The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Tokyo Plast International Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-20) is ₹64.63 which is 0.87% lower than today’s share price of ₹65.20
Tokyo Plast International Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹52.35 vs CMP ₹65.20 (-19.7%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.651 · EMA(252): ₹100.18
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
45.6% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.519
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+0.6%5Y-0.8%10Y
Historical drift: -29.9% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.21x
Upside -19.7% vs downside 94.4% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-24.5%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.48% · 522 data points over 605 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹3.65
(94.4% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹58.60
₹132.00
CMP: ₹65.209% into range50.6% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹52.35 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹6525% ₹6250% ₹5975% ₹56Target ₹52
Gap: 19.7% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Tokyo Plast International Ltd appears overvalued by 19.7% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is high (45.6% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Tokyo Plast International Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
65.52
+0.5%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
64.64
Feb
63.41
Mar
62.93
Apr
62.78
May
62.10
Jun
61.72
Jul
62.43
Aug
62.37
Sep
62.01
Oct
62.62
Nov
64.17
Dec
65.52
2028
63.91
-2.0%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
64.94
Feb
64.45
Mar
64.41
Apr
64.75
May
64.84
Jun
64.40
Jul
65.07
Aug
64.30
Sep
64.31
Oct
63.70
Nov
63.87
Dec
63.91
2029
62.15
-4.7%
-1.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
63.45
Feb
63.76
Mar
63.31
Apr
62.64
May
63.39
Jun
62.80
Jul
62.87
Aug
62.50
Sep
62.25
Oct
61.49
Nov
61.58
Dec
62.15
2030
66.20
+1.5%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
62.95
Feb
63.77
Mar
63.64
Apr
64.11
May
64.81
Jun
65.53
Jul
65.93
Aug
66.23
Sep
66.40
Oct
66.39
Nov
66.87
Dec
66.20
2031
67.34
+3.3%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
65.73
Feb
66.08
Mar
66.65
Apr
67.39
May
67.03
Jun
67.77
Jul
67.84
Aug
66.79
Sep
66.80
Oct
66.66
Nov
66.64
Dec
67.34
2032
67.22
+3.1%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
67.70
Feb
67.49
Mar
66.88
Apr
65.95
May
66.33
Jun
66.79
Jul
66.78
Aug
67.39
Sep
67.48
Oct
67.43
Nov
67.55
Dec
67.22
2033
63.73
-2.3%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
66.82
Feb
66.91
Mar
66.96
Apr
65.54
May
65.14
Jun
65.24
Jul
64.56
Aug
63.57
Sep
63.96
Oct
62.90
Nov
63.20
Dec
63.73
2034
60.88
-6.6%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
62.77
Feb
62.47
Mar
61.41
Apr
61.51
May
61.55
Jun
60.91
Jul
60.67
Aug
60.63
Sep
60.51
Oct
60.88
Nov
60.84
Dec
60.88
2035
60.17
-7.7%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
60.92
Feb
60.48
Mar
60.72
Apr
60.59
May
61.22
Jun
62.18
Jul
61.69
Aug
61.17
Sep
60.44
Oct
60.78
Nov
59.95
Dec
60.17
2036
60.36
-7.4%
-0.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
59.85
Feb
60.12
Mar
60.39
Apr
59.85
May
59.76
Jun
59.89
Jul
59.76
Aug
59.80
Sep
59.63
Oct
59.61
Nov
59.98
Dec
60.36
Tokyo Plast International Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.54%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
66.2%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹2.95
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
290
Tokyo Plast International Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Tokyo Plast International Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Tokyo Plast International Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Tokyo Plast International Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Tokyo Plast International Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Tokyo Plast International Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹64.63 on 2026-04-20, which is 0.87% lower than today's price of ₹65.20. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Tokyo Plast International Ltd?
Tokyo Plast International Ltd intrinsic value is ₹52.35, which is 19.71% below the current price of ₹65.20. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Tokyo Plast International Ltd in 2027?
Tokyo Plast International Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹65.52 by year-end (range: ₹61.72 to ₹65.52), representing a 0.49% increase from the current price of ₹65.20.
What is the share price target of Tokyo Plast International Ltd in 2028?
Tokyo Plast International Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹63.91 by year-end (range: ₹63.70 to ₹65.07), representing a -1.98% decrease from the current price of ₹65.20.
What is the share price target of Tokyo Plast International Ltd in 2029?
Tokyo Plast International Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹62.15 by year-end (range: ₹61.49 to ₹63.76), representing a -4.68% decrease from the current price of ₹65.20.
Should I buy Tokyo Plast International Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Tokyo Plast International Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹52.35 vs CMP ₹65.20. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Tokyo Plast International Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Tokyo Plast International Ltd is ₹3.65, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Tokyo Plast International Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Tokyo Plast International Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Tokyo Plast International Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Tokyo Plast International Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.
