The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Modern Insulators Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-01) is ₹311.21 which is 6.26% lower than today’s share price of ₹332.00
Modern Insulators Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹155.85 vs CMP ₹332.00 (-53.1%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.722 · EMA(252): ₹192.83
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
77.4% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.540
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.6%5Y+1.3%10Y
Historical drift: +85.3% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.54x
Upside -53.1% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-113%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 8.21% · 374 data points over 422 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹6.64
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹114.00
₹332.00
CMP: ₹332.00100% into range0% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹155.85 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹33225% ₹28850% ₹24475% ₹200Target ₹156
Gap: 53.1% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Modern Insulators Ltd appears overvalued by 53.1% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). Volatility is high (77.4% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Modern Insulators Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
302.23
-9.0%
-9.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
336.15
Feb
328.52
Mar
323.87
Apr
322.41
May
321.11
Jun
317.52
Jul
315.81
Aug
316.09
Sep
316.49
Oct
308.44
Nov
302.19
Dec
302.23
2028
287.50
-13.4%
-6.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
304.77
Feb
306.01
Mar
299.44
Apr
299.46
May
296.59
Jun
296.61
Jul
292.90
Aug
292.27
Sep
288.45
Oct
286.26
Nov
292.77
Dec
287.50
2029
308.53
-7.1%
-2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
285.58
Feb
286.68
Mar
286.18
Apr
287.17
May
289.92
Jun
287.07
Jul
289.53
Aug
293.24
Sep
297.97
Oct
297.34
Nov
303.49
Dec
308.53
2030
317.98
-4.2%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
299.91
Feb
296.37
Mar
298.96
Apr
298.82
May
297.38
Jun
301.57
Jul
307.01
Aug
309.47
Sep
309.98
Oct
309.97
Nov
315.83
Dec
317.98
2031
322.17
-3.0%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
314.56
Feb
315.31
Mar
319.25
Apr
313.06
May
318.10
Jun
312.64
Jul
315.38
Aug
315.94
Sep
313.87
Oct
315.84
Nov
316.74
Dec
322.17
2032
358.68
+8.0%
+1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
324.29
Feb
323.43
Mar
324.60
Apr
332.39
May
332.72
Jun
338.44
Jul
347.70
Aug
353.01
Sep
356.48
Oct
352.83
Nov
358.57
Dec
358.68
2033
353.20
+6.4%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
363.19
Feb
358.07
Mar
364.84
Apr
355.38
May
356.54
Jun
358.31
Jul
353.22
Aug
351.99
Sep
352.70
Oct
347.00
Nov
355.73
Dec
353.20
2034
355.70
+7.1%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
359.06
Feb
361.25
Mar
353.62
Apr
348.84
May
356.32
Jun
354.42
Jul
350.09
Aug
351.89
Sep
350.91
Oct
353.37
Nov
353.77
Dec
355.70
2035
364.97
+9.9%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
354.05
Feb
359.55
Mar
355.65
Apr
365.00
May
355.74
Jun
349.88
Jul
347.27
Aug
352.38
Sep
356.46
Oct
360.71
Nov
362.52
Dec
364.97
2036
376.76
+13.5%
+1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
362.54
Feb
363.88
Mar
359.41
Apr
362.16
May
366.45
Jun
369.31
Jul
372.35
Aug
372.44
Sep
376.54
Oct
375.59
Nov
378.95
Dec
376.76
Modern Insulators Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.27%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
56.3%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹7.84
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
176
Modern Insulators Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Modern Insulators Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Modern Insulators Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Modern Insulators Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Modern Insulators Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹311.21 on 2026-05-01, which is 6.26% lower than today's price of ₹332.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Modern Insulators Ltd?
Modern Insulators Ltd intrinsic value is ₹155.85, which is 53.06% below the current price of ₹332.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Modern Insulators Ltd in 2027?
Modern Insulators Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹302.23 by year-end (range: ₹302.19 to ₹336.15), representing a -8.97% decrease from the current price of ₹332.00.
What is the share price target of Modern Insulators Ltd in 2028?
Modern Insulators Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹287.50 by year-end (range: ₹286.26 to ₹306.01), representing a -13.40% decrease from the current price of ₹332.00.
What is the share price target of Modern Insulators Ltd in 2029?
Modern Insulators Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹308.53 by year-end (range: ₹285.58 to ₹308.53), representing a -7.07% decrease from the current price of ₹332.00.
Should I buy Modern Insulators Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Modern Insulators Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹155.85 vs CMP ₹332.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Modern Insulators Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Modern Insulators Ltd is ₹6.64, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Modern Insulators Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Modern Insulators Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Modern Insulators Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Modern Insulators Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.