The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Sun TV Network Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-07) is ₹541.03 which is 4.58% lower than today’s share price of ₹567.00
Sun TV Network Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹476.39 vs CMP ₹567.00 (-16.0%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 0.980 · EMA(252): ₹578.78
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
32.2% annualized
Risk: Moderate · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.483
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+2.2%5Y+0.5%10Y
Historical drift: -15.9% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.16x
Upside -16% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-19%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 3.86% · 589 data points over 612 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹11.34
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹530.00
₹649.00
CMP: ₹567.0031% into range12.6% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹476.39 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹56725% ₹54450% ₹52275% ₹499Target ₹476
Gap: 16.0% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Sun TV Network Ltd appears overvalued by 16.0% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is in a neutral regime. Volatility is moderate (32.2% annualized).
Sun TV Network Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
598.29
+5.5%
+5.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
576.79
Feb
579.05
Mar
585.24
Apr
586.68
May
584.78
Jun
589.37
Jul
592.61
Aug
587.93
Sep
589.03
Oct
587.31
Nov
592.82
Dec
598.29
2028
594.01
+4.8%
+2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
595.72
Feb
602.00
Mar
601.96
Apr
602.38
May
607.58
Jun
612.62
Jul
609.60
Aug
607.02
Sep
602.33
Oct
602.96
Nov
600.37
Dec
594.01
2029
602.33
+6.2%
+2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
596.62
Feb
592.52
Mar
589.54
Apr
589.65
May
592.64
Jun
592.62
Jul
594.48
Aug
600.39
Sep
603.49
Oct
605.63
Nov
599.24
Dec
602.33
2030
613.67
+8.2%
+2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
598.00
Feb
600.88
Mar
601.59
Apr
598.62
May
594.45
Jun
599.38
Jul
600.90
Aug
602.56
Sep
604.93
Oct
607.67
Nov
614.19
Dec
613.67
2031
632.65
+11.6%
+2.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
611.99
Feb
621.11
Mar
620.81
Apr
613.22
May
625.68
Jun
635.53
Jul
633.76
Aug
630.66
Sep
637.27
Oct
629.01
Nov
625.83
Dec
632.65
2032
633.63
+11.8%
+1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
626.46
Feb
630.84
Mar
628.81
Apr
628.05
May
632.21
Jun
638.13
Jul
640.15
Aug
638.87
Sep
646.77
Oct
645.00
Nov
640.62
Dec
633.63
2033
600.61
+5.9%
+0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
626.54
Feb
622.79
Mar
628.44
Apr
624.96
May
618.37
Jun
618.19
Jul
612.01
Aug
601.64
Sep
599.29
Oct
600.21
Nov
592.31
Dec
600.61
2034
606.99
+7.1%
+0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
606.53
Feb
602.57
Mar
598.22
Apr
595.86
May
592.17
Jun
595.72
Jul
597.83
Aug
595.34
Sep
598.48
Oct
596.94
Nov
600.90
Dec
606.99
2035
581.31
+2.5%
+0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
601.43
Feb
600.24
Mar
599.47
Apr
598.41
May
597.96
Jun
593.40
Jul
592.89
Aug
589.28
Sep
593.67
Oct
589.11
Nov
581.79
Dec
581.31
2036
593.68
+4.7%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
582.14
Feb
587.18
Mar
590.83
Apr
593.47
May
596.26
Jun
600.29
Jul
603.67
Aug
600.96
Sep
599.61
Oct
597.50
Nov
592.14
Dec
593.68
Sun TV Network Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
1.53%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
69.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹9.84
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
327
Sun TV Network Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Sun TV Network Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹511.68|Range: ₹420.21 – ₹623.08|By: 05 Aug 2026
Sun TV Network Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Sun TV Network Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Sun TV Network Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Sun TV Network Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹541.03 on 2026-05-07, which is 4.58% lower than today's price of ₹567.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Sun TV Network Ltd?
Sun TV Network Ltd intrinsic value is ₹476.39, which is 15.98% below the current price of ₹567.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Sun TV Network Ltd in 2027?
Sun TV Network Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹598.29 by year-end (range: ₹576.79 to ₹598.29), representing a 5.52% increase from the current price of ₹567.00.
What is the share price target of Sun TV Network Ltd in 2028?
Sun TV Network Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹594.01 by year-end (range: ₹594.01 to ₹612.62), representing a 4.76% increase from the current price of ₹567.00.
What is the share price target of Sun TV Network Ltd in 2029?
Sun TV Network Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹602.33 by year-end (range: ₹589.54 to ₹605.63), representing a 6.23% increase from the current price of ₹567.00.
Should I buy Sun TV Network Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Sun TV Network Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹476.39 vs CMP ₹567.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Sun TV Network Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Sun TV Network Ltd is ₹11.34, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Sun TV Network Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Sun TV Network Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Sun TV Network Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Sun TV Network Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.