TCPL Packaging Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹3,019.98Overvalued by 25.60%vs CMP ₹4,059.00

P/E (30.6) × ROE (15.5%) × BV (₹791.00) × DY (0.62%)

₹1,955.27Overvalued by 51.83%vs CMP ₹4,059.00
MoS: -107.6% (Negative)Confidence: 68/100 (Moderate)Models: All 9: Overvalued
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹3,554.8123%Over (-12.4%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹1,475.4617%Over (-63.6%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹432.4111%Over (-89.3%)
DCFCash Flow₹2,081.7811%Over (-48.7%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹790.077%Over (-80.5%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹2,503.009%Over (-38.3%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹1,223.207%Over (-69.9%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹2,080.599%Over (-48.7%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹930.536%Over (-77.1%)
Consensus (9 models)₹1,955.27100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹432–₹3,555) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 17.7%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 10:17 pm +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

TCPL Packaging Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹1,955.27, compared with a stored share price of ₹4,059.00. The model value is 51.8% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹1,696.00 Cr, versus ₹1,491.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (13.7% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹141.00 Cr, versus ₹102.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (38.2% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹140.00 Cr against net profit of ₹141.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.99 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹599.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

69
TCPL Packaging Ltd scores 69/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health77/100 · Strong
ROCE 17.9% GoodROE 15.5% GoodD/E 0.91 ModerateInterest Coverage 5.3x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money75/100 · Strong
FII holding up 0.09% (6mo) Slight increaseDII holding up 1.54% MF buyingPromoter holding at 55.7% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 1.37x Cash-backed earningsOPM stable around 17% Steady
Quarterly Momentum40/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): 2% YoY FlatProfit (4Q): -18% YoY Declining
Industry Rank75/100 · Strong
P/E 30.6 vs industry 20.4 In-lineROCE 17.9% vs industry 10.3% Above peersROE 15.5% vs industry 8.2% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: 16% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 10:17 pm

Market Cap 3,699 Cr.
Current Price 4,059
Intrinsic Value₹1,943.04
High / Low 4,430/2,200
Stock P/E30.6
Book Value 791
Dividend Yield0.62 %
ROCE17.9 %
ROE15.5 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio1.73

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for TCPL Packaging Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
TCPL Packaging Ltd 3,699 Cr. 4,059 4,430/2,20030.6 7910.62 %17.9 %15.5 % 10.0
DB Corp Ltd 3,213 Cr. 180 281/1799.13 1363.88 %18.3 %14.3 % 10.0
D B Corp Ltd 3,213 Cr. 180 281/1799.13 1363.88 %18.3 %14.3 % 10.0
Navneet Education Ltd 2,723 Cr. 123 166/12121.8 92.32.43 %10.2 %8.03 % 2.00
Flair Writing Industries Ltd 2,560 Cr. 243 345/22822.2 1050.41 %14.8 %11.2 % 5.00
Industry Average2,037.00 Cr407.5320.43206.211.11%10.27%8.22%6.43

All Competitor Stocks of TCPL Packaging Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 366381361391354384391439458410409438453
Expenses 306315300327296318321362387339338371374
Operating Profit 60666064596669767070716779
OPM % 16%17%17%16%17%17%18%17%15%17%17%15%17%
Other Income 31142531122310-8
Interest 11121313141413131517261915
Depreciation 15161618171818181918192120
Profit before tax 37393337303942454937293735
Tax % 28%29%27%22%30%25%23%20%22%6%22%23%29%
Net Profit 27282429212932363835232825
EPS in Rs 29.5130.2926.4431.6222.8531.9835.1139.3541.9938.7924.9831.1327.42

Last Updated: March 3, 2026, 2:20 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 26, 2026, 2:46 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 3954985936136988168909041,0761,4321,4911,6961,710
Expenses 3334164925166137117647709201,1961,2421,4091,422
Operating Profit 61821019785105126134156236249287287
OPM % 16%17%17%16%12%13%14%15%15%16%17%17%17%
Other Income -0-0-01212322711156
Interest 18172022252837373344545677
Depreciation 24222529353648525561697378
Profit before tax 204355462742424870158137173139
Tax % 37%25%31%30%25%31%14%29%30%26%26%18%
Net Profit 123238322029373449118102141111
EPS in Rs 14.3737.0044.0037.3222.2231.8140.1337.0854.13129.16111.58155.24122.32
Dividend Payout % 17%16%17%17%17%16%10%20%18%15%20%19%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)166.67%18.75%-15.79%-37.50%45.00%27.59%-8.11%44.12%140.82%-13.56%38.24%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-147.92%-34.54%-21.71%82.50%-17.41%-35.69%52.23%96.70%-154.38%51.79%

TCPL Packaging Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:13%
5 Years:14%
3 Years:16%
TTM:13%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:16%
5 Years:31%
3 Years:43%
TTM:19%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:22%
5 Years:53%
3 Years:33%
1 Year:-3%
Return on Equity
10 Years:19%
5 Years:20%
3 Years:23%
Last Year:24%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 1:41 pm

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: July 23, 2026, 4:30 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 999999999999
Reserves 105136170207232260292335443521640711
Borrowings 180235303298320356321421459484614599
Other Liabilities 103105119123155174218240250288305338
Total Liabilities 3974856016377167998391,0061,1611,3031,5681,657
Fixed Assets 228282365358418452448504496644703827
CWIP 2946011154476410
Investments 00000042847455360
Other Assets 168194231273298346375468574607747760
Total Assets 3974856016377167998391,0061,1611,3031,5681,657

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 69728048818611577119236140267
Cash from Investing Activity + -61-86-112-33-69-72-46-138-101-182-157-142
Cash from Financing Activity + -61332-15-11-16-6760-18-5119-122
Net Cash Flow 2-10-02-23-1-1323
Free Cash Flow 9-13-2918-92561-273064-15121
CFO/OP 95%81%93%63%87%75%96%60%66%110%64%107%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow9.00-13.00-29.0018.00-9.0025.0061.00-27.0030.0064.00-15.00121.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 686060616966667278748496
Inventory Days 76767610998929410198968477
Days Payable 707961846765629888667578
Cash Conversion Cycle 75587486100939874871059394
Working Capital Days -12-15-13-14-3-8-224162024
ROCE %16%22%22%16%11%13%13%14%15%22%20%20%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.74%55.73%
FIIs 0.71%0.74%0.80%0.78%0.93%0.91%1.18%0.94%0.92%0.96%1.04%1.01%
DIIs 5.94%6.49%8.01%9.20%11.35%11.68%11.55%11.63%12.15%12.66%13.56%13.69%
Public 37.37%36.80%35.22%34.05%31.75%31.45%31.32%31.48%30.96%30.42%29.45%29.34%
Others 0.25%0.25%0.24%0.23%0.23%0.23%0.22%0.22%0.22%0.21%0.21%0.20%
No. of Shareholders 15,67415,68614,54514,08213,77414,27716,18516,83516,48615,98815,71715,413

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

TCPL Packaging Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
DSP Small Cap Fund 642,415 0.95 170.62639,2822025-12-15 01:00:080.49%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 157.16111.39121.3651.5136.78
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 157.16111.39121.3651.5136.78
Cash EPS (Rs.) 240.12190.04191.62112.9793.38
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 707.43577.72487.41376.20330.17
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 707.43577.72487.41376.20330.17
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 1945.341693.831620.751193.12993.21
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 337.84287.91269.90173.48149.46
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 254.88209.27199.64112.0292.86
PBT / Share (Rs.) 190.85147.89166.5874.4652.03
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 157.16111.39121.3651.5136.78
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 157.16111.39122.0552.0336.78
PBDIT Margin (%) 17.3616.9916.6514.5415.04
PBIT Margin (%) 13.1012.3512.319.389.35
PBT Margin (%) 9.818.7310.276.245.23
Net Profit Margin (%) 8.076.577.484.313.70
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 8.076.577.534.363.70
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 22.2119.2825.1413.9211.14
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 23.0123.2025.7316.7217.25
Return On Assets (%) 8.877.639.114.413.99
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.400.420.430.610.43
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.910.931.111.320.93
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.201.211.281.170.00
Current Ratio (X) 1.231.201.120.991.04
Quick Ratio (X) 0.870.790.640.590.62
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 8.433.934.224.120.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 13.9917.958.1914.1110.87
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 9.1610.525.196.474.28
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 86.0182.0591.8185.8989.13
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 90.8489.4894.8193.5395.72
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 5.284.695.194.623.66
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 3.452.812.972.371.90
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 4709.632492.041766.271096.83669.09
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 2.661.621.201.010.74
EV / EBITDA (X) 15.329.517.196.954.92
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 2.341.320.860.600.43
Retention Ratios (%) 86.0082.0491.8085.8889.12
Price / BV (X) 6.433.862.901.931.32
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 2.341.320.860.600.43
EarningsYield 0.030.040.080.070.08

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of TCPL Packaging Ltd and is it undervalued?

TCPL Packaging Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹1,955.27, compared with a stored share price of ₹4,059.00. The model value is 51.8% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for TCPL Packaging Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹4,059.00. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 10:17 pm +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 4,430/2,200; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have TCPL Packaging Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹1,696.00 Cr, versus ₹1,491.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (13.7% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹141.00 Cr, versus ₹102.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (38.2% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does TCPL Packaging Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹140.00 Cr against net profit of ₹141.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.99 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in TCPL Packaging Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹599.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare TCPL Packaging Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 30.60. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change TCPL Packaging Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in TCPL Packaging Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE