DCX Systems Ltd share price today: ₹154.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹152.65 (2026-07-13) | 10–90% range: ₹130.90–₹177.10 | Forecast confidence: 71.1% | Chance of upside: 47.3% | Intrinsic value: ₹153.19 | 2027 target: ₹179.03 | 2036 target: ₹147.44
The next market-day median forecast for DCX Systems Ltd (2026-07-13) is ₹152.65 which is 0.88% lower than today’s share price of ₹154.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹130.90–₹177.10. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
DCX Systems Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹153.19 vs CMP ₹154.00 (-0.5%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.880 · EMA(252): ₹174.99
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
98.1% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.378
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.2%5Y-0.4%10Y
Historical drift: -25.8% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.01x
Upside -0.5% vs downside 97.1% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-0.5%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (71.1%)
Chance of upside: 47.3% · Avg forecast error: 7.1% · 599 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹4.50
(97.1% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹154.00
₹205.00
CMP: ₹154.000% into range24.9% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹153.19 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹15425% ₹15450% ₹15475% ₹153Target ₹153
Gap: 0.5% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: DCX Systems Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.38 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is high (98.1% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
DCX Systems Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
179.03
+16.3%
+16.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
153.71
Feb
162.42
Mar
161.79
Apr
161.12
May
169.51
Jun
170.93
Jul
180.90
Aug
186.86
Sep
188.97
Oct
183.61
Nov
180.44
Dec
179.03
2028
191.71
+24.5%
+11.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
168.34
Feb
169.73
Mar
167.97
Apr
175.10
May
192.58
Jun
195.67
Jul
190.28
Aug
193.84
Sep
186.13
Oct
201.17
Nov
189.81
Dec
191.71
2029
156.63
+1.7%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
177.86
Feb
172.92
Mar
167.73
Apr
169.95
May
169.42
Jun
159.84
Jul
166.99
Aug
167.13
Sep
170.34
Oct
165.95
Nov
156.85
Dec
156.63
2030
152.78
-0.8%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
155.05
Feb
161.82
Mar
157.48
Apr
157.11
May
160.54
Jun
162.69
Jul
151.34
Aug
150.24
Sep
151.72
Oct
156.23
Nov
149.31
Dec
152.78
2031
152.32
-1.1%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
151.22
Feb
154.74
Mar
154.12
Apr
155.10
May
150.45
Jun
156.34
Jul
154.93
Aug
158.59
Sep
155.39
Oct
156.40
Nov
155.74
Dec
152.32
2032
209.06
+35.8%
+5.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
157.05
Feb
164.08
Mar
161.96
Apr
165.53
May
181.54
Jun
195.91
Jul
187.36
Aug
176.21
Sep
188.43
Oct
192.45
Nov
207.54
Dec
209.06
2033
164.86
+7.1%
+1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
198.84
Feb
201.70
Mar
193.82
Apr
189.04
May
193.79
Jun
194.38
Jul
189.41
Aug
182.51
Sep
177.17
Oct
170.37
Nov
170.25
Dec
164.86
2034
161.85
+5.1%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
166.78
Feb
171.39
Mar
169.78
Apr
171.32
May
165.91
Jun
166.85
Jul
164.44
Aug
157.26
Sep
163.04
Oct
159.17
Nov
161.19
Dec
161.85
2035
148.08
-3.8%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
153.03
Feb
149.81
Mar
157.77
Apr
159.68
May
155.55
Jun
154.13
Jul
154.62
Aug
156.33
Sep
160.51
Oct
158.74
Nov
156.09
Dec
148.08
2036
147.44
-4.3%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
154.36
Feb
154.39
Mar
145.89
Apr
143.31
May
144.24
Jun
145.49
Jul
148.09
Aug
146.01
Sep
150.39
Oct
151.51
Nov
147.64
Dec
147.44
DCX Systems Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.16%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
59.5%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹9.71
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
DCX Systems Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
DCX Systems Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹180.89|Range: ₹118.52 – ₹276.09|By: 01 Oct 2026
DCX Systems Ltd Next Market-Day Share Price Probability Distribution
Median forecast: ₹152.65 · Expected range: ₹130.90 – ₹177.10 · Chance of upside: 47.3%
DCX Systems Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will DCX Systems Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
DCX Systems Ltd median forecast is ₹152.65 on 2026-07-13, which is 0.88% lower than today’s price of ₹154.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹130.90 to ₹177.10. Forecast confidence is 71.1%, with probability-up estimate of 47.3%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of DCX Systems Ltd?
DCX Systems Ltd intrinsic value is ₹153.19, which is 0.53% below the current price of ₹154.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of DCX Systems Ltd in 2027?
DCX Systems Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹179.03 by year-end (range: ₹153.71 to ₹188.97), representing a 16.25% increase from the current price of ₹154.00.
What is the share price target of DCX Systems Ltd in 2028?
DCX Systems Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹191.71 by year-end (range: ₹167.97 to ₹201.17), representing a 24.49% increase from the current price of ₹154.00.
What is the share price target of DCX Systems Ltd in 2029?
DCX Systems Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹156.63 by year-end (range: ₹156.63 to ₹177.86), representing a 1.71% increase from the current price of ₹154.00.
Should I buy DCX Systems Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, DCX Systems Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹153.19 vs CMP ₹154.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for DCX Systems Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for DCX Systems Ltd is ₹4.50, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
DCX Systems Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for DCX Systems Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for DCX Systems Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for DCX Systems Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.