Explore the year-by-year forecast for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd alongside its financial results and valuation. The estimates depend on the model assumptions; use the ranges and the evidence behind them when comparing scenarios.
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd share price today: ₹116.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹127.14 (2026-09-24) | 10–90% range: ₹118.89–₹133.40 | Forecast confidence: 65.5% | Chance of upside: 96.0% | Intrinsic value: ₹150.44 | 2027 target: ₹116.70 | 2036 target: ₹128.77
The next market-day median forecast for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd (2026-09-24) is ₹127.14 which is 9.60% higher than today’s share price of ₹116.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹118.89–₹133.40. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹150.44 vs CMP ₹116.00 (+29.7%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.137 · EMA(252): ₹101.99
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
69.2% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.532
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+0.6%5Y+1%10Y
Historical drift: -11.8% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.34x
Upside +29.7% vs downside 87.4% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+22.9%
Moderate margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
Moderate (65.5%)
Chance of upside: 96.0% · Avg forecast error: 11.05% · 590 data points
Fundamental FlooriA modelled fundamental reference level based on book value and financial-strength inputs (including ROE, ROCE and debt ratios). It is not a guaranteed price floor: market prices can trade below it when fundamentals change or during stressed conditions.
₹14.56
(87.4% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹84.20
₹148.00
CMP: ₹116.0050% into range21.6% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹150.44 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹11625% ₹12550% ₹13375% ₹142Target ₹150
Gap: 29.7% upward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd appears undervalued by 29.7% based on fundamentals. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). Volatility is high (69.2% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
116.70
+0.6%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
115.04
Feb
115.14
Mar
115.32
Apr
115.42
May
114.98
Jun
115.58
Jul
116.36
Aug
116.11
Sep
115.51
Oct
115.85
Nov
116.52
Dec
116.70
2028
118.56
+2.2%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
116.70
Feb
115.94
Mar
115.82
Apr
116.41
May
116.80
Jun
118.27
Jul
117.89
Aug
118.87
Sep
117.57
Oct
117.61
Nov
117.74
Dec
118.56
2029
117.43
+1.2%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.29
Feb
118.51
Mar
118.66
Apr
118.26
May
119.36
Jun
118.82
Jul
119.56
Aug
119.08
Sep
117.19
Oct
118.49
Nov
117.01
Dec
117.43
2030
118.01
+1.7%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.01
Feb
117.54
Mar
117.27
Apr
117.95
May
117.85
Jun
118.39
Jul
118.29
Aug
118.71
Sep
120.12
Oct
119.68
Nov
118.78
Dec
118.01
2031
119.77
+3.2%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.00
Feb
117.11
Mar
118.25
Apr
118.72
May
118.59
Jun
118.08
Jul
117.13
Aug
117.25
Sep
117.59
Oct
118.57
Nov
120.13
Dec
119.77
2032
119.04
+2.6%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.87
Feb
117.62
Mar
117.36
Apr
115.59
May
115.78
Jun
116.26
Jul
116.58
Aug
116.29
Sep
117.80
Oct
118.70
Nov
118.45
Dec
119.04
2033
120.46
+3.8%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
118.81
Feb
118.09
Mar
117.23
Apr
118.15
May
118.82
Jun
118.39
Jul
118.65
Aug
118.65
Sep
119.88
Oct
119.29
Nov
119.35
Dec
120.46
2034
125.79
+8.4%
+1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
120.49
Feb
120.40
Mar
120.65
Apr
120.28
May
119.91
Jun
120.12
Jul
120.55
Aug
122.13
Sep
123.88
Oct
124.05
Nov
124.39
Dec
125.79
2035
126.16
+8.8%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
125.38
Feb
125.54
Mar
125.14
Apr
124.91
May
124.44
Jun
124.88
Jul
124.46
Aug
123.97
Sep
124.40
Oct
125.30
Nov
125.57
Dec
126.16
2036
128.77
+11.0%
+1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
125.69
Feb
127.63
Mar
127.80
Apr
127.84
May
127.85
Jun
127.55
Jul
127.79
Aug
126.90
Sep
127.69
Oct
126.45
Nov
127.70
Dec
128.77
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Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.51%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
66%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹4.94
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd median forecast is ₹127.14 on 2026-09-24, which is 9.60% higher than today’s price of ₹116.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹118.89 to ₹133.40. Forecast confidence is 65.5%, with probability-up estimate of 96.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd?
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd intrinsic value is ₹150.44, which is 29.69% above the current price of ₹116.00. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd in 2027?
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹116.70 by year-end (range: ₹114.98 to ₹116.70), representing a 0.60% increase from the current price of ₹116.00.
What is the share price target of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd in 2028?
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹118.56 by year-end (range: ₹115.82 to ₹118.87), representing a 2.21% increase from the current price of ₹116.00.
What is the share price target of Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd in 2029?
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹117.43 by year-end (range: ₹117.01 to ₹119.56), representing a 1.23% increase from the current price of ₹116.00.
Should I buy Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd currently receives a consider buying research stance from this valuation framework. Intrinsic value is ₹150.44 vs CMP ₹116.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd is ₹14.56, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is a modelled reference level rather than a guaranteed minimum, and the market price can trade below it.
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (December 18, 2024) and the end date (September 15, 2026).
590 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from December 18, 2024 to September 15, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
How to assess Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd share price targets
Compare the growth and valuation assumptions with reported profitability, debt and operating cash flow. A higher projected price needs supporting business performance; weaker earnings or a lower valuation multiple can produce a different outcome.
Targets are model outputs, not promises. The page should be read together with valuation, profitability, balance-sheet risk, volatility and forecast-error information. Read the forecasting methodology.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
