The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Gita Renewable Energy Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-09) is ₹62.90 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹74.00
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹16.54 vs CMP ₹74.00 (-77.6%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.761 · EMA(252): ₹97.23
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
59.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.440
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-4.4%5Y-3.8%10Y
Historical drift: -47.2% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.80x
Upside -77.6% vs downside 97.2% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-347.4%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 16.1% · 419 data points over 591 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹2.06
(97.2% below CMP)
What this means: Gita Renewable Energy Ltd appears overvalued by 77.6% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.44 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is high (59.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
66.20
-10.5%
-10.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
74.05
Feb
74.68
Mar
74.42
Apr
73.24
May
73.74
Jun
72.47
Jul
69.75
Aug
69.15
Sep
67.17
Oct
66.70
Nov
66.91
Dec
66.20
2028
62.24
-15.9%
-8.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
66.75
Feb
66.87
Mar
65.42
Apr
66.26
May
64.67
Jun
63.74
Jul
63.86
Aug
62.35
Sep
60.81
Oct
62.05
Nov
62.86
Dec
62.24
2029
65.87
-11.0%
-3.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
61.98
Feb
62.78
Mar
64.46
Apr
66.12
May
64.16
Jun
63.80
Jul
63.61
Aug
64.72
Sep
64.21
Oct
64.48
Nov
65.44
Dec
65.87
2030
64.83
-12.4%
-3.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
65.97
Feb
64.49
Mar
64.56
Apr
65.13
May
65.35
Jun
64.25
Jul
65.08
Aug
64.19
Sep
64.35
Oct
63.93
Nov
64.72
Dec
64.83
2031
59.24
-19.9%
-4.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
62.95
Feb
62.55
Mar
63.69
Apr
66.35
May
65.62
Jun
64.18
Jul
62.43
Aug
61.15
Sep
61.01
Oct
59.47
Nov
59.07
Dec
59.24
2032
58.61
-20.8%
-3.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
59.32
Feb
61.26
Mar
60.18
Apr
61.81
May
62.71
Jun
63.11
Jul
61.74
Aug
60.29
Sep
62.76
Oct
62.21
Nov
61.47
Dec
58.61
2033
54.98
-25.7%
-4.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
59.20
Feb
57.65
Mar
56.87
Apr
55.35
May
53.42
Jun
54.38
Jul
53.68
Aug
52.71
Sep
53.02
Oct
54.67
Nov
55.51
Dec
54.98
2034
51.49
-30.4%
-4.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
54.67
Feb
54.95
Mar
55.69
Apr
55.27
May
53.63
Jun
54.20
Jul
53.54
Aug
52.71
Sep
53.05
Oct
53.13
Nov
52.72
Dec
51.49
2035
50.27
-32.1%
-4.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
51.67
Feb
51.83
Mar
50.60
Apr
48.33
May
49.16
Jun
49.33
Jul
49.43
Aug
50.81
Sep
50.96
Oct
51.01
Nov
50.99
Dec
50.27
2036
50.46
-31.8%
-3.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
50.40
Feb
50.30
Mar
51.89
Apr
52.19
May
51.56
Jun
52.16
Jul
52.13
Aug
51.02
Sep
50.21
Oct
49.51
Nov
49.61
Dec
50.46
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.55%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
59.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹4.80
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
249
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will Gita Renewable Energy Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹62.90 on 2026-04-09, which is 15.00% lower than today's price of ₹74.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Gita Renewable Energy Ltd?
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd intrinsic value is ₹16.54, which is 77.65% below the current price of ₹74.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Gita Renewable Energy Ltd in 2027?
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹66.20 by year-end (range: ₹66.20 to ₹74.68), representing a -10.54% decrease from the current price of ₹74.00.
What is the share price target of Gita Renewable Energy Ltd in 2028?
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹62.24 by year-end (range: ₹60.81 to ₹66.87), representing a -15.89% decrease from the current price of ₹74.00.
What is the share price target of Gita Renewable Energy Ltd in 2029?
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹65.87 by year-end (range: ₹61.98 to ₹66.12), representing a -10.99% decrease from the current price of ₹74.00.
How are Gita Renewable Energy Ltd share price targets calculated?
The share price targets are calculated using Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM), combining historical price data, volatility analysis, Hurst exponent for long-term memory effects, and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for trend analysis and regime detection.
Gita Renewable Energy Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Gita Renewable Energy Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Gita Renewable Energy Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Gita Renewable Energy Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.
