Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
post
Last Updated on: 22 November, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo

Tirupati Forge Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: November 21, 2024, 9:19 pm

Market Cap 528 Cr.
Current Price 51.0
High / Low55.4/11.6
Stock P/E57.4
Book Value 5.32
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE18.3 %
ROE15.0 %
Face Value 2.00
PEG Ratio0.68

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Tirupati Forge Ltd

Competitors of Tirupati Forge Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Happy Forgings Ltd 10,074 Cr. 1,0661,300/81338.9 1820.38 %22.7 %18.7 % 2.00
EL Forge Ltd 66.2 Cr. 32.635.2/9.1526.8 11.60.00 %%% 10.0
CIE Automotive India Ltd 17,432 Cr. 460628/40121.3 1631.09 %18.3 %20.3 % 10.0
Amforge Industries Ltd 16.4 Cr. 11.417.2/6.80 8.830.00 %3.55 %3.17 % 2.00
Tirupati Forge Ltd 528 Cr. 51.055.4/11.657.4 5.320.00 %18.3 %15.0 % 2.00
Industry Average13,568.25 Cr415.49180.16143.690.31%12.37%15.20%5.92

All Competitor Stocks of Tirupati Forge Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthJun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Sales12.8718.2727.1030.0025.3326.5316.7823.3920.8823.6532.3633.1129.06
Expenses11.5717.0122.1326.9320.9622.0014.6019.8718.4820.7228.3929.6224.38
Operating Profit1.301.264.973.074.374.532.183.522.402.933.973.494.68
OPM %10.10%6.90%18.34%10.23%17.25%17.08%12.99%15.05%11.49%12.39%12.27%10.54%16.10%
Other Income0.180.210.130.550.700.540.240.330.110.250.140.420.19
Interest0.150.230.280.220.300.190.360.220.270.260.410.390.38
Depreciation0.490.600.720.620.640.630.650.780.700.860.910.971.03
Profit before tax0.840.644.102.784.134.251.412.851.542.062.792.553.46
Tax %26.19%57.81%24.88%29.50%25.18%24.71%27.66%25.26%25.97%25.73%26.16%24.31%24.86%
Net Profit0.620.273.071.973.083.191.022.141.141.532.051.922.60
EPS in Rs0.060.030.310.200.310.330.100.220.120.160.210.190.25

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Sales-07301816214228318892110
Expenses-0628161418352528787797
Operating Profit-013223723111513
OPM %9%9%9%12%15%17%9%9%12%16%12%
Other Income-000000000121
Interest-001100010111
Depreciation-001111122233
Profit before tax-0-010126018139
Tax %26%32%30%28%28%27%27%26%25%26%
Net Profit-0-01002400697
EPS in Rs-0.010.620.150.440.190.510.030.040.630.960.64
Dividend Payout %-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%3%-0%-0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2015-20162018-20192019-20202022-20232023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-100.00%100.00%-100.00%50.00%-22.22%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%200.00%-200.00%150.00%-72.22%

Tirupati Forge Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 5 years from 2015-2016 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:32%
5 Years:21%
3 Years:53%
TTM:50%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:91%
5 Years:9%
3 Years:160%
TTM:58%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:75%
3 Years:70%
1 Year:311%
Return on Equity
10 Years:19%
5 Years:17%
3 Years:22%
Last Year:15%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 14, 2024, 6:41 pm

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital0.010.790.790.790.79661011202021
Reserves011125981071729
Borrowings176540558111013
Other Liabilities01623234515511
Total Liabilities21014101013222534525174
Fixed Assets055554101314141519
CWIP000000000008
Investments000000000000
Other Assets259568121220383647
Total Assets21014101013222534525174

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +-1-0332-123-31510
Cash from Investing Activity +-0-5-1-1-1-1-7-5-3-3-3-15
Cash from Financing Activity +26-2-2-224252-29
Net Cash Flow00-00-00-01-11-14

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Free Cash Flow-1.00-6.00-3.00-3.00-2.003.002.00-3.00-5.000.005.000.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days5637254449453652666453
Inventory Days150688010412370134229147143162
Days Payable103924410732235692993060
Cash Conversion Cycle10312624114093115189114178155
Working Capital Days159342838102778714984117101
ROCE %9%21%12%16%27%41%4%4%28%32%18%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024
Promoters58.78%58.78%57.59%57.59%57.59%57.59%57.59%57.69%57.69%57.69%55.76%55.76%
FIIs0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%
Public41.21%41.21%42.42%42.41%41.75%42.41%42.41%42.31%42.31%42.31%44.23%44.21%
No. of Shareholders8,7809,2859,2519,25216,39119,62923,72633,77442,47850,84164,86969,776

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue2.002.002.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)0.670.960.640.360.27
Diluted EPS (Rs.)0.670.960.640.350.26
Cash EPS (Rs.)0.971.240.882.102.03
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)4.813.702.7418.5417.97
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)4.813.702.7418.5417.97
Dividend / Share (Rs.)0.000.000.020.000.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)10.619.399.0027.4726.76
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)1.321.671.192.572.63
PBIT / Share (Rs.)0.981.400.940.810.86
PBT / Share (Rs.)0.861.290.850.480.36
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)0.640.960.630.350.26
PBDIT Margin (%)12.4617.8213.219.359.81
PBIT Margin (%)9.3214.8810.452.983.22
PBT Margin (%)8.1213.729.461.761.34
Net Profit Margin (%)6.0310.247.051.280.99
Return on Networth / Equity (%)13.3026.0123.211.891.48
Return on Capital Employeed (%)19.1535.5429.753.834.19
Return On Assets (%)8.9318.3811.861.161.08
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.040.050.120.140.13
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.220.250.360.330.19
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)1.751.772.051.041.16
Current Ratio (X)2.222.711.671.832.49
Quick Ratio (X)1.141.460.960.751.14
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)3.413.054.022.453.01
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)0.000.001.790.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)0.000.001.290.000.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%)0.000.0098.210.000.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)0.000.0098.710.000.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)10.4015.3013.317.725.23
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)6.049.798.102.061.53
Enterprise Value (Cr.)174.0298.26113.3035.8430.55
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.581.071.281.161.11
EV / EBITDA (X)12.705.999.7212.4411.27
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.520.961.180.941.01
Retention Ratios (%)0.000.0098.200.000.00
Price / BV (X)3.352.463.891.401.50
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.520.961.180.941.01
EarningsYield0.030.100.050.010.01

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Tirupati Forge Ltd as of November 22, 2024 is: 46.72

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of November 22, 2024, Tirupati Forge Ltd is Overvalued by 8.39% compared to the current share price 51.00

Default values used*: Default value of 15% for ROE is used

Intrinsic Value of Tirupati Forge Ltd as of November 22, 2024 is: 86.16

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of November 22, 2024, Tirupati Forge Ltd is Undervalued by 68.94% compared to the current share price 51.00

Default values used*: Default value of 15% for ROE is used

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 84.42%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The stock is trading at a low valuation with an average P/B ratio of 1.88 and average Dividend Yield of 8.17%.
  2. The stock has a high average ROCE of 17.67%, which is a positive sign.
  3. The company has higher reserves (7.50 cr) compared to borrowings (6.25 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
  4. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (40.25 cr) and profit (3.42 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 81.33, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 100.17, which may not be favorable.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Tirupati Forge Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 6.03%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 19.15% (Industry Average ROCE: 10.31%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 13.3% (Industry Average ROE: 12.67%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 6.04
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 1.14
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 57.4 (Industry average Stock P/E: 135.12)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.22
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Tirupati Forge Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 17/08/2012 and has its registered office in the State of Gujarat, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L27320GJ2012PLC071594 and registration number is 071594. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Forging, pressing, stamping and roll-forming of metal; powder metallurgy. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 88.24 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 19.60 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
ForgingsPlot No. 1-5, Survey No. 92/1, Rajkot Gujarat 360311info@tirupatiforge.com
http://www.tirupatiforge.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Hiteshkumar G ThummarChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Bhavesh T BarsiyaWhole Time Director
Mrs. Darshna H ThummarNon Executive Director
Mr. Sachin P RavaniIndependent Director
Mr. Anand M ShrivastavaIndependent Director
Mrs. Jagruti Nitinkumar ErdaIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Tirupati Forge Ltd as on 22 November 2024 is ₹46.72, which is 8.39% lower than the current market price of ₹51.00.

What is the Market Cap of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The Market Cap of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 528 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Tirupati Forge Ltd as on 22 November 2024?

The current stock price of Tirupati Forge Ltd as on 22 November 2024 is ₹51.0.

What is the High / Low of Tirupati Forge Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Tirupati Forge Ltd stocks is 55.4/11.6.

What is the Stock P/E of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 57.4.

What is the Book Value of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The Book Value of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 5.32.

What is the Dividend Yield of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 0.00 %.

What is the ROCE of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The ROCE of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 18.3 %.

What is the ROE of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The ROE of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 15.0 %.

What is the Face Value of Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The Face Value of Tirupati Forge Ltd is 2.00.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Tirupati Forge Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE