The predicted share price (Closing Price) for ITD Cementation India Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-27) is ₹734.80 which is 7.69% lower than today’s share price of ₹796.00
ITD Cementation India Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹464.20 vs CMP ₹796.00 (-41.7%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.069 · EMA(252): ₹744.86
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
50.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.503
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-3.3%5Y-0.4%10Y
Historical drift: +22.6% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.43x
Upside -41.7% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-71.5%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 7.04% · 420 data points over 612 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹15.92
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹688.00
₹918.00
CMP: ₹796.0047% into range13.3% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹464.20 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹79625% ₹71350% ₹63075% ₹547Target ₹464
Gap: 41.7% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: ITD Cementation India Ltd appears overvalued by 41.7% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). Volatility is high (50.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
ITD Cementation India Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
721.97
-9.3%
-9.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
784.57
Feb
791.44
Mar
780.51
Apr
766.34
May
753.34
Jun
744.32
Jul
731.25
Aug
726.52
Sep
728.68
Oct
722.32
Nov
717.47
Dec
721.97
2028
672.24
-15.5%
-8.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
714.72
Feb
715.93
Mar
692.91
Apr
692.15
May
695.80
Jun
690.89
Jul
679.60
Aug
686.27
Sep
689.17
Oct
690.25
Nov
678.71
Dec
672.24
2029
699.19
-12.2%
-4.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
675.99
Feb
668.02
Mar
666.01
Apr
675.75
May
678.22
Jun
700.55
Jul
711.56
Aug
706.93
Sep
706.80
Oct
699.64
Nov
699.19
Dec
699.19
2030
670.64
-15.7%
-4.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
682.75
Feb
686.93
Mar
698.53
Apr
695.89
May
680.93
Jun
674.39
Jul
667.36
Aug
657.23
Sep
661.64
Oct
662.68
Nov
664.61
Dec
670.64
2031
672.22
-15.6%
-3.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
676.31
Feb
681.33
Mar
687.89
Apr
697.19
May
686.62
Jun
690.30
Jul
688.05
Aug
696.93
Sep
692.56
Oct
682.06
Nov
674.79
Dec
672.22
2032
712.28
-10.5%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
674.86
Feb
678.67
Mar
674.39
Apr
674.95
May
668.23
Jun
681.52
Jul
683.62
Aug
681.47
Sep
677.57
Oct
696.02
Nov
703.65
Dec
712.28
2033
768.58
-3.4%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
707.35
Feb
719.75
Mar
719.01
Apr
719.18
May
722.68
Jun
734.06
Jul
739.55
Aug
748.43
Sep
754.12
Oct
752.61
Nov
765.09
Dec
768.58
2034
753.62
-5.3%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
769.29
Feb
761.49
Mar
762.29
Apr
757.53
May
761.77
Jun
759.14
Jul
753.58
Aug
748.43
Sep
741.79
Oct
738.97
Nov
753.67
Dec
753.62
2035
762.71
-4.2%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
751.49
Feb
744.92
Mar
741.67
Apr
742.08
May
740.01
Jun
738.51
Jul
738.43
Aug
741.67
Sep
750.01
Oct
753.29
Nov
760.54
Dec
762.71
2036
764.57
-3.9%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
751.80
Feb
760.74
Mar
757.61
Apr
751.17
May
749.46
Jun
760.34
Jul
772.77
Aug
776.62
Sep
774.47
Oct
766.94
Nov
770.44
Dec
764.57
ITD Cementation India Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.46%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
68.1%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹24.12
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
332
ITD Cementation India Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
ITD Cementation India Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will ITD Cementation India Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
ITD Cementation India Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹734.80 on 2026-04-27, which is 7.69% lower than today's price of ₹796.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of ITD Cementation India Ltd?
ITD Cementation India Ltd intrinsic value is ₹464.20, which is 41.68% below the current price of ₹796.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of ITD Cementation India Ltd in 2027?
ITD Cementation India Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹721.97 by year-end (range: ₹717.47 to ₹791.44), representing a -9.30% decrease from the current price of ₹796.00.
What is the share price target of ITD Cementation India Ltd in 2028?
ITD Cementation India Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹672.24 by year-end (range: ₹672.24 to ₹715.93), representing a -15.55% decrease from the current price of ₹796.00.
What is the share price target of ITD Cementation India Ltd in 2029?
ITD Cementation India Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹699.19 by year-end (range: ₹666.01 to ₹711.56), representing a -12.16% decrease from the current price of ₹796.00.
Should I buy ITD Cementation India Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, ITD Cementation India Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹464.20 vs CMP ₹796.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for ITD Cementation India Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for ITD Cementation India Ltd is ₹15.92, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
ITD Cementation India Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for ITD Cementation India Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for ITD Cementation India Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for ITD Cementation India Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.