The next market-day median forecast for Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd (2026-05-18) is ₹247.62 which is 14.61% lower than today’s share price of ₹290.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹246.50–₹251.64. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹159.44 vs CMP ₹290.00 (-45.0%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.119 · EMA(252): ₹259.09
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
40.1% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Stable
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.445
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+0.6%5Y-1.2%10Y
Historical drift: +14.4% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.46x
Upside -45% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-81.9%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (73.9%)
Chance of upside: 0.0% · Avg forecast error: 8.9% · 589 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹5.80
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹226.00
₹306.00
CMP: ₹290.0080% into range5.2% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹159.44 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹29025% ₹25750% ₹22575% ₹192Target ₹159
Gap: 45.0% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd appears overvalued by 45.0% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.44 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is high (40.1% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
295.63
+1.9%
+1.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
287.53
Feb
283.72
Mar
282.48
Apr
286.25
May
283.54
Jun
285.14
Jul
289.36
Aug
291.76
Sep
287.73
Oct
295.25
Nov
292.84
Dec
295.63
2028
291.84
+0.6%
+0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
292.31
Feb
292.59
Mar
287.93
Apr
287.53
May
284.71
Jun
285.67
Jul
290.38
Aug
288.84
Sep
291.16
Oct
291.09
Nov
296.40
Dec
291.84
2029
293.10
+1.1%
+0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
292.09
Feb
293.64
Mar
294.59
Apr
292.74
May
289.57
Jun
293.67
Jul
294.86
Aug
293.93
Sep
294.63
Oct
293.70
Nov
294.54
Dec
293.10
2030
276.47
-4.7%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
289.06
Feb
291.38
Mar
290.06
Apr
291.69
May
288.96
Jun
294.20
Jul
282.87
Aug
281.01
Sep
278.00
Oct
276.76
Nov
278.56
Dec
276.47
2031
298.69
+3.0%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
278.54
Feb
284.49
Mar
284.68
Apr
295.59
May
289.81
Jun
295.89
Jul
297.31
Aug
300.50
Sep
297.61
Oct
293.11
Nov
296.92
Dec
298.69
2032
277.57
-4.3%
-0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
298.86
Feb
299.07
Mar
297.77
Apr
290.01
May
284.15
Jun
283.14
Jul
280.05
Aug
278.45
Sep
275.88
Oct
277.28
Nov
274.65
Dec
277.57
2033
255.51
-11.9%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
276.52
Feb
271.53
Mar
269.85
Apr
267.35
May
263.68
Jun
262.28
Jul
257.16
Aug
256.12
Sep
254.15
Oct
253.16
Nov
250.44
Dec
255.51
2034
258.21
-11.0%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
254.68
Feb
251.86
Mar
249.24
Apr
248.46
May
244.40
Jun
246.05
Jul
247.69
Aug
247.80
Sep
249.14
Oct
250.68
Nov
258.46
Dec
258.21
2035
259.36
-10.6%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
261.73
Feb
262.07
Mar
262.64
Apr
261.97
May
256.51
Jun
258.26
Jul
261.96
Aug
260.28
Sep
258.46
Oct
258.69
Nov
261.32
Dec
259.36
2036
257.25
-11.3%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
263.55
Feb
266.22
Mar
269.17
Apr
265.99
May
263.33
Jun
258.92
Jul
256.04
Aug
251.99
Sep
249.23
Oct
253.37
Nov
255.16
Dec
257.25
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
7.99%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
44.6%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹24.40
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd median forecast is ₹247.62 on 2026-05-18, which is 14.61% lower than today’s price of ₹290.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹246.50 to ₹251.64. Forecast confidence is 73.9%, with probability-up estimate of 0.0%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd?
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd intrinsic value is ₹159.44, which is 45.02% below the current price of ₹290.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd in 2027?
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹295.63 by year-end (range: ₹282.48 to ₹295.63), representing a 1.94% increase from the current price of ₹290.00.
What is the share price target of Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd in 2028?
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹291.84 by year-end (range: ₹284.71 to ₹296.40), representing a 0.63% increase from the current price of ₹290.00.
What is the share price target of Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd in 2029?
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹293.10 by year-end (range: ₹289.57 to ₹294.86), representing a 1.07% increase from the current price of ₹290.00.
Should I buy Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹159.44 vs CMP ₹290.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd is ₹5.80, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Godawari Power & Ispat Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
