The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-03) is ₹169.70 which is 14.73% lower than today’s share price of ₹199.00
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹35.25 vs CMP ₹199.00 (-82.3%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.797 · EMA(252): ₹249.63
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
64.7% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.539
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.5%5Y0%10Y
Historical drift: -58.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.84x
Upside -82.3% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-464.5%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 15.75% · 323 data points over 506 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹3.98
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹189.00
₹360.00
CMP: ₹199.006% into range44.7% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹35.25 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹19925% ₹15850% ₹11775% ₹76Target ₹35
Gap: 82.3% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd appears overvalued by 82.3% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (64.7% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
177.81
-10.6%
-10.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
198.24
Feb
198.49
Mar
196.69
Apr
192.74
May
194.83
Jun
193.97
Jul
187.88
Aug
187.05
Sep
184.05
Oct
182.15
Nov
177.50
Dec
177.81
2028
175.14
-12.0%
-6.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
175.93
Feb
173.21
Mar
174.15
Apr
174.25
May
174.58
Jun
173.53
Jul
176.62
Aug
177.75
Sep
176.29
Oct
176.64
Nov
173.82
Dec
175.14
2029
185.05
-7.0%
-2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
175.04
Feb
172.76
Mar
175.38
Apr
175.88
May
178.43
Jun
178.52
Jul
182.29
Aug
179.56
Sep
182.05
Oct
183.54
Nov
183.83
Dec
185.05
2030
185.15
-7.0%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
186.10
Feb
187.14
Mar
180.93
Apr
181.95
May
177.99
Jun
177.18
Jul
175.00
Aug
175.51
Sep
177.49
Oct
181.81
Nov
180.87
Dec
185.15
2031
194.33
-2.3%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
186.38
Feb
189.04
Mar
189.75
Apr
188.02
May
190.27
Jun
190.44
Jul
190.09
Aug
191.13
Sep
190.19
Oct
191.60
Nov
192.75
Dec
194.33
2032
200.41
+0.7%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
194.67
Feb
195.82
Mar
195.69
Apr
197.32
May
196.63
Jun
197.40
Jul
195.42
Aug
196.02
Sep
197.15
Oct
199.54
Nov
199.11
Dec
200.41
2033
212.42
+6.7%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
205.22
Feb
209.99
Mar
210.94
Apr
216.14
May
219.21
Jun
218.15
Jul
220.12
Aug
217.90
Sep
215.87
Oct
215.60
Nov
212.48
Dec
212.42
2034
209.93
+5.5%
+0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
211.81
Feb
211.32
Mar
210.23
Apr
208.36
May
209.24
Jun
209.52
Jul
208.25
Aug
211.62
Sep
211.97
Oct
211.79
Nov
210.99
Dec
209.93
2035
202.88
+1.9%
+0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
211.50
Feb
210.37
Mar
210.08
Apr
207.94
May
205.63
Jun
202.20
Jul
203.57
Aug
203.50
Sep
202.59
Oct
203.83
Nov
201.64
Dec
202.88
2036
199.27
+0.1%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
200.48
Feb
199.36
Mar
199.81
Apr
202.09
May
199.42
Jun
200.45
Jul
202.29
Aug
198.08
Sep
199.27
Oct
197.50
Nov
199.78
Dec
199.27
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
5.8%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
59.7%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹14.17
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
196
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹137.81|Range: ₹93.68 – ₹202.74|By: 01 Aug 2026
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Will Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹169.70 on 2026-05-03, which is 14.73% lower than today's price of ₹199.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd?
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd intrinsic value is ₹35.25, which is 82.29% below the current price of ₹199.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd in 2027?
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹177.81 by year-end (range: ₹177.50 to ₹198.49), representing a -10.65% decrease from the current price of ₹199.00.
What is the share price target of Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd in 2028?
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹175.14 by year-end (range: ₹173.21 to ₹177.75), representing a -11.99% decrease from the current price of ₹199.00.
What is the share price target of Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd in 2029?
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹185.05 by year-end (range: ₹172.76 to ₹185.05), representing a -7.01% decrease from the current price of ₹199.00.
Should I buy Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹35.25 vs CMP ₹199.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd is ₹3.98, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Muller and Phipps (India) Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.