The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Asahi India Glass Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-27) is ₹739.88 which is 10.10% lower than today’s share price of ₹823.00
Asahi India Glass Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹341.46 vs CMP ₹823.00 (-58.5%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.914 · EMA(252): ₹900.57
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.464
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-1.4%5Y+0.5%10Y
Historical drift: +3.8% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.60x
Upside -58.5% vs downside 97.7% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-141%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 7.12% · 591 data points over 479 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹18.60
(97.7% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹784.00
₹1,052.00
CMP: ₹823.0015% into range21.8% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹341.46 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹82325% ₹70350% ₹58275% ₹462Target ₹341
Gap: 58.5% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Asahi India Glass Ltd appears overvalued by 58.5% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). Volatility is moderate (37.3% annualized).
Asahi India Glass Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
776.79
-5.6%
-5.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
806.96
Feb
800.63
Mar
802.28
Apr
783.69
May
783.89
Jun
786.34
Jul
782.21
Aug
775.27
Sep
783.53
Oct
785.33
Nov
779.30
Dec
776.79
2028
765.60
-7.0%
-3.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
782.85
Feb
784.64
Mar
771.46
Apr
790.53
May
789.42
Jun
781.81
Jul
778.82
Aug
775.42
Sep
764.84
Oct
769.31
Nov
771.62
Dec
765.60
2029
757.78
-7.9%
-2.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
766.93
Feb
760.36
Mar
751.16
Apr
737.75
May
737.18
Jun
728.14
Jul
734.28
Aug
735.94
Sep
742.15
Oct
745.25
Nov
747.57
Dec
757.78
2030
750.09
-8.9%
-2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
750.09
Feb
742.62
Mar
735.14
Apr
742.30
May
751.01
Jun
750.62
Jul
743.41
Aug
750.23
Sep
755.16
Oct
744.99
Nov
750.83
Dec
750.09
2031
766.53
-6.9%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
766.02
Feb
773.71
Mar
772.65
Apr
763.91
May
764.44
Jun
756.05
Jul
748.44
Aug
750.08
Sep
742.39
Oct
745.69
Nov
761.51
Dec
766.53
2032
772.62
-6.1%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
775.68
Feb
770.68
Mar
772.77
Apr
771.47
May
768.54
Jun
768.77
Jul
752.58
Aug
761.96
Sep
761.42
Oct
760.64
Nov
765.25
Dec
772.62
2033
817.43
-0.7%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
779.64
Feb
781.57
Mar
782.27
Apr
775.45
May
774.39
Jun
768.21
Jul
786.22
Aug
792.91
Sep
796.29
Oct
806.57
Nov
817.56
Dec
817.43
2034
865.40
+5.2%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
820.40
Feb
829.66
Mar
841.25
Apr
835.38
May
830.34
Jun
827.87
Jul
834.18
Aug
840.11
Sep
842.56
Oct
841.83
Nov
863.49
Dec
865.40
2035
904.30
+9.9%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
871.59
Feb
874.99
Mar
883.47
Apr
873.66
May
868.84
Jun
872.77
Jul
878.70
Aug
881.39
Sep
886.68
Oct
898.13
Nov
898.32
Dec
904.30
2036
868.55
+5.5%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
912.73
Feb
919.68
Mar
910.53
Apr
899.14
May
876.20
Jun
877.40
Jul
864.94
Aug
864.92
Sep
871.05
Oct
873.23
Nov
867.86
Dec
868.55
Asahi India Glass Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.82%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
69.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹22.65
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
330
Asahi India Glass Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Will Asahi India Glass Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹739.88 on 2026-04-27, which is 10.10% lower than today's price of ₹823.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Asahi India Glass Ltd?
Asahi India Glass Ltd intrinsic value is ₹341.46, which is 58.51% below the current price of ₹823.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Asahi India Glass Ltd in 2027?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹776.79 by year-end (range: ₹775.27 to ₹806.96), representing a -5.61% decrease from the current price of ₹823.00.
What is the share price target of Asahi India Glass Ltd in 2028?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹765.60 by year-end (range: ₹764.84 to ₹790.53), representing a -6.97% decrease from the current price of ₹823.00.
What is the share price target of Asahi India Glass Ltd in 2029?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹757.78 by year-end (range: ₹728.14 to ₹766.93), representing a -7.92% decrease from the current price of ₹823.00.
Should I buy Asahi India Glass Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Asahi India Glass Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹341.46 vs CMP ₹823.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Asahi India Glass Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Asahi India Glass Ltd is ₹18.60, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Asahi India Glass Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Asahi India Glass Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Asahi India Glass Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Asahi India Glass Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.