The next market-day median forecast for PAE Ltd (2026-05-27) is ₹27.95 which is 15.00% higher than today’s share price of ₹24.30 with a 10–90% range of ₹27.95–₹27.95. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
PAE Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹781.07 vs CMP ₹24.30 (+3,114.3%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 2.281 · EMA(252): ₹10.65
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
186.6% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.412
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+3.4%5Y+0.8%10Y
Historical drift: +128.3% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
32.47x
Upside +3114.3% vs downside 95.9% · Favourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+96.9%
Strong margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
Moderate (67.3%)
Chance of upside: 100.0% · Avg forecast error: 10.54% · 302 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹1.00
(95.9% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹4.60
₹24.30
CMP: ₹24.30100% into range0% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹781.07 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹2425% ₹21350% ₹40375% ₹592Target ₹781
Gap: 3,114.3% upward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: PAE Ltd appears undervalued by 3,114.3% based on fundamentals. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.41 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is high (186.6% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
PAE Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
25.44
+4.7%
+4.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
25.09
Feb
25.91
Mar
24.71
Apr
24.90
May
24.09
Jun
25.74
Jul
23.43
Aug
24.27
Sep
24.36
Oct
24.74
Nov
24.65
Dec
25.44
2028
25.47
+4.8%
+2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
23.85
Feb
23.10
Mar
23.47
Apr
23.75
May
23.31
Jun
23.66
Jul
23.31
Aug
22.53
Sep
24.07
Oct
23.73
Nov
25.44
Dec
25.47
2029
25.20
+3.7%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
24.77
Feb
25.36
Mar
25.76
Apr
25.23
May
25.18
Jun
26.67
Jul
27.44
Aug
25.84
Sep
27.29
Oct
26.23
Nov
25.69
Dec
25.20
2030
28.88
+18.8%
+4.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
24.82
Feb
25.12
Mar
23.59
Apr
24.67
May
24.85
Jun
25.33
Jul
24.94
Aug
25.25
Sep
26.01
Oct
26.81
Nov
27.22
Dec
28.88
2031
28.68
+18.0%
+3.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
29.69
Feb
30.23
Mar
31.12
Apr
31.28
May
31.09
Jun
30.21
Jul
30.11
Aug
30.56
Sep
30.72
Oct
30.23
Nov
30.25
Dec
28.68
2032
24.80
+2.1%
+0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
28.89
Feb
27.50
Mar
26.83
Apr
26.46
May
26.32
Jun
26.21
Jul
27.39
Aug
28.40
Sep
27.87
Oct
26.25
Nov
25.61
Dec
24.80
2033
23.71
-2.4%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
24.55
Feb
24.46
Mar
23.96
Apr
23.81
May
23.51
Jun
22.65
Jul
22.32
Aug
21.46
Sep
20.74
Oct
21.76
Nov
22.50
Dec
23.71
2034
25.81
+6.2%
+0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
23.58
Feb
23.31
Mar
23.59
Apr
23.32
May
24.08
Jun
23.86
Jul
23.89
Aug
24.26
Sep
24.80
Oct
24.58
Nov
25.03
Dec
25.81
2035
24.92
+2.6%
+0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
26.98
Feb
27.16
Mar
26.26
Apr
26.70
May
26.58
Jun
27.99
Jul
28.60
Aug
26.60
Sep
25.84
Oct
26.19
Nov
25.85
Dec
24.92
2036
26.21
+7.9%
+0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
25.37
Feb
26.24
Mar
25.13
Apr
24.22
May
25.29
Jun
24.59
Jul
24.61
Aug
26.03
Sep
27.05
Oct
26.05
Nov
26.14
Dec
26.21
PAE Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
9.07%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
46.2%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹0.95
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will PAE Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
PAE Ltd median forecast is ₹27.95 on 2026-05-27, which is 15.00% higher than today’s price of ₹24.30. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹27.95 to ₹27.95. Forecast confidence is 67.3%, with probability-up estimate of 100.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of PAE Ltd?
PAE Ltd intrinsic value is ₹781.07, which is 3,114.28% above the current price of ₹24.30. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of PAE Ltd in 2027?
PAE Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹25.44 by year-end (range: ₹23.43 to ₹25.91), representing a 4.69% increase from the current price of ₹24.30.
What is the share price target of PAE Ltd in 2028?
PAE Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹25.47 by year-end (range: ₹22.53 to ₹25.47), representing a 4.81% increase from the current price of ₹24.30.
What is the share price target of PAE Ltd in 2029?
PAE Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹25.20 by year-end (range: ₹24.77 to ₹27.44), representing a 3.70% increase from the current price of ₹24.30.
Should I buy PAE Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, PAE Ltd appears to be a consider buying candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹781.07 vs CMP ₹24.30. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for PAE Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for PAE Ltd is ₹1.00, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
PAE Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for PAE Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for PAE Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for PAE Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
