The next market-day median forecast for Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd (2026-05-25) is ₹84.07 which is 14.99% lower than today’s share price of ₹98.90 with a 10–90% range of ₹84.07–₹90.74. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹50.91 vs CMP ₹98.90 (-48.5%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 1.000 · EMA(252): ₹98.91
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
91.2% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.459
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-3.9%5Y+1.1%10Y
Historical drift: -32.4% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.50x
Upside -48.5% vs downside 97.5% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-94.3%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (84.1%)
Chance of upside: 1.9% · Avg forecast error: 2.66% · 525 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹2.48
(97.5% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹60.70
₹136.00
CMP: ₹98.9051% into range27.3% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹50.91 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹9925% ₹8750% ₹7575% ₹63Target ₹51
Gap: 48.5% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd appears overvalued by 48.5% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is in a neutral regime. Volatility is high (91.2% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
86.42
-12.6%
-12.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
99.28
Feb
95.73
Mar
93.81
Apr
94.02
May
95.63
Jun
95.36
Jul
91.18
Aug
92.03
Sep
93.11
Oct
89.94
Nov
89.41
Dec
86.42
2028
105.06
+6.2%
+3.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
85.37
Feb
88.21
Mar
92.71
Apr
94.16
May
93.37
Jun
103.08
Jul
100.23
Aug
101.04
Sep
102.47
Oct
101.82
Nov
102.68
Dec
105.06
2029
88.24
-10.8%
-3.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
99.17
Feb
99.60
Mar
98.08
Apr
101.72
May
97.69
Jun
100.84
Jul
101.96
Aug
100.75
Sep
94.32
Oct
92.26
Nov
90.23
Dec
88.24
2030
84.16
-14.9%
-4.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
86.08
Feb
88.09
Mar
84.89
Apr
84.03
May
85.96
Jun
84.17
Jul
86.14
Aug
82.62
Sep
80.45
Oct
80.91
Nov
86.20
Dec
84.16
2031
80.96
-18.1%
-3.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
84.24
Feb
83.28
Mar
81.06
Apr
80.88
May
78.89
Jun
78.43
Jul
74.25
Aug
74.01
Sep
75.90
Oct
77.33
Nov
79.52
Dec
80.96
2032
85.71
-13.3%
-2.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
82.91
Feb
87.85
Mar
89.30
Apr
91.46
May
93.43
Jun
93.72
Jul
91.43
Aug
87.39
Sep
86.70
Oct
86.16
Nov
84.63
Dec
85.71
2033
95.03
-3.9%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
85.45
Feb
86.02
Mar
88.78
Apr
87.66
May
85.05
Jun
84.53
Jul
88.23
Aug
86.34
Sep
89.33
Oct
92.77
Nov
93.77
Dec
95.03
2034
97.14
-1.8%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
92.83
Feb
95.40
Mar
96.60
Apr
98.56
May
100.07
Jun
96.16
Jul
96.81
Aug
100.02
Sep
97.53
Oct
100.69
Nov
98.99
Dec
97.14
2035
103.31
+4.5%
+0.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
95.63
Feb
93.13
Mar
95.49
Apr
96.14
May
100.37
Jun
104.68
Jul
104.11
Aug
100.38
Sep
100.54
Oct
98.20
Nov
100.86
Dec
103.31
2036
110.36
+11.6%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
101.78
Feb
99.18
Mar
97.82
Apr
99.68
May
106.16
Jun
108.99
Jul
109.07
Aug
108.41
Sep
103.53
Oct
106.42
Nov
108.97
Dec
110.36
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.53%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
68.9%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹4.31
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd median forecast is ₹84.07 on 2026-05-25, which is 14.99% lower than today’s price of ₹98.90. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹84.07 to ₹90.74. Forecast confidence is 84.1%, with probability-up estimate of 1.9%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd?
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd intrinsic value is ₹50.91, which is 48.52% below the current price of ₹98.90. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd in 2027?
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹86.42 by year-end (range: ₹86.42 to ₹99.28), representing a -12.62% decrease from the current price of ₹98.90.
What is the share price target of Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd in 2028?
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹105.06 by year-end (range: ₹85.37 to ₹105.06), representing a 6.23% increase from the current price of ₹98.90.
What is the share price target of Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd in 2029?
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹88.24 by year-end (range: ₹88.24 to ₹101.96), representing a -10.78% decrease from the current price of ₹98.90.
Should I buy Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹50.91 vs CMP ₹98.90. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd is ₹2.48, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
