GETAKA RESEARCH

PAE Ltd Share Price Target

Share price forecasts explained through historical ranges and business assumptions.

Reference share price₹32.20Stored quote · not live
25 September 2026, 9:07 pm +05:30

Financial reporting gap. Latest stored annual results: Mar 2025; quarter: Dec 2025. Check newer filings before relying on scenarios. Data & sources

01 / PRICE OUTLOOK

Short-term price outlook

History-based · 29 observations

Central 80% of past moves, applied to the reference price. Future outcomes can fall outside this range.

A large historical discontinuity or reference-price mismatch needs quote and corporate-action verification. Ranges are paused rather than treating a possible split or bonus adjustment as ordinary volatility.

1 month · historical rangeMore usable history needed

Missing inputs are shown openly; no artificial target is substituted.

HOW MUCH WEIGHT TO GIVE ITNo usable range available

Price or history checks have not passed. A target is withheld until the inputs are usable.

Inspect the prediction record →

A price range needs at least 40 matched historical moves and usable recent data. No range is invented when that evidence is missing.

Hover, tap or use arrow keys to inspect each horizon.

Historical range Median Reference price
All horizons, target dates & calculation notes
Historical-move ranges applied to ₹32.20
HorizonTarget sessionHistorical medianCentral historical rangeMatched moves
Next session1 regular session2026-09-28UnavailableInsufficient usable evidence0
1 week5 regular sessions2026-10-05UnavailableInsufficient usable evidence0
1 month21 regular sessions2026-10-28UnavailableInsufficient usable evidence0
3 months63 regular sessions2026-12-30UnavailableInsufficient usable evidence0

Uses regular NSE sessions; special/Muhurat sessions are excluded. Historical windows can overlap and are not independent samples. Calendar verified through 2026; unknown future dates are not guessed.

READ THE DISTRIBUTION

Where do historical outcomes cluster?

1 month

Taller bars mean that price band occurred more often when past returns are applied to the reference price. This expected-price distribution describes history, not your probability of profit.

A distribution needs at least 40 usable matched moves. It is withheld when the price data fails the checks.

Hover, tap or use arrow keys to inspect price bands.

How to read this distribution

Dashed line: reference price. This is an empirical probability estimate under the assumption that past moves remain representative. It is not a calibrated forecast probability. Overlapping windows are dependent; news, regime changes and unobserved tail events can invalidate it. The full observed tails remain included.

02 / BUSINESS EVIDENCE

What supports—or challenges—the target?

Model valuation estimate₹51.42Limited confidence · Not a price forecast
Stored earnings multiple6.9×P/E · feed earnings basis
Full company analysis ↗Compare sector peers ↗

Indicative estimate · Model sensitivity range ₹44.07 – ₹61.70. This is not a forecast probability range.

Indicative valuation · Limited confidence

There are no earnings results within the last six months. Newer filings are needed. The annual history contains non-positive earnings. A positive median is only a through-cycle reference; recent losses require a separate turnaround review.

See valuation inputs and assumptions →

The stored model value for PAE Ltd is 59.7% above the reference share price. That gap is valuation context; it does not establish when or whether the market will converge.

Borrowings / book equity

0.00×

₹0.00 borrowed per ₹100 of equity

Mar 2026 · balance sheet
Why it matters & source

This compares reported borrowings with equity capital plus reserves. It is gross borrowing, not net debt; reserves are not cash.

Borrowings ÷ (equity capital + reserves), from the same balance-sheet date.

Borrowings: ₹0.00 Cr. Equity capital: ₹1.00 Cr. Reserves: ₹0.33 Cr.

View the source financial table →
What would change the scenario?
  • Earnings: a weaker EPS path lowers the target even if the valuation multiple holds.
  • Valuation: a lower future P/E can offset earnings growth. Compare peers and the quality of those earnings.
  • Business evidence: revisit assumptions after new results, cash-flow changes and financing updates. The measures above explain the current stored evidence, not future outcomes.
Missing evidence and limitations
  • Net margin needs revenue and profit for the latest quarter and the same quarter last year.
  • Revenue momentum needs eight consecutive quarters with positive revenue.
  • Cash backing needs three consecutive matching years, with positive profit in each year.
  • Interest coverage needs matching annual PBT and positive interest expense; zero interest is not treated as infinite coverage.
  • Cash cycle change needs debtor, inventory and payable days for the latest year and the preceding year.
03 / LONG-TERM SCENARIOS

What must happen to reach the target?

Editable assumptions

Explore how earnings growth and the price investors pay for those earnings change the outcome. These scenarios depend on your assumptions; they are not assigned probabilities.

Starting point: ₹32.20 per share · 6.9× stored P/E. EPS is earnings per share; P/E is the price paid for each rupee of earnings.

Choose your assumptions

Illustrative starting assumption; edit it below. Each card states its own growth and future P/E assumptions.

Cautious₹26.38

-18.1% over 3 years

3.0% EPS growth · 5.2× future P/E
Middle case₹40.56

+26.0% over 3 years

8.0% EPS growth · 6.9× future P/E
Strong execution₹53.43

+65.9% over 3 years

13.0% EPS growth · 7.9× future P/E
What the middle case requires

The middle case requires EPS to become 1.26× its starting level over 3 years, with the valuation multiple unchanged.

Calculations, assumptions & automatic checks
How the middle case works

₹32.20 × (1 + 8.0% EPS growth)³ × (6.9 ÷ 6.9 P/E) = ₹40.56.

If the P/E falls 25%, a 10% annual price return over 3 years would require 21.1% annual EPS growth.

Automatic guardrails for every stock

Unusable prices, non-positive P/E and P/E above 500× are unsupported. Scenario growth must stay between −30% and 35% (the editable middle case allows −25% to 30% so adjacent cases also fit). A result is withheld if future P/E is outside 0.25–4× the current P/E, price is outside 0.1–10× the reference, or implied annual price change is outside −40% to +40%. These are transparent review thresholds, not calibrated probabilities or limits on what markets can do. We never force a price to a floor or ceiling.

Even a result inside these thresholds can be wrong. Check earnings quality, dilution, company scale and peer valuations. Five- and ten-year cases are especially assumption-sensitive. Old financial periods, stale quotes and unverified corporate actions remain visible; short-term ranges stop when their data checks fail.

Historical EPS CAGR: 126.1% over Mar 2022–Mar 2025. The stored P/E can use a different earnings basis from the dated statements.

PAE Ltd share price targets by year: 2026–2036

These use the initial assumptions above and the actual time to each calendar year-end. They are sensitivities, not precise forecasts. Unavailable cells failed the displayed guardrails. The interactive cards can be changed independently.

PAE Ltd conditional year-end prices
Year-endCautiousMiddle caseStrong execution
2026Unavailable₹32.85Unavailable
2027₹25.05₹35.48₹43.19
2028₹25.81₹38.32₹48.82
2029₹26.58₹41.39₹55.16
2030₹27.38₹44.69₹62.32
2031₹28.20₹48.27₹70.42
2032₹29.05₹52.14₹79.59
2033₹29.92₹56.30₹89.93
2034₹30.81₹60.81₹101.62
2035₹31.74₹65.67₹114.82
2036₹32.69₹70.93₹129.78

Price return excludes dividends, dilution beyond the assumed EPS path, taxes and dealing costs. Negative or unusable P/E requires a different valuation approach. Long horizons magnify small assumption changes.

04 / PREDICTION RECORD

How close were predictions to actual prices?

Model 2.0.0

Predicted price vs actual price: a smaller gap means a closer estimate. Choose a source to distinguish earlier saved predictions, historical tests and forecasts actually published by this model.

Restored stored predictions matched to the same target date as each actual observation. Legacy horizons and issuance cutoffs were not consistently recorded; these values are preserved for inspection, not certified as an out-of-sample performance record.

Latest observation₹32.20
Prediction for 2026-09-25₹7.85
Average absolute error54.54%
Predicted price versus actual price419332025-07-082026-09-25
Actual observation Predicted price

Hover, tap or use arrow keys to inspect the date, actual price, prediction and error.

Historical test results & reliability by horizon

The table reconstructs each historical forecast using only price observations available before its target date. “Last price” is the simple benchmark. Lower error is better; interval coverage shows how often outcomes fell inside the historical range.

Reconstructed price-history tests, separated by horizon
HorizonModel error (MAPE)Last-price errorRange coverageEvaluations
Next sessionMore history needed——0
1 weekMore history needed——0
1 monthMore history needed——0
3 monthsMore history needed——0
How to interpret these tests

At least 126 earlier regular sessions and 40 matched historical moves are required at each origin. Quantiles use at most the previous 504 regular sessions, with no future endpoints. Missing endpoints are skipped. Multi-session tests overlap; counts are not independent trials. An 80% historical band is not guaranteed to cover 80% of future prices.

This reconstruction uses the database as it exists today, including any later corrections. Price observations are stored feed updates, not verified official closes or a certified adjusted-price series. It is not a live trading record, and it excludes fees, dividends and execution effects.

Published forecast ledger & pending targets

The first published range for each stock, day and horizon is saved separately and never overwritten. Later intraday changes may differ from that first issue. No earlier performance is backfilled as a live result.

No eligible published ranges are recorded yet. A record starts when usable data produces a future-dated range.

METHOD & PROVENANCE

Data, sources & method

Quote records and financial statements refresh independently. Check the reporting dates before using a scenario.

View data dates, methodology & source links

Price history

29 usable daily observations from 2025-07-08 to 2026-09-25. We retain the last actual record per regular session, exclude forecast-only and ambiguous prediction rows, and do not fill missing prices. The 10th/50th/90th percentiles of matched horizon returns produce the range and historical median.

Business assumptions

Scenario price = reference price × (1 + annual EPS growth)years × future P/E ÷ current P/E. Assumptions are editable and explicitly separate from observed results. Model valuation is an estimate, not a promised destination.

Data freshness

Annual: Mar 2025. Quarterly: Dec 2025. Cash flow: Mar 2026. Sources refresh independently; check reporting basis, exceptional items and corporate actions.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Produced automatically by Getaka from stored data using method 2.0.0. There is no analyst consensus claim or human-review claim. Unexpected news, policy changes and company events can move prices outside these ranges.

PAE Ltd target questions

What is the share price target for PAE Ltd?

There is no single dependable target. Use the dated short-term historical ranges for price variation and the earnings/P/E scenarios for longer-term assumptions. The reference price is ₹32.20; actual outcomes may differ materially.

Does intrinsic value predict the next market price?

No. The stored estimate is ₹51.42. Intrinsic value depends on a valuation method and its inputs. It does not predict when investors will change the price or guarantee convergence.

How reliable are the price ranges?

Reliability depends on data coverage and the horizon. The chronological tests above show error against a last-price benchmark and observed interval coverage. The separate published record starts with this model version; a heuristic percentage is not presented as confidence.

What should I check before using a long-term scenario?

Check the dated earnings trend, cash generation, financing exposure and future valuation multiple. Revisit the assumptions when new filings arrive. A mathematically possible price is not evidence that the business will deliver it.

Back to top ↑Explain the target. Check the evidence. Revisit the assumptions.

How to assess PAE Ltd share price targets

Compare the growth and valuation assumptions with reported profitability, debt and operating cash flow. A higher projected price needs supporting business performance; weaker earnings or a lower valuation multiple can produce a different outcome.

Start with PAE Ltd fundamentals and financial statements, then review what the P/E ratio measures and alternative intrinsic-value methods.