The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-12) is ₹394.45 which is 15.00% higher than today’s share price of ₹343.00
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹724.35 vs CMP ₹343.00 (+111.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 0.968 · EMA(252): ₹354.21
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
45.7% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.525
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
0%5Y+0.1%10Y
Historical drift: -13.6% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
1.14x
Upside +111.2% vs downside 97.9% · Balanced
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+52.6%
Strong margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 8.14% · 591 data points over 575 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹7.30
(97.9% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹281.00
₹426.00
CMP: ₹343.0043% into range19.5% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹724.35 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹34325% ₹43850% ₹53475% ₹629Target ₹724
Gap: 111.2% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd appears undervalued by 111.2% based on fundamentals. The stock is in a neutral regime. Volatility is high (45.7% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
351.04
+2.3%
+2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
343.36
Feb
345.93
Mar
348.15
Apr
349.87
May
343.72
Jun
345.40
Jul
346.82
Aug
346.36
Sep
344.26
Oct
347.45
Nov
349.94
Dec
351.04
2028
354.52
+3.4%
+1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
349.99
Feb
352.14
Mar
353.22
Apr
351.10
May
350.02
Jun
350.37
Jul
354.87
Aug
358.27
Sep
359.42
Oct
359.49
Nov
357.17
Dec
354.52
2029
347.98
+1.5%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
353.58
Feb
352.57
Mar
349.61
Apr
350.47
May
350.85
Jun
350.42
Jul
353.08
Aug
353.32
Sep
351.76
Oct
352.36
Nov
349.54
Dec
347.98
2030
335.50
-2.2%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
345.97
Feb
345.31
Mar
344.50
Apr
344.52
May
341.31
Jun
342.51
Jul
340.83
Aug
339.79
Sep
336.12
Oct
335.71
Nov
337.96
Dec
335.50
2031
343.30
+0.1%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
334.18
Feb
332.32
Mar
335.63
Apr
338.25
May
338.41
Jun
338.28
Jul
339.15
Aug
339.31
Sep
339.55
Oct
341.75
Nov
342.70
Dec
343.30
2032
343.76
+0.2%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
341.03
Feb
339.52
Mar
341.15
Apr
342.39
May
343.98
Jun
341.74
Jul
343.71
Aug
345.47
Sep
345.80
Oct
345.18
Nov
345.42
Dec
343.76
2033
346.12
+0.9%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
342.70
Feb
344.25
Mar
346.64
Apr
348.38
May
347.09
Jun
345.88
Jul
345.87
Aug
345.81
Sep
347.58
Oct
343.63
Nov
344.61
Dec
346.12
2034
351.24
+2.4%
+0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
345.32
Feb
344.44
Mar
346.40
Apr
347.37
May
346.99
Jun
348.05
Jul
349.24
Aug
350.78
Sep
352.01
Oct
351.52
Nov
351.79
Dec
351.24
2035
353.82
+3.2%
+0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
350.30
Feb
352.14
Mar
352.88
Apr
351.48
May
352.66
Jun
353.67
Jul
351.98
Aug
348.73
Sep
352.41
Oct
352.07
Nov
352.40
Dec
353.82
2036
346.38
+1.0%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
352.43
Feb
353.99
Mar
356.14
Apr
354.29
May
349.51
Jun
347.19
Jul
344.99
Aug
344.63
Sep
341.72
Oct
341.56
Nov
344.30
Dec
346.38
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.86%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
75.9%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹14.33
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
332
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹372.40|Range: ₹282.74 – ₹490.50|By: 10 Aug 2026
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd share price is expected to increase to ₹394.45 on 2026-05-12, which is 15.00% higher than today's price of ₹343.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd?
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd intrinsic value is ₹724.35, which is 111.18% above the current price of ₹343.00. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd in 2027?
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹351.04 by year-end (range: ₹343.36 to ₹351.04), representing a 2.34% increase from the current price of ₹343.00.
What is the share price target of Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd in 2028?
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹354.52 by year-end (range: ₹349.99 to ₹359.49), representing a 3.36% increase from the current price of ₹343.00.
What is the share price target of Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd in 2029?
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹347.98 by year-end (range: ₹347.98 to ₹353.58), representing a 1.45% increase from the current price of ₹343.00.
Should I buy Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd appears to be a consider buying candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹724.35 vs CMP ₹343.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd is ₹7.30, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Indian Hume Pipe Company Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.