The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Insecticides India Ltd for tomorrow (2026-04-19) is ₹515.91 which is 2.29% lower than today’s share price of ₹528.00
Insecticides India Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹533.98 vs CMP ₹528.00 (+1.1%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.813 · EMA(252): ₹649.21
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
41.5% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.556
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.4%5Y+0.1%10Y
Historical drift: -25.2% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.01x
Upside +1.1% vs downside 97.3% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+1.1%
Thin margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Moderate
Avg error: 2.61% · 566 data points over 605 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹14.42
(97.3% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹528.00
₹748.00
CMP: ₹528.000% into range29.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹533.98 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹52825% ₹52950% ₹53175% ₹532Target ₹534
Gap: 1.1% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Insecticides India Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.56 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (41.5% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Insecticides India Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
527.83
0.0%
0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
529.07
Feb
532.42
Mar
531.30
Apr
528.20
May
528.42
Jun
529.75
Jul
529.83
Aug
532.83
Sep
531.33
Oct
530.87
Nov
528.59
Dec
527.83
2028
515.39
-2.4%
-1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
527.32
Feb
526.19
Mar
525.21
Apr
522.20
May
518.55
Jun
515.94
Jul
512.87
Aug
512.17
Sep
516.82
Oct
514.36
Nov
514.87
Dec
515.39
2029
511.39
-3.1%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
513.62
Feb
510.04
Mar
511.42
Apr
507.03
May
506.30
Jun
508.24
Jul
508.69
Aug
506.33
Sep
510.29
Oct
511.88
Nov
510.77
Dec
511.39
2030
519.74
-1.6%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
513.15
Feb
514.62
Mar
518.50
Apr
514.51
May
515.87
Jun
517.77
Jul
521.12
Aug
523.09
Sep
522.59
Oct
517.94
Nov
514.91
Dec
519.74
2031
518.20
-1.9%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
525.03
Feb
527.38
Mar
523.66
Apr
526.74
May
522.15
Jun
519.18
Jul
518.17
Aug
519.30
Sep
519.27
Oct
518.49
Nov
515.49
Dec
518.20
2032
534.57
+1.2%
+0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
519.40
Feb
519.46
Mar
526.35
Apr
529.20
May
526.99
Jun
527.12
Jul
524.90
Aug
529.70
Sep
532.20
Oct
531.43
Nov
534.13
Dec
534.57
2033
530.29
+0.4%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
531.88
Feb
532.11
Mar
533.78
Apr
531.85
May
534.55
Jun
533.39
Jul
530.06
Aug
528.20
Sep
530.40
Oct
533.89
Nov
530.11
Dec
530.29
2034
532.57
+0.9%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
530.75
Feb
523.70
Mar
527.65
Apr
528.54
May
530.59
Jun
529.50
Jul
530.19
Aug
534.04
Sep
533.03
Oct
535.27
Nov
533.33
Dec
532.57
2035
525.14
-0.5%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
530.11
Feb
527.70
Mar
526.47
Apr
528.55
May
529.77
Jun
527.15
Jul
522.66
Aug
525.11
Sep
525.39
Oct
524.53
Nov
524.24
Dec
525.14
2036
533.00
+0.9%
+0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
526.61
Feb
529.03
Mar
529.09
Apr
530.77
May
530.24
Jun
532.19
Jul
531.79
Aug
533.75
Sep
533.92
Oct
533.52
Nov
532.20
Dec
533.00
Insecticides India Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.13%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
69.3%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹15.29
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
300
Insecticides India Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Insecticides India Ltd Tomorrow's Share Price Probability Distribution
Insecticides India Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Insecticides India Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Insecticides India Ltd share price is expected to decrease to ₹515.91 on 2026-04-19, which is 2.29% lower than today's price of ₹528.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Insecticides India Ltd?
Insecticides India Ltd intrinsic value is ₹533.98, which is 1.13% above the current price of ₹528.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of Insecticides India Ltd in 2027?
Insecticides India Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹527.83 by year-end (range: ₹527.83 to ₹532.83), representing a -0.03% decrease from the current price of ₹528.00.
What is the share price target of Insecticides India Ltd in 2028?
Insecticides India Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹515.39 by year-end (range: ₹512.17 to ₹527.32), representing a -2.39% decrease from the current price of ₹528.00.
What is the share price target of Insecticides India Ltd in 2029?
Insecticides India Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹511.39 by year-end (range: ₹506.30 to ₹513.62), representing a -3.15% decrease from the current price of ₹528.00.
Should I buy Insecticides India Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Insecticides India Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹533.98 vs CMP ₹528.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Insecticides India Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Insecticides India Ltd is ₹14.42, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Insecticides India Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Insecticides India Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Insecticides India Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Insecticides India Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.