The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Liberty Shoes Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-25) is ₹219.59 which is 3.26% lower than today’s share price of ₹227.00
Liberty Shoes Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹222.22 vs CMP ₹227.00 (-2.1%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.817 · EMA(252): ₹277.79
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
52.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.523
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+3%5Y+1.4%10Y
Historical drift: -35.1% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.02x
Upside -2.1% vs downside 96.5% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-2.2%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 8.43% · 564 data points over 610 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹8.04
(96.5% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹213.00
₹373.00
CMP: ₹227.009% into range39.1% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹222.22 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹22725% ₹22650% ₹22575% ₹223Target ₹222
Gap: 2.1% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Liberty Shoes Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (52.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Liberty Shoes Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
229.01
+0.9%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
227.40
Feb
226.06
Mar
226.68
Apr
228.54
May
230.65
Jun
230.81
Jul
229.94
Aug
232.03
Sep
232.27
Oct
232.43
Nov
230.85
Dec
229.01
2028
245.78
+8.3%
+4.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
227.93
Feb
230.36
Mar
235.03
Apr
238.09
May
242.63
Jun
243.74
Jul
247.09
Aug
246.31
Sep
246.24
Oct
245.50
Nov
248.04
Dec
245.78
2029
243.88
+7.4%
+2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
243.95
Feb
244.28
Mar
249.08
Apr
248.04
May
246.32
Jun
246.72
Jul
245.25
Aug
246.25
Sep
245.93
Oct
245.58
Nov
246.01
Dec
243.88
2030
241.73
+6.5%
+1.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
245.99
Feb
245.23
Mar
246.12
Apr
245.00
May
246.51
Jun
246.09
Jul
247.41
Aug
243.16
Sep
245.31
Oct
243.79
Nov
242.81
Dec
241.73
2031
263.34
+16.0%
+3.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
242.26
Feb
244.55
Mar
242.90
Apr
245.79
May
249.62
Jun
251.64
Jul
256.30
Aug
261.57
Sep
263.08
Oct
264.19
Nov
263.07
Dec
263.34
2032
263.18
+15.9%
+2.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
263.28
Feb
263.79
Mar
261.50
Apr
265.10
May
264.93
Jun
267.67
Jul
267.03
Aug
266.79
Sep
262.97
Oct
263.20
Nov
262.27
Dec
263.18
2033
257.19
+13.3%
+1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
263.61
Feb
262.43
Mar
261.43
Apr
261.87
May
261.02
Jun
262.18
Jul
264.28
Aug
262.76
Sep
257.69
Oct
255.04
Nov
255.32
Dec
257.19
2034
249.79
+10.0%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
254.53
Feb
254.15
Mar
253.82
Apr
255.53
May
254.74
Jun
253.79
Jul
252.13
Aug
254.54
Sep
252.76
Oct
254.91
Nov
252.06
Dec
249.79
2035
254.11
+11.9%
+1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
250.86
Feb
253.56
Mar
257.05
Apr
255.37
May
253.66
Jun
250.23
Jul
250.14
Aug
247.42
Sep
250.10
Oct
251.06
Nov
252.68
Dec
254.11
2036
260.49
+14.8%
+1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
254.89
Feb
255.44
Mar
258.02
Apr
254.30
May
254.24
Jun
255.96
Jul
256.75
Aug
258.89
Sep
260.04
Oct
258.17
Nov
258.59
Dec
260.49
Liberty Shoes Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.66%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
67.8%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹13.17
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
307
Liberty Shoes Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Liberty Shoes Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Liberty Shoes Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Liberty Shoes Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Liberty Shoes Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹219.59 on 2026-04-25, which is 3.26% lower than today's price of ₹227.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Liberty Shoes Ltd?
Liberty Shoes Ltd intrinsic value is ₹222.22, which is 2.11% below the current price of ₹227.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of Liberty Shoes Ltd in 2027?
Liberty Shoes Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹229.01 by year-end (range: ₹226.06 to ₹232.43), representing a 0.89% increase from the current price of ₹227.00.
What is the share price target of Liberty Shoes Ltd in 2028?
Liberty Shoes Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹245.78 by year-end (range: ₹227.93 to ₹248.04), representing a 8.27% increase from the current price of ₹227.00.
What is the share price target of Liberty Shoes Ltd in 2029?
Liberty Shoes Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹243.88 by year-end (range: ₹243.88 to ₹249.08), representing a 7.44% increase from the current price of ₹227.00.
Should I buy Liberty Shoes Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Liberty Shoes Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹222.22 vs CMP ₹227.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Liberty Shoes Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Liberty Shoes Ltd is ₹8.04, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Liberty Shoes Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Liberty Shoes Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Liberty Shoes Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Liberty Shoes Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.