AIA Engineering Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹3,534.23Overvalued by 13.74%vs CMP ₹4,097.00

P/E (30.1) × ROE (17.0%) × BV (₹860.00) × DY (0.39%)

₹1,981.45Overvalued by 51.64%vs CMP ₹4,097.00
MoS: -106.8% (Negative)Confidence: 63/100 (Moderate)Models: 1 Fair, 8 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹4,016.3922%Fair (-2%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹1,552.3116%Over (-62.1%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹956.4413%Over (-76.7%)
DCFCash Flow₹2,388.5713%Over (-41.7%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹860.127%Over (-79%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹1,615.449%Over (-60.6%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹1,245.307%Over (-69.6%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹1,220.749%Over (-70.2%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹689.145%Over (-83.2%)
Consensus (9 models)₹1,981.45100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹689–₹4,016) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 13.6%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 14 September 2026, 12:24 pm +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

AIA Engineering Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹1,981.45, compared with a stored share price of ₹4,097.00. The model value is 51.6% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹4,287.00 Cr, versus ₹4,854.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-11.7% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹1,060.00 Cr, versus ₹1,137.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-6.8% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹1,162.00 Cr against net profit of ₹1,060.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 1.10 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹10.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

76
AIA Engineering Ltd scores 76/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health91/100 · Strong
ROCE 21.1% ExcellentROE 17.0% GoodD/E 0.07 Low debtInterest Coverage 70.2x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money60/100 · Moderate
FII holding up 0.21% (6mo) Slight increasePromoter holding at 58.5% Stable
Earnings Quality90/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 0.90x Cash-backed earningsOPM expanding (23% → 28%) Improving
Quarterly Momentum58/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): 1% YoY FlatProfit (4Q): +12% YoY Positive
Industry Rank60/100 · Moderate
P/E 30.1 vs industry 36.9 In-lineROCE 21.1% vs industry 14.9% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: 6% Slow

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 14, 2026, 12:24 pm

Market Cap 38,230 Cr.
Current Price 4,097
Intrinsic Value₹1,981.45
High / Low 5,180/3,030
Stock P/E30.1
Book Value 860
Dividend Yield0.39 %
ROCE21.1 %
ROE17.0 %
Face Value 2.00
PEG Ratio2.21

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for AIA Engineering Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
AIA Engineering Ltd 38,230 Cr. 4,097 5,180/3,03030.1 8600.39 %21.1 %17.0 % 2.00
Jayaswal Neco Industries Ltd 10,120 Cr. 104 117/57.117.7 29.30.00 %20.7 %18.0 % 10.0
Electrosteel Castings Ltd 4,798 Cr. 77.6 104/60.130.2 95.81.16 %5.00 %3.04 % 1.00
Kirloskar Industries Ltd 3,850 Cr. 3,664 4,575/2,45612.6 5,9470.35 %7.01 %3.77 % 10.0
Alicon Castalloy Ltd 1,204 Cr. 733 1,025/58032.4 3850.68 %10.6 %7.03 % 5.00
Industry Average6,673.67 Cr963.2936.88762.850.49%14.91%16.06%7.00

All Competitor Stocks of AIA Engineering Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 1,2271,2741,2401,2951,1691,1501,0201,0441,0661,1571,0391,0481,067
Expenses 861958897913858853731769783855733751777
Operating Profit 366316343382311297289276283302306297290
OPM % 30%25%28%30%27%26%28%26%27%26%29%28%27%
Other Income 11864606284778391729811499132
Interest 510877665187816
Depreciation 24232425272525242628282828
Profit before tax 454346371412361344341337327363386360378
Tax % 22%23%26%21%22%24%24%24%21%21%21%23%22%
Net Profit 352268273324280260259256259285305277293
EPS in Rs 37.3728.4328.8734.2529.6427.6227.5227.5127.7830.5632.6929.7331.55

Last Updated: February 6, 2026, 8:17 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 18, 2026, 2:17 pm

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 2,0792,1822,0972,2462,4453,0702,9702,8813,5674,9094,8544,2874,311
Expenses 1,5731,5931,4841,6071,9062,4062,2852,2202,8413,6633,5133,1343,116
Operating Profit 5065896136395406646856617261,2451,3401,1541,195
OPM % 24%27%29%28%22%22%23%23%20%25%28%27%28%
Other Income 283101104122121142170156235281343443
Interest 108881111108825332640
Depreciation 38706672667998949293100103112
Profit before tax 4605946416625856947197307811,3621,4881,3681,486
Tax % 29%27%29%31%24%26%18%22%21%22%24%23%
Net Profit 3264314574574445115905666201,0561,1371,0601,161
EPS in Rs 34.4545.6948.4448.4347.0054.1662.5960.0265.70111.95120.39113.67124.53
Dividend Payout % 17%18%37%17%17%17%43%15%14%14%13%14%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)32.21%6.03%0.00%-2.84%15.09%15.46%-4.07%9.54%70.32%7.67%-6.77%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-26.18%-6.03%-2.84%17.93%0.37%-19.53%13.61%60.78%-62.65%-14.44%

AIA Engineering Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:7%
5 Years:8%
3 Years:6%
TTM:-7%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:9%
5 Years:13%
3 Years:19%
TTM:-1%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:13%
5 Years:11%
3 Years:6%
1 Year:-30%
Return on Equity
10 Years:16%
5 Years:16%
3 Years:18%
Last Year:15%

Last Updated: September 4, 2025, 10:25 pm

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: August 27, 2026, 2:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 191919191919191919191919
Reserves 2,0652,3042,6982,9903,4953,6824,2254,7365,6726,6396,9088,007
Borrowings 991841401231281271931050346149110
Other Liabilities 367278333426391334321361437375416497
Total Liabilities 2,5492,7853,1903,5594,0334,1624,7585,1256,6307,4947,8338,532
Fixed Assets 5516726706718458908117901,0031,1101,1751,233
CWIP 463843976032161210107927716
Investments 6379469601,0921,1451,4188091,0552,2543,0433,9194,302
Other Assets 1,3141,1281,5181,6991,9841,8212,9773,0703,2663,2492,6632,981
Total Assets 2,5492,7853,1903,5594,0334,1624,7585,1256,6307,4947,8338,532

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 307595231294190679598-408689031,162592
Cash from Investing Activity + -257-449-16-196-162-310-351101-1,212-819-203-114
Cash from Financing Activity + -83-208-91-158-0-42967-267395-211-743-660
Net Cash Flow -33-63124-6027-60314-20551-127217-182
Free Cash Flow 125418151157-9548475-1656756931,027491
CFO/OP 85%125%61%84%56%121%118%17%94%92%123%69%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow125.00418.00151.00157.00-9.00548.00475.00-165.00675.00693.001,027.00491.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 766675809084808182646670
Inventory Days 161220199263209234242241304215212214
Days Payable 615750686052425349463141
Cash Conversion Cycle 176229223275239266279269337233247243
Working Capital Days 105119107133132154149136191102129118
ROCE %28%29%25%25%20%20%19%17%17%25%23%19%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 58.47%58.47%58.47%58.47%58.50%58.50%58.50%58.50%58.50%58.50%58.50%58.50%
FIIs 18.50%18.29%18.16%17.68%17.93%17.21%17.06%17.00%16.66%16.57%16.79%16.87%
DIIs 20.29%20.46%20.53%20.94%20.83%21.84%22.03%22.02%22.18%22.26%22.03%22.10%
Government 0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Public 2.74%2.78%2.82%2.91%2.73%2.43%2.40%2.48%2.64%2.66%2.69%2.54%
No. of Shareholders 40,32643,42744,94345,92850,46153,26354,16655,45659,29755,40659,50058,979

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

AIA Engineering Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
HDFC Mid Cap Fund 3,328,247 1.44 1327.64N/AN/AN/A
SBI Equity Hybrid Fund 2,900,000 1.42 1156.812,926,6462025-12-08 00:51:45-0.91%
SBI Midcap Fund 1,800,000 3.2 718.021,654,1652025-12-15 00:51:598.82%
SBI ELSS Tax Saver Fund 1,484,340 1.86 592.1N/AN/AN/A
ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund 1,150,277 1.67 458.851,162,5462026-02-23 07:05:51-1.06%
Kotak Flexicap Fund 1,072,487 0.76 427.82N/AN/AN/A
SBI Large & Midcap Fund 1,054,511 1.12 420.64740,0002025-12-08 02:38:4342.5%
ICICI Prudential Multi Asset Fund 1,014,887 0.5 404.841,021,8882026-02-23 07:05:51-0.69%
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund 574,561 2.84 229.19612,1202026-02-23 06:04:39-6.14%
SBI Flexicap Fund 544,951 0.94 217.38N/AN/AN/A

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 2.002.002.002.002.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 113.14120.40111.9565.7060.02
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 113.14120.40111.9565.7060.02
Cash EPS (Rs.) 123.38131.02121.8875.1469.89
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 742.28706.95604.35505.03450.92
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 742.28706.95604.35505.03450.92
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 459.43514.60520.43378.13305.50
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 158.68171.24156.4093.0187.73
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 147.64160.61146.5483.2477.81
PBT / Share (Rs.) 145.38157.60144.4182.8377.36
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 112.34120.39112.0165.3759.98
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 113.67120.40111.9565.3860.02
PBDIT Margin (%) 34.5333.2730.0524.5928.71
PBIT Margin (%) 32.1331.2128.1522.0125.47
PBT Margin (%) 31.6430.6227.7421.9025.32
Net Profit Margin (%) 24.4523.3921.5217.2819.63
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 24.7423.3921.5117.2919.64
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 15.3117.0518.5512.9613.33
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 19.5522.4524.0116.2817.01
Return On Assets (%) 13.5415.1515.9212.0311.89
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.070.060.080.000.04
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.550.680.700.640.56
Current Ratio (X) 8.178.016.0712.267.78
Quick Ratio (X) 6.886.404.688.236.08
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 3.861.622.172.501.80
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 14.2213.288.0313.760.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 12.9612.217.3811.970.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 85.7886.7291.9786.240.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 87.0487.7992.6288.030.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 70.2156.9173.38227.83192.74
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 50.7041.0153.55161.14132.77
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 31295.1836842.9527074.0614856.8218114.21
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 7.307.595.524.176.29
EV / EBITDA (X) 21.1322.8118.3516.9421.89
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 7.297.615.584.306.70
Retention Ratios (%) 85.7786.7191.9686.230.00
Price / BV (X) 4.515.554.813.234.55
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 7.297.615.584.306.70
EarningsYield 0.030.030.030.040.02

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of AIA Engineering Ltd and is it undervalued?

AIA Engineering Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹1,981.45, compared with a stored share price of ₹4,097.00. The model value is 51.6% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for AIA Engineering Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹4,097.00. Price-data record updated: 14 September 2026, 12:24 pm +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 5,180/3,030; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have AIA Engineering Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹4,287.00 Cr, versus ₹4,854.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-11.7% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹1,060.00 Cr, versus ₹1,137.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-6.8% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does AIA Engineering Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹1,162.00 Cr against net profit of ₹1,060.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 1.10 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in AIA Engineering Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹10.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare AIA Engineering Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 30.10. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change AIA Engineering Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in AIA Engineering Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE