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Last Updated on: 17 November, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo

Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: November 15, 2024, 3:51 pm

Market Cap 75.1 Cr.
Current Price 23.3
High / Low39.1/19.6
Stock P/E
Book Value 54.0
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE29.2 %
ROE%
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.00

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd

Competitors of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Gratex Industries Ltd 6.98 Cr. 23.026.0/13.0116 11.60.00 %4.54 %3.18 % 10.0
Ganga Papers India Ltd 119 Cr. 110191/74.776.6 27.60.00 %6.93 %5.22 % 10.0
Encode Packaging India Ltd 4.35 Cr. 13.818.7/6.6562.1 10.40.00 %3.24 %3.65 % 10.0
Cella Space Ltd 32.2 Cr. 16.016.7/7.9034.6 10.30.00 %10.7 %% 10.0
Bandaram Pharma Packtech Ltd 51.9 Cr. 43.263.1/28.331.6 11.00.23 %9.10 %6.77 % 10.0
Industry Average2,972.35 Cr226.1947.96139.520.83%26.26%12.72%6.60

All Competitor Stocks of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthDec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023
Sales32.6254.1254.3659.8578.2649.9071.2711.4621.485.091.300.941.76
Expenses33.9253.3254.5662.4378.6052.4375.1231.3030.967.874.463.212.53
Operating Profit-1.300.80-0.20-2.58-0.34-2.53-3.85-19.84-9.48-2.78-3.16-2.27-0.77
OPM %-3.99%1.48%-0.37%-4.31%-0.43%-5.07%-5.40%-173.12%-44.13%-54.62%-243.08%-241.49%-43.75%
Other Income0.540.470.3614.030.880.500.160.110.070.000.24-45.820.02
Interest2.983.782.342.092.051.982.182.722.762.652.883.132.69
Depreciation1.591.551.571.571.541.501.521.541.541.531.450.700.67
Profit before tax-5.33-4.06-3.757.79-3.05-5.51-7.39-23.99-13.71-6.96-7.25-51.92-4.11
Tax %-4.13%-4.93%-0.80%-1.93%-6.89%-1.45%3.25%0.75%-0.15%-3.59%-3.72%41.04%0.00%
Net Profit-5.55-4.26-3.787.93-3.25-5.59-7.14-23.80-13.73-7.21-7.52-30.61-4.11
EPS in Rs-1.72-1.32-1.172.46-1.01-1.74-2.22-7.39-4.26-2.24-2.34-9.51-1.28

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales0191561802082141961262421099
Expenses02116519123123720913624814418
Operating Profit0-2-8-12-23-23-13-9-6-35-9
OPM %-10%-5%-7%-11%-11%-7%-7%-2%-32%-99%
Other Income004452003160-46
Interest01571114131381111
Depreciation01467776664
Profit before tax0-327-20-38-44-33-26-4-52-70
Tax %-2%39%-19%-6%3%-6%-1%-4%0%
Net Profit0-316-23-40-42-35-26-5-52-49
EPS in Rs0.00-0.965.12-7.29-12.48-13.12-10.73-8.03-1.46-16.11-15.37
Dividend Payout %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)633.33%-243.75%-73.91%-5.00%16.67%25.71%80.77%-940.00%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-877.08%169.84%68.91%21.67%9.05%55.05%-1020.77%

Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 8 years from 2015-2016 to 2022-2023.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:-52%
3 Years:-65%
TTM:-88%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:15%
3 Years:26%
TTM:62%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:15%
3 Years:8%
1 Year:13%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:%
3 Years:%
Last Year:%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 15, 2024, 1:38 am

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2024
Equity Capital0.051111111111111111111132
Reserves0486438-2-44-79-105-109-161-233-206
Borrowings0898281129145177192205224215160
Other Liabilities039507572968711681625244
Total Liabilities01872072052102081962151871354530
Fixed Assets07977156155149146139128121270
CWIP06580413110000
Investments0112000000000
Other Assets04137455455507459141929
Total Assets01872072052102081962151871354530

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +03-24-36-3-1424-55-20-8
Cash from Investing Activity +0-2183-2-2-0-019212
Cash from Financing Activity +0-0-13-10396148518-4
Net Cash Flow003-3-00-031-310-0

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow0.00-91.00-90.00-93.00-152.00-168.00-190.00-201.00-211.00-259.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days27724282927213293116
Inventory Days46348516873811049438481
Days Payable6691041571161651642239679560
Cash Conversion Cycle71-32-78-20-65-62-877-3738
Working Capital Days-146-48-54-7-50-49-12615-28-431
ROCE %-3%-8%-9%-20%-23%-18%-12%-9%-46%-29%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024
Promoters58.70%58.70%58.70%58.71%58.71%58.71%58.71%58.71%58.71%58.71%59.95%59.95%
FIIs0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%
Public41.30%41.30%41.30%41.29%41.28%41.29%41.30%41.29%41.29%41.30%40.04%40.04%
No. of Shareholders10,44910,63810,58110,88411,66711,58511,90512,29612,81013,46314,76715,323

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 16Mar 15
FaceValue10.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)15.66-2.00
Diluted EPS (Rs.)15.66-2.00
Cash EPS (Rs.)22.11-0.98
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)69.9363.10
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)69.9363.10
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)186.1126.35
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)-2.62-0.47
PBIT / Share (Rs.)-9.07-1.49
PBT / Share (Rs.)25.77-2.25
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)15.66-2.00
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)15.66-2.00
PBDIT Margin (%)-1.40-1.81
PBIT Margin (%)-4.87-5.65
PBT Margin (%)13.84-8.54
Net Profit Margin (%)8.41-7.57
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)8.41-7.57
Return on Networth / Equity (%)22.39-3.16
Return on Capital Employeed (%)-7.14-1.24
Return On Assets (%)8.13-0.94
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.620.70
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.871.27
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)0.730.00
Current Ratio (X)0.660.44
Quick Ratio (X)0.470.24
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)5.980.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)-0.44-0.62
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)-3.28-1.63
Enterprise Value (Cr.)102.920.00
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.510.00
EV / EBITDA (X)-36.550.00
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.200.00
Price / BV (X)0.540.00
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.200.00
EarningsYield0.400.00

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd as of November 17, 2024 is: 123.93

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of November 17, 2024, Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is Undervalued by 431.89% compared to the current share price 23.30

Default values used*: Default value of 15 for Stock P/E is used, Default value of 15% for ROE is used

Intrinsic Value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd as of November 17, 2024 is: 87.68

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of November 17, 2024, Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is Undervalued by 276.31% compared to the current share price 23.30

Default values used*: Default value of 15 for Stock P/E is used, Default value of 15% for ROE is used

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -29.25%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The stock has a low average Working Capital Days of -84.00, which is a positive sign.
  2. The stock has a low average Cash Conversion Cycle of -24.09, which is a positive sign.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of -16.09%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The company has higher borrowings (141.58) compared to reserves (-65.75), which may suggest financial risk.
  3. The company has not shown consistent growth in sales (132.64) and profit (-23.91).

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 8.41%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: -7.14% (Industry Average ROCE: 26.26%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 22.39% (Industry Average ROE: 12.72%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): -3.28
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 0.47
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 0 (Industry average Stock P/E: 47.96)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.87
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 29/06/2013 and has its registered office in the State of Maharashtra, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L21098MH2013PLC244963 and registration number is 244963. Currently company belongs to the Industry of Paper & Paper Products. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 242.38 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 10.74 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Paper & Paper ProductsA/7, Trade World, Kamala City, Mumbai Maharashtra 400013opsingh@bpml.in
http://www.bpml.in
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Anurag P PoddarChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Shrutisheel JhanwarWholeTime Director & CFO
Mr. Ankit P PoddarNon Exe.Non Ind.Director
Mr. Rakesh N GarodiaIndependent Director
Mrs. Meghna ShahIndependent Director
Mr. Dileep H ShindeIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd as on 17 November 2024 is ₹123.93, which is 431.89% higher than the current market price of ₹23.30.

What is the Market Cap of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The Market Cap of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is 75.1 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd as on 17 November 2024?

The current stock price of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd as on 17 November 2024 is ₹23.3.

What is the High / Low of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd stocks is 39.1/19.6.

What is the Stock P/E of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is .

What is the Book Value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The Book Value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is 54.0.

What is the Dividend Yield of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is 0.00 %.

What is the ROCE of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The ROCE of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is 29.2 %.

What is the ROE of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The ROE of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is %.

What is the Face Value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd?

The Face Value of Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd is 10.0.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Balkrishna Paper Mills Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE