The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Globe International Carriers Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-18) is ₹36.26 which is 7.74% lower than today’s share price of ₹39.30
Globe International Carriers Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹18.41 vs CMP ₹39.30 (-53.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.680 · EMA(252): ₹57.77
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
111.3% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.585
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
0%5Y-1.7%10Y
Historical drift: -26.1% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.55x
Upside -53.2% vs downside 97.5% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-113.5%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 8.1% · 564 data points over 600 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹1.00
(97.5% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹31.40
₹176.00
CMP: ₹39.305% into range77.7% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹18.41 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹3925% ₹3450% ₹2975% ₹24Target ₹18
Gap: 53.2% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Globe International Carriers Ltd appears overvalued by 53.2% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.59 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (111.3% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Globe International Carriers Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
39.82
+1.3%
+1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
39.07
Feb
39.99
Mar
39.19
Apr
38.43
May
39.61
Jun
40.58
Jul
41.14
Aug
40.38
Sep
40.04
Oct
39.98
Nov
39.21
Dec
39.82
2028
41.09
+4.6%
+2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
39.56
Feb
39.83
Mar
41.01
Apr
41.06
May
40.88
Jun
41.91
Jul
41.30
Aug
40.57
Sep
39.72
Oct
40.56
Nov
40.74
Dec
41.09
2029
39.27
-0.1%
0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
41.45
Feb
41.52
Mar
40.30
Apr
40.38
May
40.61
Jun
39.47
Jul
39.26
Aug
38.22
Sep
39.29
Oct
39.81
Nov
39.53
Dec
39.27
2030
38.58
-1.8%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
38.54
Feb
38.45
Mar
38.72
Apr
39.40
May
40.28
Jun
40.83
Jul
40.26
Aug
40.36
Sep
39.87
Oct
40.00
Nov
39.98
Dec
38.58
2031
39.36
+0.2%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
39.14
Feb
39.29
Mar
39.47
Apr
39.71
May
38.83
Jun
38.58
Jul
38.51
Aug
38.51
Sep
38.17
Oct
38.74
Nov
38.75
Dec
39.36
2032
37.38
-4.9%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
38.98
Feb
38.89
Mar
38.72
Apr
37.66
May
38.02
Jun
37.92
Jul
38.36
Aug
37.76
Sep
37.95
Oct
37.09
Nov
36.77
Dec
37.38
2033
35.67
-9.2%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
37.26
Feb
36.96
Mar
37.04
Apr
36.68
May
36.81
Jun
36.66
Jul
36.51
Aug
35.65
Sep
35.70
Oct
36.13
Nov
36.34
Dec
35.67
2034
35.78
-9.0%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
35.55
Feb
36.36
Mar
36.68
Apr
36.73
May
36.40
Jun
37.55
Jul
37.27
Aug
36.40
Sep
36.72
Oct
37.29
Nov
35.98
Dec
35.78
2035
35.38
-10.0%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
35.68
Feb
36.12
Mar
36.17
Apr
35.82
May
35.70
Jun
35.35
Jul
35.38
Aug
35.38
Sep
35.24
Oct
34.85
Nov
35.10
Dec
35.38
2036
33.23
-15.4%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
35.26
Feb
35.05
Mar
34.47
Apr
33.99
May
34.12
Jun
34.51
Jul
33.75
Aug
33.68
Sep
33.30
Oct
33.29
Nov
33.47
Dec
33.23
Globe International Carriers Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.78%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
67.7%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹2.89
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
325
Globe International Carriers Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Globe International Carriers Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will Globe International Carriers Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Globe International Carriers Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹36.26 on 2026-04-18, which is 7.74% lower than today's price of ₹39.30. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Globe International Carriers Ltd?
Globe International Carriers Ltd intrinsic value is ₹18.41, which is 53.16% below the current price of ₹39.30. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Globe International Carriers Ltd in 2027?
Globe International Carriers Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹39.82 by year-end (range: ₹38.43 to ₹41.14), representing a 1.32% increase from the current price of ₹39.30.
What is the share price target of Globe International Carriers Ltd in 2028?
Globe International Carriers Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹41.09 by year-end (range: ₹39.56 to ₹41.91), representing a 4.55% increase from the current price of ₹39.30.
What is the share price target of Globe International Carriers Ltd in 2029?
Globe International Carriers Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹39.27 by year-end (range: ₹38.22 to ₹41.52), representing a -0.08% decrease from the current price of ₹39.30.
Should I buy Globe International Carriers Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Globe International Carriers Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹18.41 vs CMP ₹39.30. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Globe International Carriers Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Globe International Carriers Ltd is ₹1.00, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Globe International Carriers Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Globe International Carriers Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Globe International Carriers Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Globe International Carriers Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.
