The Grob Tea Co Ltd Share Price Target & Forecast 2027–2036
The Grob Tea Co Ltd share price today: ₹954.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹942.72 (2026-09-18) | 10–90% range: ₹901.78–₹982.14 | Forecast confidence: 82.4% | Chance of upside: 36.0% | Intrinsic value: ₹881.49 | 2027 target: ₹985.31 | 2036 target: ₹901.24
The next market-day median forecast for The Grob Tea Co Ltd (2026-09-18) is ₹942.72 which is 1.18% lower than today’s share price of ₹954.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹901.78–₹982.14. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
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Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
The Grob Tea Co Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹881.49 vs CMP ₹954.00 (-7.6%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 1.029 · EMA(252): ₹926.80
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
57.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.501
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
0%5Y-0.6%10Y
Historical drift: -1.3% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.08x
Upside -7.6% vs downside 92.2% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-8.2%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (82.4%)
Chance of upside: 36.0% · Avg forecast error: 5.5% · 536 data points
Fundamental FlooriA modelled fundamental reference level based on book value and financial-strength inputs (including ROE, ROCE and debt ratios). It is not a guaranteed price floor: market prices can trade below it when fundamentals change or during stressed conditions.
₹74.82
(92.2% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹806.00
₹1,204.00
CMP: ₹954.0037% into range20.8% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹881.49 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹95425% ₹93650% ₹91875% ₹900Target ₹881
Gap: 7.6% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: The Grob Tea Co Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is in a neutral regime. Volatility is high (57.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
The Grob Tea Co Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
985.31
+3.3%
+3.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
959.35
Feb
963.35
Mar
967.35
Apr
967.97
May
981.37
Jun
986.84
Jul
976.07
Aug
978.35
Sep
962.57
Oct
975.89
Nov
980.56
Dec
985.31
2028
949.90
-0.4%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
983.51
Feb
974.91
Mar
978.35
Apr
964.20
May
967.50
Jun
959.03
Jul
963.17
Aug
951.92
Sep
962.20
Oct
964.63
Nov
952.30
Dec
949.90
2029
933.76
-2.1%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
945.85
Feb
951.00
Mar
952.16
Apr
937.87
May
930.92
Jun
921.91
Jul
927.41
Aug
923.43
Sep
918.54
Oct
917.83
Nov
938.91
Dec
933.76
2030
934.43
-2.1%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
924.71
Feb
924.61
Mar
919.74
Apr
926.74
May
924.45
Jun
933.14
Jul
925.82
Aug
915.90
Sep
908.04
Oct
902.97
Nov
919.92
Dec
934.43
2031
956.13
+0.2%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
934.21
Feb
941.98
Mar
950.78
Apr
945.82
May
945.22
Jun
949.12
Jul
954.78
Aug
956.72
Sep
972.52
Oct
972.68
Nov
967.47
Dec
956.13
2032
878.12
-8.0%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
960.22
Feb
955.66
Mar
938.36
Apr
928.82
May
937.66
Jun
920.22
Jul
910.51
Aug
891.26
Sep
886.38
Oct
877.43
Nov
876.41
Dec
878.12
2033
915.00
-4.1%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
876.48
Feb
877.48
Mar
882.75
Apr
877.25
May
880.39
Jun
886.31
Jul
908.61
Aug
909.26
Sep
906.07
Oct
918.52
Nov
918.20
Dec
915.00
2034
983.79
+3.1%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
929.09
Feb
945.52
Mar
946.95
Apr
957.82
May
955.21
Jun
951.22
Jul
952.03
Aug
953.55
Sep
957.35
Oct
963.32
Nov
962.20
Dec
983.79
2035
947.40
-0.7%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
989.06
Feb
984.15
Mar
972.69
Apr
967.97
May
969.03
Jun
959.10
Jul
949.80
Aug
946.32
Sep
941.51
Oct
937.75
Nov
943.89
Dec
947.40
2036
901.24
-5.5%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
948.66
Feb
948.87
Mar
937.31
Apr
953.06
May
944.48
Jun
927.05
Jul
918.76
Aug
910.52
Sep
908.70
Oct
909.69
Nov
894.98
Dec
901.24
The Grob Tea Co Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.25%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
65.7%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹42.81
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
The Grob Tea Co Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
The Grob Tea Co Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹953.28|Range: ₹664.88 – ₹1,366.79|By: 13 Dec 2026
The Grob Tea Co Ltd Next Market-Day Share Price Probability Distribution
Median forecast: ₹942.72 · Expected range: ₹901.78 – ₹982.14 · Chance of upside: 36.0%
The Grob Tea Co Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will The Grob Tea Co Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
The Grob Tea Co Ltd median forecast is ₹942.72 on 2026-09-18, which is 1.18% lower than today’s price of ₹954.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹901.78 to ₹982.14. Forecast confidence is 82.4%, with probability-up estimate of 36.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of The Grob Tea Co Ltd?
The Grob Tea Co Ltd intrinsic value is ₹881.49, which is 7.60% below the current price of ₹954.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of The Grob Tea Co Ltd in 2027?
The Grob Tea Co Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹985.31 by year-end (range: ₹959.35 to ₹986.84), representing a 3.28% increase from the current price of ₹954.00.
What is the share price target of The Grob Tea Co Ltd in 2028?
The Grob Tea Co Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹949.90 by year-end (range: ₹949.90 to ₹983.51), representing a -0.43% decrease from the current price of ₹954.00.
What is the share price target of The Grob Tea Co Ltd in 2029?
The Grob Tea Co Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹933.76 by year-end (range: ₹917.83 to ₹952.16), representing a -2.12% decrease from the current price of ₹954.00.
Should I buy The Grob Tea Co Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, The Grob Tea Co Ltd currently receives a hold research stance from this valuation framework. Intrinsic value is ₹881.49 vs CMP ₹954.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for The Grob Tea Co Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for The Grob Tea Co Ltd is ₹74.82, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is a modelled reference level rather than a guaranteed minimum, and the market price can trade below it.
The Grob Tea Co Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for The Grob Tea Co Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (August 21, 2024) and the end date (September 17, 2026).
536 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from August 21, 2024 to September 17, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for The Grob Tea Co Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for The Grob Tea Co Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
Targets are model outputs, not promises. The page should be read together with valuation, profitability, balance-sheet risk, volatility and forecast-error information. Read the forecasting methodology.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
