90. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Credent Global Finance Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Credent Global Finance Ltd is ₹1.00, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Credent Global Finance Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Credent Global Finance Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Credent Global Finance Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Credent Global Finance Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.