The predicted share price (Closing Price) for TV Today Network Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-01) is ₹99.73 which is 3.17% lower than today’s share price of ₹103.00
TV Today Network Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹121.48 vs CMP ₹103.00 (+17.9%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.797 · EMA(252): ₹129.22
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
34.4% annualized
Risk: Moderate · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.503
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+2%5Y+0.5%10Y
Historical drift: -44.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.20x
Upside +17.9% vs downside 90.7% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+15.2%
Moderate margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 3.81% · 559 data points over 616 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹9.62
(90.7% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹95.90
₹151.00
CMP: ₹103.0013% into range31.8% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹121.48 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹10325% ₹10850% ₹11275% ₹117Target ₹121
Gap: 17.9% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: TV Today Network Ltd appears undervalued by 17.9% based on fundamentals. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (34.4% annualized).
TV Today Network Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
102.86
-0.1%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
102.97
Feb
102.72
Mar
103.26
Apr
103.31
May
103.70
Jun
103.52
Jul
103.82
Aug
102.51
Sep
103.26
Oct
104.12
Nov
102.98
Dec
102.86
2028
102.45
-0.5%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
102.50
Feb
101.92
Mar
101.66
Apr
101.76
May
101.46
Jun
100.66
Jul
100.30
Aug
100.43
Sep
100.39
Oct
100.71
Nov
101.35
Dec
102.45
2029
103.62
+0.6%
+0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
103.42
Feb
104.29
Mar
104.85
Apr
104.89
May
105.28
Jun
103.82
Jul
103.53
Aug
103.91
Sep
103.63
Oct
103.86
Nov
104.32
Dec
103.62
2030
110.29
+7.1%
+1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
104.35
Feb
105.93
Mar
106.81
Apr
108.65
May
109.27
Jun
108.89
Jul
110.62
Aug
111.01
Sep
111.17
Oct
110.21
Nov
110.96
Dec
110.29
2031
113.59
+10.3%
+2.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
110.52
Feb
111.33
Mar
111.51
Apr
111.16
May
111.80
Jun
112.63
Jul
112.88
Aug
112.47
Sep
113.38
Oct
113.59
Nov
113.52
Dec
113.59
2032
111.32
+8.1%
+1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
112.94
Feb
112.40
Mar
112.30
Apr
112.82
May
112.97
Jun
112.82
Jul
113.52
Aug
112.90
Sep
113.04
Oct
112.07
Nov
111.26
Dec
111.32
2033
111.53
+8.3%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
111.75
Feb
110.94
Mar
110.55
Apr
110.11
May
110.70
Jun
110.99
Jul
111.49
Aug
110.96
Sep
110.09
Oct
111.29
Nov
111.65
Dec
111.53
2034
111.66
+8.4%
+1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
111.28
Feb
111.76
Mar
112.51
Apr
112.66
May
112.45
Jun
110.86
Jul
111.11
Aug
110.68
Sep
111.07
Oct
110.48
Nov
110.93
Dec
111.66
2035
109.93
+6.7%
+0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
110.92
Feb
110.62
Mar
111.04
Apr
110.88
May
110.92
Jun
109.50
Jul
110.39
Aug
110.99
Sep
110.39
Oct
109.86
Nov
109.88
Dec
109.93
2036
108.14
+5.0%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
110.40
Feb
110.00
Mar
110.42
Apr
110.49
May
109.82
Jun
108.77
Jul
108.43
Aug
108.73
Sep
109.40
Oct
108.46
Nov
108.11
Dec
108.14
TV Today Network Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.37%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
72.2%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹3.81
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
313
TV Today Network Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Will TV Today Network Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
TV Today Network Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹99.73 on 2026-05-01, which is 3.17% lower than today's price of ₹103.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of TV Today Network Ltd?
TV Today Network Ltd intrinsic value is ₹121.48, which is 17.94% above the current price of ₹103.00. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of TV Today Network Ltd in 2027?
TV Today Network Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹102.86 by year-end (range: ₹102.51 to ₹104.12), representing a -0.14% decrease from the current price of ₹103.00.
What is the share price target of TV Today Network Ltd in 2028?
TV Today Network Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹102.45 by year-end (range: ₹100.30 to ₹102.50), representing a -0.53% decrease from the current price of ₹103.00.
What is the share price target of TV Today Network Ltd in 2029?
TV Today Network Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹103.62 by year-end (range: ₹103.42 to ₹105.28), representing a 0.60% increase from the current price of ₹103.00.
Should I buy TV Today Network Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, TV Today Network Ltd appears to be a consider buying candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹121.48 vs CMP ₹103.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for TV Today Network Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for TV Today Network Ltd is ₹9.62, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
TV Today Network Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for TV Today Network Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for TV Today Network Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for TV Today Network Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.
