The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Bhartiya International Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-19) is ₹632.14 which is 9.56% lower than today’s share price of ₹699.00
Bhartiya International Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹450.46 vs CMP ₹699.00 (-35.6%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.923 · EMA(252): ₹757.33
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
46.3% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.602
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.3%5Y-0.5%10Y
Historical drift: +7.6% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.37x
Upside -35.6% vs downside 96.9% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-55.2%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.52% · 589 data points over 577 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹21.44
(96.9% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹613.00
₹954.00
CMP: ₹699.0025% into range26.7% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹450.46 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹69925% ₹63750% ₹57575% ₹513Target ₹450
Gap: 35.6% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Bhartiya International Ltd appears overvalued by 35.6% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.60 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (46.3% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Bhartiya International Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
698.11
-0.1%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
703.60
Feb
711.15
Mar
709.34
Apr
709.04
May
708.42
Jun
702.56
Jul
700.46
Aug
700.40
Sep
700.82
Oct
695.84
Nov
697.07
Dec
698.11
2028
676.05
-3.3%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
687.89
Feb
685.94
Mar
682.57
Apr
687.99
May
682.99
Jun
679.11
Jul
682.93
Aug
684.50
Sep
686.60
Oct
677.62
Nov
676.97
Dec
676.05
2029
693.47
-0.8%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
675.29
Feb
679.18
Mar
675.64
Apr
670.23
May
670.48
Jun
671.59
Jul
676.92
Aug
675.61
Sep
677.17
Oct
683.98
Nov
687.64
Dec
693.47
2030
689.41
-1.4%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
687.25
Feb
694.39
Mar
692.20
Apr
696.36
May
699.26
Jun
695.12
Jul
693.66
Aug
693.04
Sep
695.72
Oct
689.84
Nov
693.12
Dec
689.41
2031
688.91
-1.4%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
691.87
Feb
690.52
Mar
697.48
Apr
698.03
May
695.10
Jun
695.81
Jul
695.97
Aug
686.62
Sep
688.82
Oct
687.97
Nov
693.98
Dec
688.91
2032
694.58
-0.6%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
689.51
Feb
690.88
Mar
693.02
Apr
692.64
May
694.61
Jun
689.25
Jul
689.43
Aug
695.43
Sep
694.26
Oct
693.94
Nov
692.02
Dec
694.58
2033
687.67
-1.6%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
689.49
Feb
688.54
Mar
690.17
Apr
686.68
May
690.52
Jun
690.94
Jul
690.21
Aug
693.34
Sep
690.67
Oct
689.66
Nov
690.81
Dec
687.67
2034
698.67
0.0%
0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
692.09
Feb
688.48
Mar
693.22
Apr
693.09
May
693.30
Jun
695.09
Jul
695.94
Aug
697.65
Sep
698.94
Oct
696.31
Nov
700.06
Dec
698.67
2035
693.38
-0.8%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
698.64
Feb
697.51
Mar
692.85
Apr
695.54
May
697.58
Jun
690.19
Jul
688.69
Aug
691.46
Sep
693.98
Oct
696.46
Nov
695.66
Dec
693.38
2036
663.65
-5.1%
-0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
693.55
Feb
691.31
Mar
684.42
Apr
680.84
May
677.51
Jun
679.06
Jul
679.45
Aug
675.50
Sep
675.33
Oct
669.81
Nov
667.15
Dec
663.65
Bhartiya International Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.57%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
72.3%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹18.07
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
296
Bhartiya International Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Bhartiya International Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
Bhartiya International Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Bhartiya International Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Bhartiya International Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Bhartiya International Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹632.14 on 2026-04-19, which is 9.56% lower than today's price of ₹699.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Bhartiya International Ltd?
Bhartiya International Ltd intrinsic value is ₹450.46, which is 35.56% below the current price of ₹699.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Bhartiya International Ltd in 2027?
Bhartiya International Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹698.11 by year-end (range: ₹695.84 to ₹711.15), representing a -0.13% decrease from the current price of ₹699.00.
What is the share price target of Bhartiya International Ltd in 2028?
Bhartiya International Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹676.05 by year-end (range: ₹676.05 to ₹687.99), representing a -3.28% decrease from the current price of ₹699.00.
What is the share price target of Bhartiya International Ltd in 2029?
Bhartiya International Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹693.47 by year-end (range: ₹670.23 to ₹693.47), representing a -0.79% decrease from the current price of ₹699.00.
Should I buy Bhartiya International Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Bhartiya International Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹450.46 vs CMP ₹699.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Bhartiya International Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Bhartiya International Ltd is ₹21.44, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Bhartiya International Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Bhartiya International Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (September 18, 2024) and the end date (April 18, 2026).
589 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from September 18, 2024 to April 18, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Bhartiya International Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Bhartiya International Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.