The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-11) is ₹804.71 which is 7.50% lower than today’s share price of ₹870.00
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹572.24 vs CMP ₹870.00 (-34.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.075 · EMA(252): ₹809.28
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
49.8% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.502
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.3%5Y-1.1%10Y
Historical drift: +5.9% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.36x
Upside -34.2% vs downside 95.9% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-52%
No margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 5.89% · 588 data points over 578 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹35.97
(95.9% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹698.00
₹934.00
CMP: ₹870.0073% into range6.9% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹572.24 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹87025% ₹79650% ₹72175% ₹647Target ₹572
Gap: 34.2% downward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd appears overvalued by 34.2% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). Volatility is high (49.8% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
894.71
+2.8%
+2.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
872.75
Feb
863.66
Mar
866.42
Apr
861.08
May
850.99
Jun
869.18
Jul
878.16
Aug
887.42
Sep
886.51
Oct
894.45
Nov
888.06
Dec
894.71
2028
849.17
-2.4%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
883.13
Feb
866.23
Mar
869.16
Apr
869.32
May
866.96
Jun
871.45
Jul
879.17
Aug
871.52
Sep
864.79
Oct
855.42
Nov
837.01
Dec
849.17
2029
834.61
-4.1%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
868.72
Feb
879.75
Mar
867.73
Apr
858.86
May
845.77
Jun
842.28
Jul
841.15
Aug
835.29
Sep
832.26
Oct
831.87
Nov
825.18
Dec
834.61
2030
848.98
-2.4%
-0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
834.31
Feb
833.69
Mar
831.99
Apr
829.11
May
832.32
Jun
826.99
Jul
819.19
Aug
814.94
Sep
824.39
Oct
838.52
Nov
841.39
Dec
848.98
2031
857.75
-1.4%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
852.39
Feb
841.06
Mar
835.96
Apr
837.99
May
827.15
Jun
822.99
Jul
847.69
Aug
844.30
Sep
843.27
Oct
848.81
Nov
851.89
Dec
857.75
2032
812.50
-6.6%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
847.17
Feb
826.80
Mar
837.87
Apr
841.86
May
823.48
Jun
813.35
Jul
826.33
Aug
815.49
Sep
815.97
Oct
829.61
Nov
822.47
Dec
812.50
2033
816.63
-6.1%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
825.86
Feb
821.69
Mar
835.93
Apr
830.78
May
826.31
Jun
818.23
Jul
818.56
Aug
811.44
Sep
821.96
Oct
822.30
Nov
821.95
Dec
816.63
2034
776.81
-10.7%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
804.16
Feb
818.97
Mar
825.60
Apr
827.43
May
817.52
Jun
809.14
Jul
802.24
Aug
800.58
Sep
790.07
Oct
780.03
Nov
781.13
Dec
776.81
2035
769.23
-11.6%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
778.53
Feb
771.66
Mar
777.37
Apr
773.44
May
772.34
Jun
774.53
Jul
765.75
Aug
774.07
Sep
776.36
Oct
763.06
Nov
767.69
Dec
769.23
2036
779.05
-10.5%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
765.21
Feb
764.85
Mar
770.21
Apr
766.32
May
770.67
Jun
775.52
Jul
791.90
Aug
777.22
Sep
778.16
Oct
773.53
Nov
782.14
Dec
779.05
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.82%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
61.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹22.44
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
329
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹812.11|Range: ₹607.06 – ₹1,086.43|By: 09 Aug 2026
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Will Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹804.71 on 2026-05-11, which is 7.50% lower than today's price of ₹870.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd?
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd intrinsic value is ₹572.24, which is 34.23% below the current price of ₹870.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd in 2027?
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹894.71 by year-end (range: ₹850.99 to ₹894.71), representing a 2.84% increase from the current price of ₹870.00.
What is the share price target of Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd in 2028?
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹849.17 by year-end (range: ₹837.01 to ₹883.13), representing a -2.39% decrease from the current price of ₹870.00.
What is the share price target of Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd in 2029?
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹834.61 by year-end (range: ₹825.18 to ₹879.75), representing a -4.07% decrease from the current price of ₹870.00.
Should I buy Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹572.24 vs CMP ₹870.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd is ₹35.97, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.