The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Devyani International Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-19) is ₹82.28 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹96.80
Devyani International Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹18.08 vs CMP ₹96.80 (-81.3%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.739 · EMA(252): ₹131.02
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
43.2% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.542
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.5%5Y-1.1%10Y
Historical drift: -29.1% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.84x
Upside -81.3% vs downside 96.7% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-435.4%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 17.89% · 586 data points over 578 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹3.24
(96.7% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹94.60
₹168.00
CMP: ₹96.803% into range42.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹18.08 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹9725% ₹7750% ₹5775% ₹38Target ₹18
Gap: 81.3% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Devyani International Ltd appears overvalued by 81.3% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (43.2% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Devyani International Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
97.27
+0.5%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
96.77
Feb
96.77
Mar
96.82
Apr
97.23
May
97.57
Jun
97.05
Jul
97.13
Aug
96.54
Sep
95.59
Oct
96.79
Nov
96.43
Dec
97.27
2028
95.46
-1.4%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
98.34
Feb
98.55
Mar
98.98
Apr
97.54
May
96.94
Jun
96.61
Jul
96.42
Aug
96.47
Sep
96.41
Oct
97.14
Nov
96.09
Dec
95.46
2029
95.14
-1.7%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
96.19
Feb
96.32
Mar
95.84
Apr
95.46
May
95.79
Jun
95.55
Jul
94.59
Aug
94.51
Sep
94.26
Oct
93.75
Nov
94.26
Dec
95.14
2030
95.92
-0.9%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
96.34
Feb
96.55
Mar
97.23
Apr
97.01
May
96.54
Jun
96.53
Jul
95.70
Aug
96.37
Sep
97.13
Oct
97.56
Nov
96.72
Dec
95.92
2031
94.54
-2.3%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
96.55
Feb
96.95
Mar
97.48
Apr
98.16
May
97.60
Jun
96.49
Jul
96.54
Aug
96.24
Sep
95.78
Oct
94.98
Nov
95.98
Dec
94.54
2032
92.23
-4.7%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
93.79
Feb
92.78
Mar
92.87
Apr
92.89
May
92.68
Jun
93.27
Jul
92.83
Aug
93.09
Sep
92.89
Oct
93.02
Nov
92.72
Dec
92.23
2033
91.72
-5.2%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
92.03
Feb
92.21
Mar
92.15
Apr
92.39
May
91.57
Jun
91.17
Jul
91.35
Aug
91.92
Sep
92.31
Oct
92.07
Nov
91.25
Dec
91.72
2034
90.96
-6.0%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
92.33
Feb
92.40
Mar
91.37
Apr
91.91
May
92.34
Jun
91.99
Jul
91.96
Aug
92.34
Sep
91.79
Oct
91.30
Nov
90.87
Dec
90.96
2035
89.84
-7.2%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
89.97
Feb
89.54
Mar
89.77
Apr
91.09
May
90.34
Jun
90.07
Jul
91.15
Aug
90.54
Sep
89.72
Oct
90.03
Nov
89.87
Dec
89.84
2036
86.87
-10.3%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
88.82
Feb
88.81
Mar
87.67
Apr
87.02
May
86.88
Jun
86.80
Jul
86.51
Aug
86.49
Sep
85.70
Oct
86.57
Nov
87.04
Dec
86.87
Devyani International Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.97%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
56.2%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹7.07
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
393
Devyani International Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Devyani International Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Devyani International Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Devyani International Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Devyani International Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Devyani International Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹82.28 on 2026-04-19, which is 15.00% lower than today's price of ₹96.80. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Devyani International Ltd?
Devyani International Ltd intrinsic value is ₹18.08, which is 81.32% below the current price of ₹96.80. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Devyani International Ltd in 2027?
Devyani International Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹97.27 by year-end (range: ₹95.59 to ₹97.57), representing a 0.49% increase from the current price of ₹96.80.
What is the share price target of Devyani International Ltd in 2028?
Devyani International Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹95.46 by year-end (range: ₹95.46 to ₹98.98), representing a -1.38% decrease from the current price of ₹96.80.
What is the share price target of Devyani International Ltd in 2029?
Devyani International Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹95.14 by year-end (range: ₹93.75 to ₹96.32), representing a -1.71% decrease from the current price of ₹96.80.
Should I buy Devyani International Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Devyani International Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹18.08 vs CMP ₹96.80. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Devyani International Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Devyani International Ltd is ₹3.24, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Devyani International Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Devyani International Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (September 17, 2024) and the end date (April 18, 2026).
586 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from September 17, 2024 to April 18, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Devyani International Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Devyani International Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.