The predicted share price (Closing Price) for DCX Systems Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-16) is ₹151.84 which is 1.40% lower than today’s share price of ₹154.00
DCX Systems Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹146.61 vs CMP ₹154.00 (-4.8%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.819 · EMA(252): ₹188.11
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
90% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.401
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+5.3%5Y+0.9%10Y
Historical drift: -30.4% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.05x
Upside -4.8% vs downside 97.1% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-5%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.63% · 597 data points over 442 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹4.50
(97.1% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹154.00
₹242.00
CMP: ₹154.000% into range36.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹146.61 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹15425% ₹15250% ₹15075% ₹148Target ₹147
Gap: 4.8% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: DCX Systems Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.40 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is high (90% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
DCX Systems Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
169.32
+9.9%
+9.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
153.94
Feb
150.32
Mar
151.42
Apr
152.16
May
155.73
Jun
161.32
Jul
158.79
Aug
154.54
Sep
154.97
Oct
159.18
Nov
162.78
Dec
169.32
2028
170.70
+10.8%
+5.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
172.61
Feb
165.28
Mar
165.69
Apr
162.54
May
155.72
Jun
163.22
Jul
164.26
Aug
164.07
Sep
163.30
Oct
157.20
Nov
157.99
Dec
170.70
2029
150.06
-2.6%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
173.70
Feb
169.65
Mar
176.70
Apr
166.97
May
159.12
Jun
162.48
Jul
162.67
Aug
156.46
Sep
153.97
Oct
152.55
Nov
154.10
Dec
150.06
2030
195.94
+27.2%
+6.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
148.78
Feb
149.06
Mar
157.98
Apr
174.32
May
187.98
Jun
188.55
Jul
183.72
Aug
188.02
Sep
188.68
Oct
186.62
Nov
196.99
Dec
195.94
2031
199.70
+29.7%
+5.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
192.87
Feb
193.02
Mar
194.14
Apr
194.04
May
193.30
Jun
192.71
Jul
198.37
Aug
206.06
Sep
212.66
Oct
219.15
Nov
211.33
Dec
199.70
2032
228.77
+48.6%
+6.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
203.95
Feb
206.32
Mar
206.54
Apr
223.92
May
228.88
Jun
230.12
Jul
243.65
Aug
229.84
Sep
226.60
Oct
212.03
Nov
217.80
Dec
228.77
2033
224.44
+45.7%
+5.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
232.33
Feb
236.02
Mar
242.13
Apr
245.24
May
235.48
Jun
222.31
Jul
235.92
Aug
238.19
Sep
235.37
Oct
231.48
Nov
218.82
Dec
224.44
2034
174.34
+13.2%
+1.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
217.14
Feb
202.66
Mar
205.57
Apr
195.25
May
188.65
Jun
190.04
Jul
179.76
Aug
182.20
Sep
186.37
Oct
176.34
Nov
176.71
Dec
174.34
2035
162.78
+5.7%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
175.44
Feb
169.17
Mar
167.44
Apr
167.95
May
168.67
Jun
164.42
Jul
164.21
Aug
163.71
Sep
164.03
Oct
160.31
Nov
158.06
Dec
162.78
2036
168.95
+9.7%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
171.54
Feb
174.52
Mar
174.50
Apr
183.45
May
178.62
Jun
175.01
Jul
179.67
Aug
180.62
Sep
181.07
Oct
185.24
Nov
175.94
Dec
168.95
DCX Systems Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.44%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
60.9%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹8.45
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
422
DCX Systems Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
DCX Systems Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
DCX Systems Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will DCX Systems Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
DCX Systems Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹151.84 on 2026-04-16, which is 1.40% lower than today's price of ₹154.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of DCX Systems Ltd?
DCX Systems Ltd intrinsic value is ₹146.61, which is 4.80% below the current price of ₹154.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of DCX Systems Ltd in 2027?
DCX Systems Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹169.32 by year-end (range: ₹150.32 to ₹169.32), representing a 9.95% increase from the current price of ₹154.00.
What is the share price target of DCX Systems Ltd in 2028?
DCX Systems Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹170.70 by year-end (range: ₹155.72 to ₹172.61), representing a 10.84% increase from the current price of ₹154.00.
What is the share price target of DCX Systems Ltd in 2029?
DCX Systems Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹150.06 by year-end (range: ₹150.06 to ₹176.70), representing a -2.56% decrease from the current price of ₹154.00.
Should I buy DCX Systems Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, DCX Systems Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹146.61 vs CMP ₹154.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for DCX Systems Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for DCX Systems Ltd is ₹4.50, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
DCX Systems Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for DCX Systems Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for DCX Systems Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for DCX Systems Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.