The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Star Paper Mills Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-02) is ₹134.75 which is 12.29% higher than today’s share price of ₹120.00
Star Paper Mills Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹259.97 vs CMP ₹120.00 (+116.6%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.797 · EMA(252): ₹150.62
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.532
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.8%5Y-0.2%10Y
Historical drift: -31% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
1.53x
Upside +116.6% vs downside 76.3% · Balanced
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+53.8%
Strong margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 4.81% · 567 data points over 618 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹28.41
(76.3% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹120.00
₹175.00
CMP: ₹120.000% into range31.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹259.97 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹12025% ₹15550% ₹19075% ₹225Target ₹260
Gap: 116.6% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Star Paper Mills Ltd appears undervalued by 116.6% based on fundamentals. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (29.9% annualized).
Star Paper Mills Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
117.55
-2.0%
-2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
120.13
Feb
120.24
Mar
120.09
Apr
120.13
May
120.48
Jun
119.65
Jul
119.53
Aug
118.84
Sep
118.65
Oct
118.54
Nov
118.41
Dec
117.55
2028
119.12
-0.7%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
117.99
Feb
118.34
Mar
117.70
Apr
117.84
May
117.96
Jun
117.67
Jul
117.92
Aug
117.30
Sep
118.34
Oct
118.23
Nov
118.30
Dec
119.12
2029
119.41
-0.5%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
119.14
Feb
119.66
Mar
119.81
Apr
119.85
May
120.09
Jun
119.55
Jul
118.52
Aug
118.57
Sep
119.57
Oct
119.41
Nov
119.22
Dec
119.41
2030
117.08
-2.4%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
119.04
Feb
118.36
Mar
117.95
Apr
117.85
May
118.00
Jun
118.08
Jul
118.22
Aug
117.59
Sep
117.58
Oct
116.95
Nov
116.67
Dec
117.08
2031
115.30
-3.9%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
117.41
Feb
117.40
Mar
117.44
Apr
116.84
May
116.56
Jun
116.58
Jul
115.43
Aug
115.80
Sep
115.35
Oct
115.60
Nov
115.15
Dec
115.30
2032
115.29
-3.9%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
115.58
Feb
114.90
Mar
115.35
Apr
114.82
May
114.77
Jun
114.63
Jul
114.41
Aug
114.56
Sep
114.72
Oct
115.14
Nov
115.16
Dec
115.29
2033
114.75
-4.4%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
115.76
Feb
115.54
Mar
115.67
Apr
115.26
May
114.71
Jun
114.61
Jul
114.72
Aug
114.64
Sep
114.74
Oct
114.99
Nov
114.70
Dec
114.75
2034
115.46
-3.8%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
114.72
Feb
114.14
Mar
114.07
Apr
114.26
May
113.75
Jun
113.90
Jul
114.05
Aug
114.18
Sep
114.87
Oct
115.59
Nov
115.80
Dec
115.46
2035
115.96
-3.4%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
115.39
Feb
116.00
Mar
116.53
Apr
115.75
May
115.05
Jun
114.97
Jul
115.19
Aug
114.78
Sep
115.11
Oct
115.80
Nov
115.80
Dec
115.96
2036
117.07
-2.4%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
116.91
Feb
116.56
Mar
116.54
Apr
116.67
May
116.09
Jun
116.46
Jul
116.50
Aug
116.72
Sep
117.03
Oct
116.92
Nov
117.22
Dec
117.07
Star Paper Mills Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.2%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
57.3%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹3.78
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
307
Star Paper Mills Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Star Paper Mills Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Star Paper Mills Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Star Paper Mills Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Star Paper Mills Ltd share price is expected to increase to ₹134.75 on 2026-05-02, which is 12.29% higher than today's price of ₹120.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Star Paper Mills Ltd?
Star Paper Mills Ltd intrinsic value is ₹259.97, which is 116.64% above the current price of ₹120.00. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of Star Paper Mills Ltd in 2027?
Star Paper Mills Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹117.55 by year-end (range: ₹117.55 to ₹120.48), representing a -2.04% decrease from the current price of ₹120.00.
What is the share price target of Star Paper Mills Ltd in 2028?
Star Paper Mills Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹119.12 by year-end (range: ₹117.30 to ₹119.12), representing a -0.73% decrease from the current price of ₹120.00.
What is the share price target of Star Paper Mills Ltd in 2029?
Star Paper Mills Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹119.41 by year-end (range: ₹118.52 to ₹120.09), representing a -0.49% decrease from the current price of ₹120.00.
Should I buy Star Paper Mills Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Star Paper Mills Ltd appears to be a consider buying candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹259.97 vs CMP ₹120.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Star Paper Mills Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Star Paper Mills Ltd is ₹28.41, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Star Paper Mills Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Star Paper Mills Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Star Paper Mills Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Star Paper Mills Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.
