Insecticides India Ltd share price today: ₹528.00 | Next market-day median forecast: ₹530.40 (2026-09-02) | 10–90% range: ₹478.85–₹584.02 | Forecast confidence: 81.2% | Chance of upside: 52.3% | Intrinsic value: ₹544.02 | 2027 target: ₹496.68 | 2036 target: ₹421.07
The next market-day median forecast for Insecticides India Ltd (2026-09-02) is ₹530.40 which is 0.45% higher than today’s share price of ₹528.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹478.85–₹584.02. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Insecticides India Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic ₹544.02 vs CMP ₹528.00 (+3.0%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▼ Bearish
Price/EMA: 0.883 · EMA(252): ₹597.80
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
67.7% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.563
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-2.8%5Y-2.2%10Y
Historical drift: -15.3% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.03x
Upside +3% vs downside 97.3% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+2.9%
Thin margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (81.2%)
Chance of upside: 52.3% · Avg forecast error: 4.68% · 591 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹14.42
(97.3% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹528.00
₹717.00
CMP: ₹528.000% into range26.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹544.02 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹52825% ₹53250% ₹53675% ₹540Target ₹544
Gap: 3.0% upward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Insecticides India Ltd is trading near fair value. The stock is currently in a bearish regime (price below EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.56 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (67.7% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Insecticides India Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
496.68
-5.9%
-5.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
524.10
Feb
518.11
Mar
523.20
Apr
519.56
May
515.12
Jun
511.75
Jul
512.57
Aug
508.45
Sep
508.78
Oct
500.32
Nov
499.91
Dec
496.68
2028
495.05
-6.2%
-3.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
501.96
Feb
504.74
Mar
501.69
Apr
503.56
May
503.23
Jun
501.00
Jul
501.68
Aug
492.38
Sep
497.97
Oct
490.04
Nov
487.17
Dec
495.05
2029
473.62
-10.3%
-3.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
493.00
Feb
487.59
Mar
485.38
Apr
482.98
May
479.25
Jun
482.75
Jul
480.99
Aug
477.52
Sep
477.87
Oct
474.35
Nov
467.90
Dec
473.62
2030
469.55
-11.1%
-2.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
477.00
Feb
482.46
Mar
481.04
Apr
479.75
May
477.80
Jun
466.87
Jul
467.32
Aug
470.49
Sep
467.68
Oct
465.45
Nov
468.91
Dec
469.55
2031
458.01
-13.3%
-2.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
468.18
Feb
468.10
Mar
461.28
Apr
459.96
May
460.22
Jun
454.93
Jul
452.99
Aug
455.68
Sep
458.05
Oct
456.30
Nov
458.69
Dec
458.01
2032
476.93
-9.7%
-1.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
458.38
Feb
463.92
Mar
470.86
Apr
472.46
May
465.46
Jun
472.04
Jul
467.80
Aug
471.05
Sep
471.91
Oct
472.19
Nov
476.27
Dec
476.93
2033
463.97
-12.1%
-1.8%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
477.82
Feb
479.19
Mar
478.01
Apr
469.46
May
466.84
Jun
469.88
Jul
468.47
Aug
465.46
Sep
467.80
Oct
470.15
Nov
467.93
Dec
463.97
2034
440.05
-16.7%
-2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
464.76
Feb
457.57
Mar
455.96
Apr
448.65
May
446.04
Jun
443.18
Jul
444.64
Aug
444.74
Sep
446.58
Oct
442.34
Nov
444.29
Dec
440.05
2035
427.14
-19.1%
-2.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
435.26
Feb
433.61
Mar
431.95
Apr
432.89
May
430.30
Jun
430.60
Jul
428.65
Aug
427.53
Sep
432.04
Oct
432.68
Nov
429.69
Dec
427.14
2036
421.07
-20.3%
-2.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
427.29
Feb
424.77
Mar
424.12
Apr
424.50
May
422.13
Jun
423.54
Jul
426.81
Aug
424.97
Sep
419.98
Oct
417.49
Nov
419.01
Dec
421.07
Insecticides India Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.83%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
64%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹19.48
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Insecticides India Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Insecticides India Ltd – 3-Month Price Forecast
90-day target: ₹546.09|Range: ₹372.34 – ₹800.90|By: 23 Nov 2026
Insecticides India Ltd Next Market-Day Share Price Probability Distribution
Median forecast: ₹530.40 · Expected range: ₹478.85 – ₹584.02 · Chance of upside: 52.3%
Insecticides India Ltd Share Price Target – Frequently Asked Questions
Will Insecticides India Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Insecticides India Ltd median forecast is ₹530.40 on 2026-09-02, which is 0.45% higher than today’s price of ₹528.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹478.85 to ₹584.02. Forecast confidence is 81.2%, with probability-up estimate of 52.3%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Insecticides India Ltd?
Insecticides India Ltd intrinsic value is ₹544.02, which is 3.03% above the current price of ₹528.00. This suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
What is the share price target of Insecticides India Ltd in 2027?
Insecticides India Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹496.68 by year-end (range: ₹496.68 to ₹524.10), representing a -5.93% decrease from the current price of ₹528.00.
What is the share price target of Insecticides India Ltd in 2028?
Insecticides India Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹495.05 by year-end (range: ₹487.17 to ₹504.74), representing a -6.24% decrease from the current price of ₹528.00.
What is the share price target of Insecticides India Ltd in 2029?
Insecticides India Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹473.62 by year-end (range: ₹467.90 to ₹493.00), representing a -10.30% decrease from the current price of ₹528.00.
Should I buy Insecticides India Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Insecticides India Ltd appears to be a hold candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹544.02 vs CMP ₹528.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Insecticides India Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Insecticides India Ltd is ₹14.42, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Insecticides India Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Insecticides India Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The log returns are calculated for each consecutive pair of stock prices between the start date (December 2, 2024) and the end date (September 1, 2026).
591 valid data points from the historical price data in the period from December 2, 2024 to September 1, 2026 have been used for the calculations.
Step 2: Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The EMA is a weighted average of past prices that gives more importance to recent prices. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Insecticides India Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Insecticides India Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.