The predicted share price (Closing Price) for The India Cements Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-25) is ₹327.92 which is 8.15% lower than today’s share price of ₹357.00
The India Cements Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹235.04 vs CMP ₹357.00 (-34.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.893 · EMA(252): ₹399.97
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.534
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.9%5Y-0.9%10Y
Historical drift: -0.9% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.35x
Upside -34.2% vs downside 97.7% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-51.9%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 8.03% · 556 data points over 611 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹8.04
(97.7% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹344.00
₹479.00
CMP: ₹357.0010% into range25.5% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹235.04 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹35725% ₹32750% ₹29675% ₹266Target ₹235
Gap: 34.2% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: The India Cements Ltd appears overvalued by 34.2% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (37% annualized).
The India Cements Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
353.17
-1.1%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
352.32
Feb
353.72
Mar
352.31
Apr
351.80
May
348.32
Jun
345.63
Jul
346.82
Aug
350.85
Sep
353.47
Oct
355.55
Nov
355.93
Dec
353.17
2028
354.55
-0.7%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
353.55
Feb
352.25
Mar
352.60
Apr
351.48
May
349.10
Jun
350.49
Jul
351.54
Aug
351.05
Sep
347.81
Oct
350.48
Nov
350.41
Dec
354.55
2029
352.42
-1.3%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
359.91
Feb
360.24
Mar
363.56
Apr
361.80
May
362.90
Jun
364.19
Jul
365.63
Aug
361.92
Sep
359.52
Oct
359.15
Nov
355.33
Dec
352.42
2030
345.55
-3.2%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
355.43
Feb
355.00
Mar
353.07
Apr
351.73
May
352.63
Jun
350.87
Jul
351.04
Aug
348.25
Sep
349.43
Oct
347.57
Nov
346.68
Dec
345.55
2031
341.32
-4.4%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
345.48
Feb
342.94
Mar
339.03
Apr
340.22
May
340.54
Jun
339.81
Jul
339.26
Aug
337.20
Sep
336.38
Oct
335.66
Nov
340.02
Dec
341.32
2032
345.83
-3.1%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
341.29
Feb
340.87
Mar
344.19
Apr
343.92
May
340.85
Jun
341.08
Jul
343.47
Aug
341.76
Sep
345.06
Oct
345.02
Nov
344.88
Dec
345.83
2033
342.38
-4.1%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
350.19
Feb
348.27
Mar
349.63
Apr
350.40
May
351.75
Jun
351.85
Jul
349.99
Aug
347.56
Sep
346.60
Oct
344.67
Nov
342.62
Dec
342.38
2034
349.16
-2.2%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
344.43
Feb
344.92
Mar
347.29
Apr
348.88
May
348.99
Jun
347.36
Jul
347.20
Aug
348.04
Sep
346.46
Oct
345.41
Nov
346.27
Dec
349.16
2035
336.67
-5.7%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
349.05
Feb
347.04
Mar
346.87
Apr
344.04
May
344.08
Jun
342.96
Jul
341.87
Aug
340.80
Sep
340.60
Oct
338.16
Nov
336.52
Dec
336.67
2036
325.19
-8.9%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
334.67
Feb
331.87
Mar
329.06
Apr
330.13
May
331.87
Jun
328.53
Jul
326.63
Aug
326.29
Sep
328.66
Oct
328.57
Nov
324.67
Dec
325.19
The India Cements Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.48%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
56.7%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹13.22
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
337
The India Cements Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
The India Cements Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
The India Cements Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will The India Cements Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
The India Cements Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹327.92 on 2026-04-25, which is 8.15% lower than today's price of ₹357.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of The India Cements Ltd?
The India Cements Ltd intrinsic value is ₹235.04, which is 34.16% below the current price of ₹357.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of The India Cements Ltd in 2027?
The India Cements Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹353.17 by year-end (range: ₹345.63 to ₹355.93), representing a -1.07% decrease from the current price of ₹357.00.
What is the share price target of The India Cements Ltd in 2028?
The India Cements Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹354.55 by year-end (range: ₹347.81 to ₹354.55), representing a -0.69% decrease from the current price of ₹357.00.
What is the share price target of The India Cements Ltd in 2029?
The India Cements Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹352.42 by year-end (range: ₹352.42 to ₹365.63), representing a -1.28% decrease from the current price of ₹357.00.
Should I buy The India Cements Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, The India Cements Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹235.04 vs CMP ₹357.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for The India Cements Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for The India Cements Ltd is ₹8.04, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
The India Cements Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for The India Cements Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for The India Cements Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for The India Cements Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.