The predicted share price (Closing Price) for D. P. Abhushan Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-20) is ₹1,005.33 which is 0.07% lower than today’s share price of ₹1,006.00
D. P. Abhushan Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹840.00 vs CMP ₹1,006.00 (-16.5%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.789 · EMA(252): ₹1,275.45
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
36.8% annualized
Risk: Moderate · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.482
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-1%5Y-1.4%10Y
Historical drift: -22.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.17x
Upside -16.5% vs downside 97.1% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-19.8%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 3.63% · 590 data points over 570 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹29.50
(97.1% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹943.00
₹1,542.00
CMP: ₹1,006.0011% into range34.8% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹840.00 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹1,00625% ₹96550% ₹92375% ₹882Target ₹840
Gap: 16.5% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: D. P. Abhushan Ltd appears overvalued by 16.5% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (36.8% annualized).
D. P. Abhushan Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
1,023.91
+1.8%
+1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
1,012.87
Feb
1,007.57
Mar
1,007.27
Apr
1,000.68
May
1,000.62
Jun
1,002.19
Jul
1,024.95
Aug
1,031.24
Sep
1,033.44
Oct
1,034.69
Nov
1,026.07
Dec
1,023.91
2028
967.95
-3.8%
-1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
1,041.19
Feb
1,040.29
Mar
1,035.00
Apr
1,029.12
May
999.82
Jun
997.32
Jul
987.05
Aug
987.78
Sep
981.87
Oct
991.53
Nov
982.82
Dec
967.95
2029
956.43
-4.9%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
966.36
Feb
960.50
Mar
954.62
Apr
952.14
May
951.08
Jun
952.22
Jul
953.77
Aug
946.71
Sep
951.43
Oct
958.65
Nov
968.28
Dec
956.43
2030
957.67
-4.8%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
956.52
Feb
954.34
Mar
950.93
Apr
947.63
May
948.23
Jun
950.70
Jul
957.56
Aug
955.78
Sep
964.10
Oct
966.64
Nov
960.71
Dec
957.67
2031
955.76
-5.0%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
967.91
Feb
956.91
Mar
966.55
Apr
965.28
May
966.45
Jun
967.43
Jul
984.58
Aug
986.78
Sep
983.09
Oct
980.22
Nov
961.95
Dec
955.76
2032
925.72
-8.0%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
946.65
Feb
950.49
Mar
951.36
Apr
955.21
May
950.88
Jun
946.41
Jul
937.91
Aug
938.22
Sep
937.14
Oct
942.18
Nov
937.06
Dec
925.72
2033
931.32
-7.4%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
923.91
Feb
925.89
Mar
912.25
Apr
920.64
May
920.02
Jun
921.44
Jul
926.51
Aug
935.68
Sep
939.94
Oct
939.50
Nov
936.80
Dec
931.32
2034
927.89
-7.8%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
938.26
Feb
940.54
Mar
940.73
Apr
935.47
May
940.61
Jun
936.39
Jul
937.84
Aug
925.79
Sep
930.60
Oct
926.00
Nov
928.81
Dec
927.89
2035
896.30
-10.9%
-1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
929.54
Feb
926.56
Mar
921.65
Apr
919.16
May
916.64
Jun
911.14
Jul
906.55
Aug
894.19
Sep
892.75
Oct
889.91
Nov
893.74
Dec
896.30
2036
877.59
-12.8%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
908.29
Feb
899.05
Mar
891.22
Apr
892.29
May
885.71
Jun
886.20
Jul
883.66
Aug
877.70
Sep
876.35
Oct
874.85
Nov
882.01
Dec
877.59
D. P. Abhushan Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.62%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
68%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹37.72
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
309
D. P. Abhushan Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
D. P. Abhushan Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
D. P. Abhushan Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will D. P. Abhushan Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
D. P. Abhushan Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹1,005.33 on 2026-04-20, which is 0.07% lower than today's price of ₹1,006.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of D. P. Abhushan Ltd?
D. P. Abhushan Ltd intrinsic value is ₹840.00, which is 16.50% below the current price of ₹1,006.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of D. P. Abhushan Ltd in 2027?
D. P. Abhushan Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹1,023.91 by year-end (range: ₹1,000.62 to ₹1,034.69), representing a 1.78% increase from the current price of ₹1,006.00.
What is the share price target of D. P. Abhushan Ltd in 2028?
D. P. Abhushan Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹967.95 by year-end (range: ₹967.95 to ₹1,041.19), representing a -3.78% decrease from the current price of ₹1,006.00.
What is the share price target of D. P. Abhushan Ltd in 2029?
D. P. Abhushan Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹956.43 by year-end (range: ₹946.71 to ₹968.28), representing a -4.93% decrease from the current price of ₹1,006.00.
Should I buy D. P. Abhushan Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, D. P. Abhushan Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹840.00 vs CMP ₹1,006.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for D. P. Abhushan Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for D. P. Abhushan Ltd is ₹29.50, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
D. P. Abhushan Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for D. P. Abhushan Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (September 25, 2024) and the end date (April 18, 2026).
590 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from September 25, 2024 to April 18, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for D. P. Abhushan Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for D. P. Abhushan Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.