The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Indian Hotels Co Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-19) is ₹517.82 which is 9.31% lower than today’s share price of ₹571.00
Indian Hotels Co Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹343.96 vs CMP ₹571.00 (-39.8%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.842 · EMA(252): ₹678.49
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
31.4% annualized
Risk: Moderate · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.436
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.3%5Y-0.7%10Y
Historical drift: -16.4% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.41x
Upside -39.8% vs downside 97.4% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-66%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.95% · 587 data points over 492 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹14.84
(97.4% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹571.00
₹750.00
CMP: ₹571.000% into range23.9% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹343.96 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹57125% ₹51450% ₹45775% ₹401Target ₹344
Gap: 39.8% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Indian Hotels Co Ltd appears overvalued by 39.8% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.44 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is moderate (31.4% annualized).
Indian Hotels Co Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
567.97
-0.5%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
569.96
Feb
568.26
Mar
567.75
Apr
567.24
May
565.19
Jun
581.17
Jul
578.66
Aug
584.95
Sep
585.92
Oct
576.26
Nov
568.32
Dec
567.97
2028
587.85
+3.0%
+1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
567.65
Feb
567.35
Mar
566.41
Apr
570.71
May
575.06
Jun
575.92
Jul
575.94
Aug
578.84
Sep
580.21
Oct
581.15
Nov
578.06
Dec
587.85
2029
590.03
+3.3%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
587.32
Feb
590.23
Mar
586.80
Apr
589.54
May
593.32
Jun
599.98
Jul
591.09
Aug
584.77
Sep
590.39
Oct
588.15
Nov
592.18
Dec
590.03
2030
569.56
-0.3%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
585.80
Feb
589.25
Mar
589.81
Apr
584.47
May
582.06
Jun
571.29
Jul
568.52
Aug
579.59
Sep
573.91
Oct
576.17
Nov
575.44
Dec
569.56
2031
561.09
-1.7%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
573.69
Feb
568.68
Mar
568.64
Apr
567.08
May
562.71
Jun
562.13
Jul
559.68
Aug
568.79
Sep
573.27
Oct
575.56
Nov
565.55
Dec
561.09
2032
551.86
-3.4%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
565.59
Feb
569.28
Mar
559.99
Apr
553.00
May
561.43
Jun
564.36
Jul
568.46
Aug
563.73
Sep
559.94
Oct
556.37
Nov
553.77
Dec
551.86
2033
556.62
-2.5%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
558.26
Feb
557.14
Mar
553.54
Apr
550.71
May
551.82
Jun
555.08
Jul
556.29
Aug
556.53
Sep
548.66
Oct
555.06
Nov
550.84
Dec
556.62
2034
571.67
+0.1%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
555.41
Feb
556.72
Mar
563.05
Apr
562.35
May
567.03
Jun
567.05
Jul
571.86
Aug
576.10
Sep
584.37
Oct
585.34
Nov
579.80
Dec
571.67
2035
541.29
-5.2%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
569.82
Feb
565.72
Mar
565.88
Apr
559.99
May
562.56
Jun
557.02
Jul
563.64
Aug
557.21
Sep
553.75
Oct
548.74
Nov
541.36
Dec
541.29
2036
532.42
-6.8%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
542.64
Feb
540.19
Mar
538.47
Apr
542.06
May
543.40
Jun
544.95
Jul
541.46
Aug
547.39
Sep
547.63
Oct
544.42
Nov
537.59
Dec
532.42
Indian Hotels Co Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.62%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
65.5%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹18.70
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
380
Indian Hotels Co Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Indian Hotels Co Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Indian Hotels Co Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Indian Hotels Co Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Indian Hotels Co Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹517.82 on 2026-04-19, which is 9.31% lower than today's price of ₹571.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Indian Hotels Co Ltd?
Indian Hotels Co Ltd intrinsic value is ₹343.96, which is 39.76% below the current price of ₹571.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Indian Hotels Co Ltd in 2027?
Indian Hotels Co Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹567.97 by year-end (range: ₹565.19 to ₹585.92), representing a -0.53% decrease from the current price of ₹571.00.
What is the share price target of Indian Hotels Co Ltd in 2028?
Indian Hotels Co Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹587.85 by year-end (range: ₹566.41 to ₹587.85), representing a 2.95% increase from the current price of ₹571.00.
What is the share price target of Indian Hotels Co Ltd in 2029?
Indian Hotels Co Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹590.03 by year-end (range: ₹584.77 to ₹599.98), representing a 3.33% increase from the current price of ₹571.00.
Should I buy Indian Hotels Co Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Indian Hotels Co Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹343.96 vs CMP ₹571.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Indian Hotels Co Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Indian Hotels Co Ltd is ₹14.84, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Indian Hotels Co Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Indian Hotels Co Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Indian Hotels Co Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Indian Hotels Co Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.