Asahi India Glass Ltd share price today: ₹889.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹755.65 (2026-09-04) | 10–90% range: ₹755.65–₹755.65 | Forecast confidence: 76.5% | Chance of upside: 0.0% | Intrinsic value: ₹276.35 | 2027 target: ₹870.64 | 2036 target: ₹852.13
The next market-day median forecast for Asahi India Glass Ltd (2026-09-04) is ₹755.65 which is 15.00% lower than today’s share price of ₹889.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹755.65–₹755.65. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
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Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Asahi India Glass Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹276.35 vs CMP ₹889.00 (-68.9%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 1.006 · EMA(252): ₹883.85
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
35.2% annualized
Risk: Moderate · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.410
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-2.4%5Y-0.4%10Y
Historical drift: +9.5% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.70x
Upside -68.9% vs downside 97.9% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-221.7%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (76.5%)
Chance of upside: 0.0% · Avg forecast error: 7.87% · 599 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹18.60
(97.9% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹784.00
₹1,008.00
CMP: ₹889.0047% into range11.8% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹276.35 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹88925% ₹73650% ₹58375% ₹430Target ₹276
Gap: 68.9% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Asahi India Glass Ltd appears overvalued by 68.9% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is in a neutral regime. A Hurst exponent of 0.41 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is moderate (35.2% annualized).
Asahi India Glass Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
870.64
-2.1%
-2.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
885.74
Feb
874.63
Mar
864.61
Apr
867.62
May
886.02
Jun
880.78
Jul
874.40
Aug
883.19
Sep
876.89
Oct
880.36
Nov
862.96
Dec
870.64
2028
838.20
-5.7%
-2.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
879.37
Feb
890.00
Mar
892.80
Apr
892.61
May
885.16
Jun
876.55
Jul
881.27
Aug
874.61
Sep
862.39
Oct
848.76
Nov
841.84
Dec
838.20
2029
814.16
-8.4%
-2.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
832.50
Feb
817.82
Mar
817.08
Apr
807.63
May
799.39
Jun
796.51
Jul
805.75
Aug
790.84
Sep
804.11
Oct
811.27
Nov
809.59
Dec
814.16
2030
814.58
-8.4%
-2.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
816.49
Feb
807.15
Mar
793.58
Apr
783.21
May
797.39
Jun
808.61
Jul
811.76
Aug
804.33
Sep
813.75
Oct
813.66
Nov
817.80
Dec
814.58
2031
787.43
-11.4%
-2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
802.95
Feb
797.99
Mar
807.52
Apr
797.57
May
802.21
Jun
791.06
Jul
793.74
Aug
804.74
Sep
789.16
Oct
776.23
Nov
793.83
Dec
787.43
2032
793.82
-10.7%
-1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
790.65
Feb
807.39
Mar
796.30
Apr
799.12
May
795.09
Jun
796.80
Jul
798.33
Aug
805.50
Sep
797.54
Oct
801.40
Nov
796.54
Dec
793.82
2033
814.42
-8.4%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
787.54
Feb
788.65
Mar
790.49
Apr
788.92
May
791.79
Jun
806.85
Jul
808.82
Aug
808.91
Sep
820.52
Oct
802.89
Nov
809.05
Dec
814.42
2034
780.33
-12.2%
-1.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
822.75
Feb
816.64
Mar
812.56
Apr
801.58
May
791.80
Jun
781.50
Jul
786.49
Aug
781.21
Sep
769.77
Oct
772.08
Nov
783.52
Dec
780.33
2035
813.35
-8.5%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
793.28
Feb
803.07
Mar
818.45
Apr
817.97
May
831.51
Jun
839.89
Jul
834.80
Aug
816.90
Sep
809.87
Oct
817.82
Nov
810.29
Dec
813.35
2036
852.13
-4.1%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
809.86
Feb
815.72
Mar
817.84
Apr
831.28
May
833.63
Jun
816.33
Jul
844.54
Aug
853.07
Sep
862.24
Oct
856.17
Nov
850.17
Dec
852.13
Asahi India Glass Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.55%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
62.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹29.01
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will Asahi India Glass Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Asahi India Glass Ltd median forecast is ₹755.65 on 2026-09-04, which is 15.00% lower than today’s price of ₹889.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹755.65 to ₹755.65. Forecast confidence is 76.5%, with probability-up estimate of 0.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Asahi India Glass Ltd?
Asahi India Glass Ltd intrinsic value is ₹276.35, which is 68.91% below the current price of ₹889.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Asahi India Glass Ltd in 2027?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹870.64 by year-end (range: ₹862.96 to ₹886.02), representing a -2.07% decrease from the current price of ₹889.00.
What is the share price target of Asahi India Glass Ltd in 2028?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹838.20 by year-end (range: ₹838.20 to ₹892.80), representing a -5.71% decrease from the current price of ₹889.00.
What is the share price target of Asahi India Glass Ltd in 2029?
Asahi India Glass Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹814.16 by year-end (range: ₹790.84 to ₹832.50), representing a -8.42% decrease from the current price of ₹889.00.
Should I buy Asahi India Glass Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Asahi India Glass Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹276.35 vs CMP ₹889.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Asahi India Glass Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Asahi India Glass Ltd is ₹18.60, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Asahi India Glass Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Asahi India Glass Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Asahi India Glass Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Asahi India Glass Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.