The next market-day median forecast for DCM Ltd (2026-06-29) is ₹86.73 which is 6.74% lower than today’s share price of ₹93.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹81.46–₹92.18. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
DCM Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹39.38 vs CMP ₹93.00 (-57.7%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.140 · EMA(252): ₹81.56
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
55.2% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.476
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-2.7%5Y-0.7%10Y
Historical drift: -0.4% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.59x
Upside -57.7% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-136.2%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (89.8%)
Chance of upside: 6.1% · Avg forecast error: 2.4% · 583 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹1.86
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹55.40
₹96.00
CMP: ₹93.0093% into range3.1% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹39.38 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹9325% ₹8050% ₹6675% ₹53Target ₹39
Gap: 57.7% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: DCM Ltd appears overvalued by 57.7% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). Volatility is high (55.2% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
DCM Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
96.50
+3.8%
+3.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
93.72
Feb
93.20
Mar
94.35
Apr
93.89
May
94.48
Jun
92.50
Jul
92.37
Aug
92.49
Sep
92.74
Oct
95.30
Nov
94.40
Dec
96.50
2028
92.70
-0.3%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
94.68
Feb
94.22
Mar
94.71
Apr
92.94
May
92.56
Jun
92.70
Jul
93.08
Aug
92.14
Sep
92.91
Oct
92.53
Nov
90.97
Dec
92.70
2029
82.37
-11.4%
-4.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
92.57
Feb
91.54
Mar
89.96
Apr
88.15
May
86.50
Jun
86.48
Jul
84.20
Aug
83.91
Sep
83.58
Oct
82.75
Nov
84.09
Dec
82.37
2030
80.44
-13.5%
-3.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
81.49
Feb
80.81
Mar
79.42
Apr
80.31
May
81.14
Jun
79.43
Jul
79.21
Aug
80.78
Sep
80.05
Oct
79.94
Nov
78.74
Dec
80.44
2031
81.20
-12.7%
-2.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
78.02
Feb
79.09
Mar
78.39
Apr
77.41
May
78.28
Jun
78.42
Jul
78.65
Aug
77.87
Sep
79.38
Oct
78.65
Nov
79.39
Dec
81.20
2032
75.91
-18.4%
-3.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
82.53
Feb
83.53
Mar
83.27
Apr
81.20
May
79.16
Jun
79.38
Jul
77.51
Aug
77.65
Sep
76.93
Oct
77.05
Nov
77.42
Dec
75.91
2033
79.06
-15.0%
-2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
76.37
Feb
75.01
Mar
74.52
Apr
74.07
May
73.40
Jun
76.31
Jul
77.97
Aug
79.11
Sep
77.57
Oct
79.85
Nov
78.98
Dec
79.06
2034
84.05
-9.6%
-1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
79.45
Feb
81.35
Mar
81.07
Apr
79.93
May
80.85
Jun
80.45
Jul
79.61
Aug
80.52
Sep
80.47
Oct
82.21
Nov
82.72
Dec
84.05
2035
89.29
-4.0%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
84.31
Feb
85.21
Mar
85.50
Apr
86.29
May
87.43
Jun
88.04
Jul
87.61
Aug
87.42
Sep
87.35
Oct
87.33
Nov
88.89
Dec
89.29
2036
86.50
-7.0%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
88.53
Feb
88.64
Mar
89.54
Apr
89.61
May
90.92
Jun
90.90
Jul
90.56
Aug
89.67
Sep
89.89
Oct
90.85
Nov
88.89
Dec
86.50
DCM Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.6%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
69.9%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹3.15
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will DCM Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
DCM Ltd median forecast is ₹86.73 on 2026-06-29, which is 6.74% lower than today’s price of ₹93.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹81.46 to ₹92.18. Forecast confidence is 89.8%, with probability-up estimate of 6.1%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of DCM Ltd?
DCM Ltd intrinsic value is ₹39.38, which is 57.66% below the current price of ₹93.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of DCM Ltd in 2027?
DCM Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹96.50 by year-end (range: ₹92.37 to ₹96.50), representing a 3.76% increase from the current price of ₹93.00.
What is the share price target of DCM Ltd in 2028?
DCM Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹92.70 by year-end (range: ₹90.97 to ₹94.71), representing a -0.32% decrease from the current price of ₹93.00.
What is the share price target of DCM Ltd in 2029?
DCM Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹82.37 by year-end (range: ₹82.37 to ₹92.57), representing a -11.43% decrease from the current price of ₹93.00.
Should I buy DCM Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, DCM Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹39.38 vs CMP ₹93.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for DCM Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for DCM Ltd is ₹1.86, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
DCM Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for DCM Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for DCM Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for DCM Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
