The predicted share price (Closing Price) for JBM Auto Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-16) is ₹437.75 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹515.00
JBM Auto Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹213.43 vs CMP ₹515.00 (-58.6%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.847 · EMA(252): ₹607.94
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
70.2% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.512
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+0.1%5Y+2.2%10Y
Historical drift: -56.3% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.60x
Upside -58.6% vs downside 97.4% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-141.3%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.3% · 585 data points over 595 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹13.18
(97.4% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹486.00
₹683.00
CMP: ₹515.0015% into range24.6% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹213.43 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹51525% ₹44050% ₹36475% ₹289Target ₹213
Gap: 58.6% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: JBM Auto Ltd appears overvalued by 58.6% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (70.2% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
JBM Auto Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
498.25
-3.3%
-3.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
521.11
Feb
529.34
Mar
528.58
Apr
524.90
May
519.79
Jun
515.11
Jul
508.05
Aug
500.27
Sep
489.48
Oct
495.70
Nov
497.27
Dec
498.25
2028
538.56
+4.6%
+2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
503.63
Feb
506.64
Mar
508.64
Apr
507.78
May
514.06
Jun
520.66
Jul
530.26
Aug
531.81
Sep
537.24
Oct
526.86
Nov
527.78
Dec
538.56
2029
543.49
+5.5%
+1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
546.53
Feb
541.94
Mar
544.88
Apr
547.79
May
544.73
Jun
548.99
Jul
547.26
Aug
546.53
Sep
545.81
Oct
543.55
Nov
545.55
Dec
543.49
2030
527.48
+2.4%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
550.28
Feb
556.24
Mar
555.44
Apr
556.45
May
558.77
Jun
557.90
Jul
549.41
Aug
544.59
Sep
546.64
Oct
537.93
Nov
537.69
Dec
527.48
2031
517.56
+0.5%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
533.54
Feb
530.81
Mar
529.59
Apr
539.64
May
529.41
Jun
524.73
Jul
536.32
Aug
529.37
Sep
523.19
Oct
520.83
Nov
519.52
Dec
517.56
2032
532.23
+3.3%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
532.56
Feb
544.60
Mar
537.28
Apr
538.13
May
537.52
Jun
538.40
Jul
523.99
Aug
540.44
Sep
535.97
Oct
528.11
Nov
523.84
Dec
532.23
2033
589.63
+14.5%
+2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
530.22
Feb
529.74
Mar
540.81
Apr
542.78
May
543.07
Jun
545.30
Jul
556.29
Aug
556.99
Sep
563.53
Oct
567.73
Nov
570.78
Dec
589.63
2034
582.25
+13.1%
+1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
592.46
Feb
607.20
Mar
610.20
Apr
603.98
May
603.90
Jun
593.57
Jul
588.45
Aug
574.46
Sep
573.06
Oct
573.93
Nov
576.06
Dec
582.25
2035
632.66
+22.8%
+2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
577.74
Feb
571.95
Mar
578.21
Apr
593.64
May
601.01
Jun
604.35
Jul
604.46
Aug
604.15
Sep
614.39
Oct
626.65
Nov
639.14
Dec
632.66
2036
639.74
+24.2%
+2.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
638.84
Feb
641.96
Mar
647.27
Apr
646.84
May
648.48
Jun
641.91
Jul
653.46
Aug
644.53
Sep
634.80
Oct
631.13
Nov
642.57
Dec
639.74
JBM Auto Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.37%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
63.5%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹44.06
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
307
JBM Auto Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
JBM Auto Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
JBM Auto Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will JBM Auto Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
JBM Auto Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹437.75 on 2026-04-16, which is 15.00% lower than today's price of ₹515.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of JBM Auto Ltd?
JBM Auto Ltd intrinsic value is ₹213.43, which is 58.56% below the current price of ₹515.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of JBM Auto Ltd in 2027?
JBM Auto Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹498.25 by year-end (range: ₹489.48 to ₹529.34), representing a -3.25% decrease from the current price of ₹515.00.
What is the share price target of JBM Auto Ltd in 2028?
JBM Auto Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹538.56 by year-end (range: ₹503.63 to ₹538.56), representing a 4.57% increase from the current price of ₹515.00.
What is the share price target of JBM Auto Ltd in 2029?
JBM Auto Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹543.49 by year-end (range: ₹541.94 to ₹548.99), representing a 5.53% increase from the current price of ₹515.00.
Should I buy JBM Auto Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, JBM Auto Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹213.43 vs CMP ₹515.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for JBM Auto Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for JBM Auto Ltd is ₹13.18, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
JBM Auto Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for JBM Auto Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for JBM Auto Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for JBM Auto Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.