The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-13) is ₹23.73 which is 9.36% higher than today’s share price of ₹21.70
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹23.20 vs CMP ₹21.70 (+6.9%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.697 · EMA(252): ₹31.13
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
72.5% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.566
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-1.9%5Y-1.4%10Y
Historical drift: -15% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.07x
Upside +6.9% vs downside 94% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+6.5%
Thin margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.13% · 566 data points over 598 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹1.30
(94% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹21.70
₹64.90
CMP: ₹21.700% into range66.6% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹23.20 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹2225% ₹2250% ₹2275% ₹23Target ₹23
Gap: 6.9% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.57 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (72.5% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
20.29
-6.5%
-6.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
21.74
Feb
21.75
Mar
21.72
Apr
21.81
May
21.49
Jun
21.32
Jul
21.37
Aug
21.18
Sep
21.12
Oct
20.74
Nov
20.47
Dec
20.29
2028
20.87
-3.8%
-1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
20.93
Feb
21.02
Mar
21.34
Apr
21.56
May
21.32
Jun
21.37
Jul
21.01
Aug
21.00
Sep
20.94
Oct
20.98
Nov
20.83
Dec
20.87
2029
20.40
-6.0%
-2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
20.65
Feb
20.54
Mar
20.47
Apr
20.44
May
20.62
Jun
20.48
Jul
20.14
Aug
20.38
Sep
20.08
Oct
20.12
Nov
20.14
Dec
20.40
2030
20.17
-7.1%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
20.40
Feb
20.27
Mar
20.19
Apr
20.33
May
20.49
Jun
20.28
Jul
20.28
Aug
20.47
Sep
20.43
Oct
20.33
Nov
20.37
Dec
20.17
2031
19.74
-9.0%
-1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
20.35
Feb
20.13
Mar
20.05
Apr
19.95
May
19.89
Jun
19.85
Jul
19.90
Aug
19.66
Sep
20.13
Oct
19.99
Nov
19.66
Dec
19.74
2032
19.41
-10.6%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
19.65
Feb
19.56
Mar
19.60
Apr
19.36
May
19.23
Jun
19.17
Jul
19.23
Aug
19.37
Sep
19.35
Oct
19.42
Nov
19.42
Dec
19.41
2033
19.07
-12.1%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
19.31
Feb
19.36
Mar
19.32
Apr
19.23
May
19.12
Jun
19.36
Jul
19.29
Aug
19.21
Sep
19.28
Oct
19.21
Nov
19.14
Dec
19.07
2034
18.87
-13.0%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
18.99
Feb
18.89
Mar
18.85
Apr
18.92
May
18.76
Jun
18.82
Jul
18.89
Aug
19.02
Sep
18.95
Oct
18.77
Nov
18.68
Dec
18.87
2035
18.70
-13.8%
-1.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
18.93
Feb
18.73
Mar
18.87
Apr
18.78
May
18.65
Jun
18.53
Jul
18.55
Aug
18.81
Sep
18.91
Oct
19.04
Nov
18.73
Dec
18.70
2036
18.82
-13.3%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
18.55
Feb
18.49
Mar
18.59
Apr
18.74
May
18.73
Jun
18.75
Jul
18.88
Aug
19.02
Sep
18.90
Oct
18.59
Nov
18.87
Dec
18.82
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.34%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
70.6%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹1.00
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
309
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Will Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd share price is expected to increase to ₹23.73 on 2026-04-13, which is 9.36% higher than today's price of ₹21.70. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd?
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd intrinsic value is ₹23.20, which is 6.91% above the current price of ₹21.70. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd in 2027?
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹20.29 by year-end (range: ₹20.29 to ₹21.81), representing a -6.50% decrease from the current price of ₹21.70.
What is the share price target of Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd in 2028?
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹20.87 by year-end (range: ₹20.83 to ₹21.56), representing a -3.82% decrease from the current price of ₹21.70.
What is the share price target of Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd in 2029?
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹20.40 by year-end (range: ₹20.08 to ₹20.65), representing a -5.99% decrease from the current price of ₹21.70.
Should I buy Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹23.20 vs CMP ₹21.70. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd is ₹1.30, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.